Tip-In: "Bricklaying" - Raptors Offensive Woes Continue in Boston Against Celtics
Last night's obliteration at the hands of the Boston Celtics echoed a key point for the 2011-12 Toronto Raptors; this is a jump shooting team that can't shoot. The HQ discusses...
How good are the Toronto Raptors?
Or let me rephrase that.
How bad are the Toronto Raptors?
It's a question that I was left to ponder in the wake of last night's debacle, which saw the Boston Celtics absolutely crush the Toronto Raptors by a score of 100 to 64, leaving the Dinos with a record of 7 and 16 about a third of the way through this shortened season.
If you tuned in for last night's affair, first, you're a very brave person, but second, you probably left thinking that outside of maybe the Washington Wizards and Charlotte Bobcats, 44 point losers themselves yesterday evening to the Portland Trailblazers, there isn't a worse team in the league.
But the team's record so far this season of course would say otherwise.
At 7 and 16, Toronto sits behind the aforementioned Wizards and Bobcats in terms of losses, as well as the Sacramento Kings, New Orleans Hornets and Detroit Pistons.
In addition, the New York Knicks, Cleveland Cavaliers, Phoenix Suns, New Jersey Nets and Golden State Warriors are hardly miles ahead in the standings.
The reality is that the Raps are sitting about where I thought they'd be sitting at this time, having predicted a 7 and 15 start after two months of play, and with games coming up against the Wizards (two games), and other cellar dwellars such as the Knicks, Bobcats and Pistons in February, the 11 and 24 mark that seemed plausible to me by March 1, seems to be easily within reach.
The one factor that could change that projected pace is of course the return of Andrea Bargnani.
It's been said already on numerous occasions but I'll say it again this morning; with Andrea, this isn't a very good team.
Without him...
...well...you saw the last two games.
Forget effort and heart and all those basketball "intangibles" that people like to throw around, there's just not a lot of talent at head coach Dwane Casey's disposal.
In all seriousness, this is a team that's forcing Aaron Gray to be its go-to low-post option, using James Johnson as its small forward despite an inability to create off the bounce or score consistently beyond eight feet, going with a career 20 per cent 3-point shooter in DeMar DeRozan as its starting shooting guard...
And on and on.
There are certainly nights when one of these guys, or a bench player such as Leandro Barbosa or Jerryd Bayless get it going, but it's extremely rare for all to be effective at once, and this is especially true minus Andrea Bargnani.
Look at Amir Johnson for instance.
Can anyone argue that his effectiveness on offence hasn't been slashed to bits minus Bargs?
With Andrea, suddenly passing lanes are opening up for Amir's patented duck-ins, as well as pick-and-roll action with Jose Calderon. Suddenly clubs are drawn outside of the paint to Andrea, opening up offensive rebounding options for the spry Johnson, as well as giving him space for his 15-footers.
Without...
...well again, I'll point to the last few games.
Of course the absence of Andrea doesn't explain all of the team's individual and team woes. Last night the Raptors' defence looked suspiciously like that of years past, allowing the Celtics to shoot 52 per cent from the field, and 50 per cent from long-range.
Again, this is a club employing mainly reserve quality NBA players as starters, something echoed by various metrics, be it win score, PER, or simply the team's current 7 and 15 record.
Factor in a lack of familiarity and practice time, and mix in inexperience and a new coaching system and you've got all the elements for a pretty rough year. Last night these elements stood out like a sore thumb as the well-oiled machine that is the Boston Celtics ran crisp execution after execution, while Toronto stumbled and bumbled through 15 turnovers and numerous blown possessions.
And as the deficit on the scoreboard mounted, the Raptors' moxy dropped in the opposite direction.
Dwane Casey can shake up the starting line-up all he wants but there are just going to be nights like this, nights when the team's inexperience and lack of talent shines bright and bold, and there's not much us fans can do but grin and bear it, as the bricks pile up.
Because make no mistake about it, this is a brick-laying club minus Andrea Bargnani.
We're talking about a team that attempts 21 shots a game near the rim, the fifth lowest mark in a league where the average is 23.
From 3 to 9 feet, it's equally as bad, where the Raptors are a shade off taking the fourth least amount of such shots in the NBA, at under nine a contest.
No surprise then, Toronto takes 23.6 shots from 16 to 23 feet, a shade behind Philadelphia for third-most in the association.
The difference though is that the 76ers are hitting 41% of said shots.
Toronto is converting on a measly 34 per cent.
In many ways that stat sums up the current situation for the Toronto Raptors. They're a team of jump shooters who can't hit jump shots and as we all know, that's not exactly a recipe for success, whether you're playing in the NBA or at the local Y.
It's also one of the main reasons the team keeps getting behind so fast in first quarters; look at the starting group! DeMar DeRozan and James Johnson are hardly Ray Allen and Paul Pierce in the shooting department and Ed Davis, while effective on the glass, is hardly Chris Bosh from the elbow. Factor in Jose Calderon's current shooting issues (0 for 5 last night, 36 per cent over last eight games) and it's pretty ugly. Suddenly Aaron Gray is the team's best option in terms of high percentage shots and while he was pretty solid last night for TO, you just can't rely on him to put up 30 points for you.
Unfortunately I'm not sure trying guys like Leandro Barbosa and Jerryd Bayless will change things that much. Again, both are volume scorers and while they're more likely to attack the cup, neither are exactly facilitators on offense which again hurts the club.
Point being, I don't see a real solution here until Andrea gets back and helps open things up. Players like DeMar DeRozan and Jose Calderon definitely need to shoot more efficiently and do a better job running the offense (DeRozan had three needless turnovers last night as well as making numerous plays late in the clock that led to more by his teammates) but it's hard for a leopard to shed its spots as they say. This club just doesn't have a lot of efficient offensive options, so it may fall on Dwane Casey to start getting really creative with his play-calling until Andrea returns.
It's either that, or hope that this whole Wilson Chandler rumour comes to fruition...
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bargs!
well you are right about Bargs and in actual fact he does make this team better. He opens it up for other players as other teams have to guard him. There is no one to target on raptors and they figure lets just shut down demar or barbosa and really that’s easy to do since both cant get it going consistently. If we had a better team, can you imagine with bargs how far we can go? I guess we got to wait till next year with another euro talent who will probably be great as well! I hope we get chandler too, trade few players for him… offer him a lot…. hes young and has promise so why not…hes better then most of our team! then we can have a good nucleus, with a couple draft pics next year it will look good.
Not sure how to take your post because you started it off with the International signal of sarcasm in Bargs!
Think it was a nod to the old sarcasm that now, strangely, isn’t so sarcastic ha ha. It’s an interesting turn of events as suddenly minus Andrea, you really start to see the gaping holes of talent. It’s a bizarro world for sure, but one that Toronto has to figure out while Bargs is on the shelf.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Feb 2, 2012 11:00 AM EST up reply actions
calderon
Anyone notice Calderon is not that effective running team without andrea? its amazing what one player can do I wonder how many games we would have won last year without andrea lol even though he was not playing as good this year…. other teams did guard him last year and he was just getting use to it. maybe we would have won 5 games lol
Didn’t have time to look at the stats this morning but as I was writing the piece, had a similar thought. Need to go back and see what Jose’s numbers, especially percentages are, minus Bargs.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Feb 2, 2012 11:09 AM EST up reply actions
It’s weird but I haven’t heard any talk of his hand issues of late.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
Still all wrapped up...
But as I alluded to otherwise, the physical issues have become significantly mental issues at this point…
"the Truth"
demarD
Don’t rub Bargnani in their faces just let it go
Bargnani on Amir Johnson
when you look at Amir’s stat line for the season Bargnani seems to have little impact on his production.
http://ca.sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/3982/gamelog;_ylt=AsDSD1RaSaOvaXINCcN8DWr9RgU6
The first three games sans-bargs were Amir for the season like. Sometime after the first Atlanta game things changed. The two games Bargnani returned Amir dropped 6 – 1 and 4 – 2 respectively.
His minutes ofcourse have changed significantly. Now why have his minutes come down? Can’t play C? Lack of effort? Injuries? Trying to avoid fouls and its killing his flow? I’m don’t know.
But I’m not sure there is a direct Bargnani impact on Amir (or Derozan as others have said) anymore than we have expected Amir to step up in Bargnani’s abscences and he, well, hasn’t.
by Not so Friendly Stranger on Feb 2, 2012 10:20 AM EST reply actions
I called this out in the chat last night but didn’t elaborate on it for the post. I think the absence of Bargs has hurt Amir on O, but on D, I’m at a loss. No explanation for his lack of rebounding, blocks, etc, etc. (Believe me, I see it thanks to his performance for my fantasy team.) So you’re right, this isn’t all on Bargnani. Something else is going on.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Feb 2, 2012 11:11 AM EST up reply actions
This is something that’s been bothering me aswell. It looks like most of the team just regressed . I looked across their stats : career low PERs all across the board. It’s as if they suddenly forgot everything …
All in all , if this keeps up , I hope Colangelo really, really takes a deep look at this roster and starts slashing. Im not talking bout Barbosa or Calderon, as those two should be long gone by the end of the year.
Im talking bout our so called “young talent” . While Ed has stringed 2 consecutive good games ,and James Johnson has looked like an NBA player for stretches , Demar is really the biggest dissapointment so far.
He was a mildly efficient player on O last year , while being brutal on D. This year , I dont even want to say what his shooting percentages are , or how often he gets to the line .
All in all, this time feels like its waiting for next year , without actually improving so as to have a good next year. Sure we’ll have Jonas , which may or may not be the answer at the 5, atleast for his first season , but how on Earth are we supposed to look at these guys and see championship potential?
by Shadowseeker on Feb 2, 2012 12:37 PM EST up reply actions
Amir
Didn’t Casey mention last week that he is banged up in pretty much every way imaginable?
Amir
I think it’s the result of playing out of position … We saw it with Bargnani as well, when a guy is too light and not used to the role, he’s going to burn out. When These guys use their energy trying to push around bigger and stronger people, what do they have left for running and cutting and leaping in for those out of area rebounds?
That's my point, he's played too much C and physically got beat up...
And as such he mentally checked out, not believing extra hustle was going to equate to any positive results anyways…
And now he’s wallowing in a funk…
It’s basketball depression, that had a very obvious cause, but is now just as much mental as physical…
"the Truth"
Sit on your hand for a half hour and then take a bottle of lotion to a private place...
“The Stranger” can’t help but make you feel a little better…
"the Truth"
conviently enough
the “friendly stranger”
by Not so Friendly Stranger on Feb 2, 2012 2:01 PM EST up reply actions
Concerned
I’m very bitter and confused about how this season’s going. The Raptors should not have 4-5 teams behind them in the standings. This team is absolutely horrendous. The worst part is that it’s so hard to be optimistic when two players who are supposed to be KEY players going forward (Demar and Ed) have shown no progress at all. Yet, Casey’s somehow managed to scrape together a few wins. How is this a good thing? The bottom line is, name any team in the league save for the Bobcats and there’s at least one untouchable player there. On the Raptors? Every damn player is expendable. They’ll win a game here and there on the backs of players who mean nothing to the team’s future (Barbosa, for example). There’s not one person on the team who makes me say, “Damn, in 3 years, with this guy and some other pieces around him, we can make some noise.” Trade Barbosa, trade Calderon, commit to sucking properly.
If this team ends up with another middling talent with a pick in the late lottery, damn I’m gonna be pissed.
Mikthaniel, I know you're out there
Say something to make me feel better. I’m sad.
Hard not to be nodding my head in agreement here. I linked to it yesterday but The Score.com had a good piece on how the team’s “success” is hurting its draft chances here. They’re following my 21 win pace and that’s too many wins to get a top 3 talent, which this club desperately needs.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Feb 2, 2012 11:17 AM EST up reply actions
HDave, I am afraid I have much to say, not too much of it light-hearted at this point...
But I can still smile, because as others have said this is a necessary evil…
While DeMar’s regression is somewhat worrying, it’s explainable and therefore not as worrisome to me as to others…
I think we are getting from DeMar what I hoped we would be getting from Bayless this season…
Tossed into the fire, show us who you are, let us evaluate you honestly, and have an ACCURATE measure of your usefulness going forward…
No smoke and mirrors, no excuses, no crutches… What kind of player are you going to be on this team?
I have seen DeMar for what he is, and know exactly how to maximize his strengths. I now have no illusions of “things I hope he adds to his game”. I can easily build a team with him as a key piece, but are Colangelo and I building the same team? That’s the question.
While I am finally clear as to what to do with DeMar, I am worried B.C. may still have rose coloured glasses on and I will never see my plan implemented.
I am actually going to spend some time doing a more in depth, player by player evaluation to accompany my “Rebuild” fanpost of the other day.
Each player on the roster, an honest account of strengths and weaknesses, their best usefulness to the franchise, and some of my coaching strategies I would employ.
"the Truth"
Simple fact is, every win except the Nets one was built on Bargnani’s surprisingly good season. Without him, or even with him but at last year’s performance level, I doubt we have more than 3 wins thus far.
So while Demar and Ed have been disappointing, this prolonged injury to Bargs may be the best thing to happen to the team, and should give us a better shot at a top draft pick than we technically ‘deserve,’ based on our record (percentage wise) with a fully healthy squad. The fact that this team is playing anywhere close to .500 (with Bargs) without this year’s pick and Jonas is a great sign for next year.
+1
if we don’t get a top 3 pick then we have to rely on luck to draft a fanchise guy. It’s possible tho, hopefully anyway
I feel th pain, Adam...
Yes to everything.
Just nothin we can do as fans…except pitch bitches here.
Having Gray as your hope is, well…sad. I know he loves the opportunity, but as a team…that is not good.
My only complaint is everybody saying Amir can be a stud with Bargs.
OK…so what?
Most could be. Even Gray would suddenly become a threat in the post if you had such a threat outside.
And I get upset when I hear about inguries and funks becuase YOU GET PAID.
You get paid big money to play a game!
So show up every damn night and kiss the floor you are allowed to play on instead of working a dead end job like the rest of us.
I want to smack any professional player when I hear about mental funks!
What really bothers me is the poor shooting. With or without Bargs, this horrid shooting is like listening to your mother in law when you have the flu…
Or that PEG solution for my colonoscopy!!!!…OMG just hurtful.
Is it mental?
Dunno…don’t know much about these guys, professiona careers or college.
But I am seeing them stink up the floor.
I don’t care how hard you play defense…IF the team is going to run down the court after playing good defense and only see clunkers hitting off the backboard or rim,,,time after time after time after time…you check out on defense.
PLEASE stop these jump shots from outside!
Please!
we have to...
This team has to shoot jump shots because it is the only thing teams are giving us.
Take our starting line up…
Jose, DD, JJ, Davis and Gray.
JJ has hit 7 three pointers on the year.
DD is shooting 4/28 from the three point land in his last 17 games, for 14%.
Aaron Gray can’t shoot outside the paint.
Ed Davis as stated above is not exactly Chris Bosh from the elbow, in fact his efg% is 24.1efg% compared to Bosh whose is 46.2%. While Brenday Haywood’s is 12%. So the numbers indicate he is closer to Haywood than he is bosh.
While Calderon’s numbers have dipped this year, he is still a good shooter he just doesn’t shoot. In fact he shoots the ball less than 9times per game, and while I applaud his ability to run the offence I would rather see him be more aggressive, especially with Bargnani out. I would be happy if he was in a 12-13 shot range, as long as they are quality looks.
So the question is simple…if you were guarding the Toronto Raptors would you have all your defenders sag into the paint and help stop penetration and post ups or pressure shooters? Especially when Jose has the ball, the teams are allow to focus on the ball against the Raptors because they don’t have to worry about contesting jump shots.
Its quite a simple theory, offence is spacing, spacing is offence. If we can’t create space for cutters, post ups or drives how can we attack the hoop. The only way to do this is to improve our overal team shooting and force teams to respect that as a threat.
I guess I am confused...
I think you are agreeing with me. Its the shooting.
You cannot get space if nobody cares if you take outside shots…hell, any shot… because the entire NBA now knows you will make less than 35 percent.
So clog the inside."
Gray shooting from outside the paint ain’t nothing…few centers can. And those that can are the “center” of most offenses.
Not just centers…they are superstars.
Gray ain’t that.
And so what’s up with Jose being able to shoot but not shooting?
I mean, come on Jose…you are getting blown out! When do you think you can step out and maybe make the open outside shot…maybe THEN we might get some spacing.
I think all he was saying is that you can't just magically ask them to stop shooting from outside... as was your plea...
PLEASE stop these jump shots from outside!
Please!
The fact is as long as our shooters suck, the defence will collapse to the paint making any interior offence near impossible and therefore leaving the only “good looks” to be jump shots.
You have to take the good looks over the crazy attempts, so we will continue to be a predominantly jump shooting team who shoots bad… until we shoot well… then we can stop shooting…
LOL
Nice little paradox that is…
"the Truth"
a paradox means you are stuck in an endless loop of contradicting logic.
This has a simple answer, get better at shooting.
slight modification to your conclusion...
Get better shooters…
Otherwise, yes you are congruent…
lol, okay correct, the word is correct…
"the Truth"
congruent?
easy there, lets not start calling names.
this is a joke for anyone who thinks I am serious.
i am sarcastic....
internet does not display that all the time, so i come off looking like a jerk….need to clarify once n a while.
we declared the international symbol of sarcasm here is
…BARGS!
ie. DeMar DeRozan narrowly missed out on a starting spot on this year’s All Star team, but is a lock as a coach’s selection…BARGS!
"the Truth"
We agree but...
The focus is becoming about the fact that the Raptors are consistently shooting jump shots on the perimeter.
We have to look at why they are shooting jumpshots?
Its because teams know we can’t shoot and take away the paint, so when all 4 help defenders are focused on the paint it takes away cutting and driving lanes and post up opportunities.
So while everyone would love to see the Raptors score more it comes down to what we can and can’t do. We can’t shoot and teams know this so they protect the paint first, which leaves open jump shots, unfortunately we can’t hit them.
Wilson Chandler deal...
As there isn’t too much to say on last nights game, figured I would break down the rumored deal and salary implications.
If we sign Chandler I am hoping that it is for something reasonable around 6.5mill-7.5mill/per year. He is obviously not a franchise caliber player and when we get into that 10million dollar per year range we are talking about players like Monta Ellis and Andrea Bargnani, which I don’t think he is at that level yet. On top of that competition for him will be at a minimum because most teams are over the cap and don’t need a small forward.
If we sign Chandler for 7million/4yrs and traded Jose that would actually bring out salary down 3.5million for next year. Meaning we would have 35.5 million commited to our players, on top of that you have to figure Jonas will get 3million and another high draft pick for 3.5million, bringing our total up to 42 million.
Here’s were a little guess work begins, with signing Chandler, I don’t understand why we would keep Kleiza. We would have Chandler and Johnson at the 3 and with Kleiza being paid 4.6million over the next two seasons. If we did amnesty Kleiza that would bring our pay role down to abotu 37million in salary and give us alot of wiggle room.
Another key to this deal, in my mind is Colangelo is banking on not getting a top 3 pick. With how everything is looking the Raptors could be in line for that 5-8 range. We are looking at MGK, Jeremy Lamb and Austin Rivers. All of who seem to have the ability to play the 2 or 3.
That would leave the Raptors with a line up of….
Pg: Bayless
Sg: Draft pick/DD
Sf: Chandler
Pf: Andrea
C: Jonas
On the bench we would Amir, Ed, Gray (assume he resigns), DD(draft pick) and Johnson, yet still have 15million dollar in cap space. To hopefully fill that Pg with a player like Andrea Miller, and some depth.
While I don’t know if it is striking fear in the Miami Heat, it definitely isn’t a game that teams would take as a guaranteed win.
Wilson Chandler deal...
good price for Chandler, would like him to start at 6mil tho. That plan looks good but MKG won’t be there when we pick, his stock has sky rocketed in the last 2 weeks, some mocks have him top 3.
Also, Jonas won’t be ready to start and if he does he won’t survive. I’ve watched a few of his games since Dec and he looks young and skinny. He looks like greattttttttttttttttt prospect tho, if he fills out and get’s stronger he’s gonna be a good one, you can see the potential is there.
Bayless can’t be our starter, that plan needs to be ammended to include acquiring a real, legit, starting calibre. Bayless hasn’t shown he can consistently run the team.
If we pick between 6 & 14, we might be in trouble for getting a above average SG. Bradley Beal isn’t necessarily a lock to be much better than DD, and if Jeremy Lamb is there, he’d be a good pick but comes with two important weaknesses, he avoids contact at all cost and he goes into some rediculous shooting slumps where he isn’t hitting anything, and I mean ANYTHING.
I we end the season picking where we are now or even lower, the best prospects may be SFs &PFs unfortunately.
Would Chandler accept 9mil for 1 yr with the Raptors, allowing both sides to reevaluate at the end of the season/draft?



























