What if the ping pong balls are friendly this time, and we end up with the #1 pick in the draft? What should BC do? It isn't a straightforward decision, as there's a wild card in the deck, by the name of Jonas Valanciunas. Here are the options. (1) BC could keep the pick, and draft Anthony Davis. (2) He could do that, and then trade Jonas V. (3) He could trade the pick to someone else in the top 5, thereby handing the Centre spot to JV.
If BC takes Davis, there's no guarantee Jonas signs. We only have his draft rights; there's been no pen put to paper yet. If I'm Jonas, my enthusiasm for the Raptors might quickly diminish if I think I'm going to be coming off the bench for years.
If BC trades Jonas, there's no way to get full value. The guy hasn't stepped on the floor in an NBA game, so no team will pay what he cost us, namely the fifth overall pick.
If BC trades down, we miss a chance to draft Davis, who is being touted as the league's next superstar. That said, this is the option I'd choose, but only if we stay in the top 5, and extract a huge ransom (our trade partner's first rounder this year and next, plus a starter, for example) to do so. Let's play this out: assume the Wiz have the #4 pick, and want our #1 slot. We take their #4 this draft, their first-round slot next year (sure to be high in the lottery, as a quick fix in Washington isn't likely), and Nene. Is that a good deal for us, and for the Wiz?
Over to the commentators - what do you guys think about all this?