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3 in the Key: Raptors' Game Day Preview vs Suns


The Toronto Raptors continue their road trip as they check into the US Airways Center for a match against the Suns. Do they have what it takes to stop their losing streak from reaching 9? The HQ's Sasha Kalra checks in with his thoughts

Star-divide

After their loss at the hands of the Lob City Clippers, the Raptors are in the desert and looking to right the ship against the Phoenix Suns. Not too many things have gone their way in recent games and the first quarter offense has to be a concern for Dwayne Casey. Our own Scott Campsall brought this up in his recap of the Clippers' loss and noted that we haven't reached the 14 point threshold in 4 of our last 5 first quarters.

The Suns are a team that has started the season slowly and many pundits don't see them finishing in the playoff spots out West. Alvin Gentry moved Jared Dudley and Channing Frye back to the bench (where they had flourished last season) and results have since improved. Steve Nash grows older by the season but his on-floor effectiveness and importance has yet to take a hit.

Marcin Gortat is another dangerous weapon that Dwane Casey will no doubt highlight in his team talk. It will be interesting to see if he goes with Amir Johnson on him throughout the game, as he wasn't too impressed with Amir's performance last time out against DeAndre Jordan.

Without further ado, its time to roll out the keys to the game:

1) The Polish Hammer: Steve Nash and Marcin Gortat are seen as being central to the unlikely scenario of the Suns making the playoffs. Gortat has been a force since being liberated from his role of "that backup who would start on 15 other teams" in Orlando. He is currently averaging 14 points and 9 rebounds while shooting a shade under 60% from the field. After watching DeAndre Jordan and LaMarcus Aldridge tear up our interior defense in recent games, the focus will have to be on keeping Gortat from making a difference

2) Which DeMar DeRozan shows up?: Which version of DeMar DeRozan shows up tonight will have a significant impact on whether or not the Raptors can end their 8 game slump. When Andrea Bargnani went down it was evident that DeRozan would have to increase his production to a higher level. He became the first option on O and his scoring ability above all was needed on an offensively-challenged team missing their top guy. But DeRozan has been a frustrated player as of late and has had some pretty terrible shooting nights. I still think he has the potential to develop into something special but he needs to start showing he impacts a basketball game in multiple ways and on a consistent basis. The best way to do this is to take it one game at a time.

3) Turn up the Tempo: After watching a few of their games this year it becomes quite clear that these aren't the Suns of yesteryear. Steve Nash, Grant Hill, Marcin Gortat and Michael Redd aren't going to win any 40 yard dashes anytime soon and this might just be the game for our young team to rediscover their offense. Making their job easier will be the older legs on the opposite end of the court and fast break points will help soften the blow of our "hit and miss" half court schemes.

Sasha Kalra

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poor steve nash. deserves a championship more then anyone else in the league.

by Justin Azevedo on Jan 24, 2012 8:57 AM EST reply actions  

Hopefully he ends in Toronto as a player/coach/mentor in his waning years

by axl t on Jan 24, 2012 9:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Uhm I think he is in his waning years now.

by McGateway on Jan 24, 2012 11:09 AM EST up reply actions  

I haven’t really been paying attention, but my understanding is he’s not dropping off yet in productivity.

by axl t on Jan 24, 2012 11:40 AM EST up reply actions  

He’s down a few PPGs from a few seasons ago, but he’s still putting up double digit assists.

by Posterized on Jan 24, 2012 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

I merely meant age wise. He can still be productive going forward but I do not think he has many years at a high level left. Of course we all thought that a few years ago too.

by McGateway on Jan 24, 2012 12:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Ah, I see, i was thinking of the dictionary definition of the word waning. I can’t see Phoenix giving him up easily while he’s still producing. Hopefully he gets involved in the raptors or in bringing a second team to Canada at some point.

by axl t on Jan 24, 2012 3:01 PM EST up reply actions  

From what I read looks like AB has a good chance of playing, as he has been practicing the last few days. Definitely would be a boost to this team, as our offence really can’t get any worse. As has been pointed out that Bargnani was finishing 2nd halfs poorly because he was tired, however he started strong. Which if you haven’t noticed, the last 5 games we have been out scored 132-71 (WOW!!!!!) in the first quarter. That is an average of 26-14. Need I say more?

Whether AB is in or out the start to this game is going to be vital, forget the x’s and o’s the effort and energy this team plays with in the second half needs to be there for 48minutes. Demar Derozan has to stop over dribbling and going east/west and go north/south, expect contact and still try to finish. He looks like he is expecting to goto the free throw line, players with his athleticism need to expect to get the AND 1, not just free throws.

Amir Johnson needs to either sit out or play, I do believe he is banged up and it is most likely effecting his performance. He may be a little spent because of the new expectations that are surrounding him and the lack of wins. However, if he can’t go and be effective he needs to sit out and get healthy because he isn’t doing anyone favours by his play. That being said Casey needs to ensure he keeps up the accountability approach, it is extremely effect if done properly but can also be toxic if it looks like he is playing favourites.

This is going to be a big chance for Bayless/Barbosa, Phoenix is very vulnerable at the guard position to being attacked off the dribble. The suns have never been known as a defensive juggernaut and Barbosa/Bayless’s ability to break people down off the bounce could be very effective. JJ and DD should hopefully being able to get out and run, but remember the Boston game? A similar comment was made about us imposing our youth and age on a team. We simply are not a run n gun style of team, but hopefully we can get some stops and run off of them. Defence leading to offence.

by Shalax23 on Jan 24, 2012 10:20 AM EST reply actions  

On playing favorites

Def a concern in terms or butler. Guy has been an unmitigated disaster,has a well-established ceiling and doesn’t seem to me to make up for his wasted offensive possessions with his so-so defense. I completely understand the desperate need for a 3 point shooter on this team, but if he’s not shooting his percentage, might as well have dd or jj throw them up.

by axl t on Jan 24, 2012 10:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Off Topic,Sorry....

Did anyone catch Averey Bradley play defence last night aganst the Magic…I was blown away !!! No 5 year learning curve required…straight up heart !!!

by d279 on Jan 24, 2012 10:52 AM EST reply actions  

No mentioning of players the Raptors should have drafted please. Thank you.

by McGateway on Jan 24, 2012 11:11 AM EST up reply actions  

In that picture above, it looks like Bayless is grabbing a handful of Gortat ass to get around that pick. LOL!!!

by Posterized on Jan 24, 2012 11:48 AM EST reply actions  

Please Win...

…someone please step up and get a W for us…

by keepit4real on Jan 24, 2012 3:48 PM EST reply actions  

-1

Keep losing baby! Ride the terrible train all the way to #1 Draft pick town!

by MAS11 on Jan 24, 2012 4:13 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

Plus, realistically, the only way I see the team breaking their losing streak is with a full strength Bargnani – so even if he is back, I expect him to take a few games to get back into rhythm.

This should be an 0-5 west coast road trip (if you count the Portland game in TO). Even putting aside my hopes for a draft pick, I can’t see a different outcome without Bargnani being in top shape.

by dhackett1565 on Jan 24, 2012 4:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Okay, so it only took one half. Nice win!

by dhackett1565 on Jan 24, 2012 11:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Tonight

Probably our best chance to win in a while. Phoenix lost last night, we had a night off…….

A win to break up the streak is ok, but I still favour Phoenix at home and ping pong balls are more important right now than bandaids on our bruised egos.

This team never had a chance to be good this year and we were teased a bit in the first few games running in to an ultra green Irving and Cavs, twice, and catching the Mavs unprepared for the season. Ever since that NJ game, we have been terrible. Not the coach’s fault. Team needs an upgrade and the draft is the best way to go about it. Best way to do well in the draft is to lose a lot of games in the regular season. Well, at least we’re doing one thing well. They have a chance to win tonight though and I am fine if they do. We won’t lose every game, but I am sticking with my 15 win season prediction (made before game 1).

by defensive rap on Jan 24, 2012 4:45 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah, my 21 wins is looking pretty optimistic at this point. Mind you, you never know what can happen when we finally have a full lineup. Not good basketball, but maybe good enough to get a few wins here and there against the bottom feeders or surprising a good team now and then.

by dhackett1565 on Jan 24, 2012 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

please advise...

.I know I have been in the minority here about the Raps trying to win at all cost, even the chance that winning even slightly will hurt the chances of a top lottery pick. I say fight every night for any win.
However, the lottery is still risky, as I recall, because the number of balls still don’t mean you get the "top" pick. I recall several years ago the team with the least balls got the number one pick.
And since my entire life seems to be not winning lotteries and in fact really being a “looser”, I prefer to fight for every breath and go down with some skin under my fingernails.
I am hoping I might lose the fight, but you will always be able to spot the guy who won by the scratches and scars on his face.

Now…here is my question…IF you do not win the "top" lottery pick, do then the next picks all go by the remaining lottery standing?
I mean, after the top winner, does everybody then get to pick the next 2nd, 3rd, 4th etc pick according to their falling in the lottery?
Or after THE top pick, does the draft then goes by all earlier positions determined earlier? There perhaps is somebody who already holds the 2nd pick, or already traded for the 3rd or 4th pick.

What I am asking, then, is are you working for JUST the top pick or the next several picks by throwing a season?

Please help me here as I really don’t follow this part of the game.

by ppellico on Jan 24, 2012 5:41 PM EST reply actions  

Lottery system

All of the teams not in the postures go into the lottery. The lower you are in the overall league standings, the more ping pong balls you have in the draw.

They only draw for the first 3 picks. After that your draft slot is based on your win-loss record. So if you had the least wins in the NBA, you would be guaranteed to pick between 1 and 4.

Talkinf fantasy bball on twitter http://twitter.com/FinalsFantasy#

by JumpShootersRUS on Jan 24, 2012 7:13 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Auto correct

Postures = playoffs

Talkinf fantasy bball on twitter http://twitter.com/FinalsFantasy#

by JumpShootersRUS on Jan 24, 2012 7:15 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

OK...thanks

so then the top three slots are determined by the ball drawing.
That is the part i was confused about.

So, then IF the Raps toss the season away, they still could end up without any lottery picks IF they do not get any of the first 3.
But then they should end up with a good position determined by a crappy record.

That is unless they have traded any of these future slots away.
Have they?

by ppellico on Jan 24, 2012 8:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Your Raptors starters: Calderon, DeRozan, J. Johnson, Bargnani, Gray …

"the Truth"

by Mikthaniel on Jan 24, 2012 8:25 PM EST reply actions  

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