Tip-In: "Preaching Patience" - Raptors' Rebuild May Take a Lot Longer Than Anticipated
Rebuilding was the right plan for the Toronto Raptors, but is it a longer process than we expected?
It was about the time that DeMar DeRozan bricked his fourth straight shot early in the game that something hit me.
The rebuild of the Toronto Raptors is potentially going to take a lot longer than anticipated.
With a 94 to 84 loss to the Portland Trailblazers, the Raps dropped their seventh straight contest and perhaps confirmed what many pundits believed prior to the start of the 2011-12 NBA season; this is not a good basketball team.
Sure, sure, the defence is better.
We've seen the stats, the improvements in terms of opponent points, and field goal percentage.
Yada, yada, yada.
But the bottom line is that the Raptors have won only four of their first 16 games this season.
More telling though, and what led me to the bold "thought of the night" above, is that I'm having a real tough time seeing this team improve to a huge extent next season. Most young clubs have that "jump year," where the young core pieces finally put it together, and go from being a league door-mat, to a respectable club, able to upset pretty much any team on any given night. Clubs like the Thunder, Magic and 76ers are all recent examples of this, and the hope I think was that this year or next, the Raptors would be in that same boat.
But I don't think that's the case.
Yes, the Raps are presumably adding a potential future stud in Jonas Valanciunas next season, in addition to a likely lottery pick and that sounds great.
But the reality is that those two pieces probably need at least a good couple seasons before hitting their stride and well, that puts us into the 2013-14 campaign at the earliest, before we see the potential "jump" I was mentioning. At that point guys like James Johnson and Jerryd Bayless could be gone, and it's not lock that others like DeRozan will be either. (More on that in a minute.)
Which is to say that I don't think the current group has the talent to make said leap.
Yep, I know, a cheery thought to start your Saturday.
But let's take a look here.
Of the young players expected to carry this club, can you at this point see any of DeMar DeRozan, Ed Davis, James Johnson, Jerryd Bayless or Amir Johnson being elite, or near-elite players?
I can't.
I can see Ed Davis continuing to progress though into a very solid starter, and Amir being a valuable contributor as one of the first men off the bench on a winning club, but that's about it.
DeRozan put up 22 points last night, but was 7 for 21, and has totals so far this season that look suspiciously like another former Raptor wing.
I'm not saying he's the second coming of Jamario Moon.
But we're nearly a quarter of the way through the season, and we've yet to see a DeMar DeRozan that looks anything like a player who can be a Luol Deng type, or RIP Hamilton in his Detroit days.
His PER is an atrocious 9.8, and despite a higher usage rate, has career-low numbers nearly across the board. He's essentially an inefficient, high-volume shooter, that isn't contributing in any other area. (Gulp, haven't we seen this description before?) The D-League is littered with such players and they're the easiest in the league to replace. I mean, Gerald Green put up 34 points in the D-League showcase.
I'm not saying we write DD off here, but remember the Andrea Bargnani development curve? If DeMar is on a similar path, then again, it's going to be a while before fans reap the benefits of his draft selection.
And Dwane Casey may not be helping things.
While the plodding and foul-happy style of play that Casey has the Raps is certainly helping at the defensive end, it's not exactly doing wonders for the team's offense, and appears to be negating the aforementioned youngsters strengths.
These aren't halfcourt players.
I mean, with five minutes left in an eight-point game, there was a half-court set that resulted in DeMar taking a shot from the left corner that went off the side of the backboard.
And don't tell me you're looking forward to some crisp rotations that result in a James Johnson corner-three attempt.
This is a collection of athletes who excel at getting up and down the floor and when pressed into halfcourt duty, especially without a floor-spacer like Andrea Bargnani, are left to fire up jump shots, jump shots that minus Bargs they're hitting to the tune of about 40 per cent.
Yes, things will improve once Andrea returns, and a healthy Jerryd Bayless will give the club someone who can attack off the bounce, something save Leandro Barbosa, the club just doesn't have, but even then, it's hard to see this team's young talent morphing into anything more than an eighth-place club in the East. LaMarcus Aldridge dropped 33 and 23 on the Dinos last night, and it was crystal-clear that Toronto didn't have a player in the same stratosphere as LA talent-wise.
In fact at one point the National Post's Eric Koreen tweeted that there wasn't a player on last night's active Raptors' roster that would make Portland's top seven.
The compounding issue for me is the timing of this rebuild. With guys like Bargnani and now potentially DeRozan and Davis taking longer to "get it" than expected, by the time future studs like Valanciunas begin impacting wins for Toronto, will the aforementioned crew even be around? Next year is a contract year for DD and guys like James Johnson and Jerryd Bayless may not even be back next season!
It's a tough spot for Bryan Colangelo to be in, and I don't envy the personnel decisions he may be faced with come June. A lock-out has meant an abridged campaign where a full one was sorely needed in order to help ascertain what young talent should be part of the team's future.
Now, things look pretty cloudy and I'm not sure how much clearer it's going to get.
Dwane Casey has done an impeccable job getting a bunch of non-defenders to step up the D, but his system isn't taking advantage of his players' offensive attributes.
What's left is a team that fights tooth and nail every night, but comes up short in the end, unable to score enough points to translate close losses into wins.
I expect we'll see a lot more of it this year and one hopes that said close losses don't eventually erode the team's "fight" as the season goes on.
Because at this rate, we may not only be watching 94 to 84 losses this season, but in the next couple as well.
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Always looks worse during a losing streak
I’ve always believed we’d visit the lottery another couple of times after this year before rotating upward. Not necessarily the high lottery, more like the late lottery. It’s going to be hard to get a young point guard otherwise.
That being said, I’d say the talent on this team is a little better than it’s showing right now. We have a heavy schedule of games in January, and a very heavy road schedule meaning lots of travel-weariness. Also, I believe in critical mass – take out Bargnani and Bayless, and the team loses enough scoring punch to make everyone else’s job exponentially harder. Starting a frontcourt of Amir and Ed only places undue pressure on DeMar since he and Jose are pretty much the only guys who score. Our bigs need to be fed the ball, they can’t create and they have no jump shot.
I think the talent will look better as the season goes along, and that much better when we start Valanciunas, who is not going to come into the league quite as raw a rookie as we think, especially after a summer with the Lithuanian olympic team playing against the world’s best.
Great comment
As the young guys play with better talent, the hope is indeed, they improve now too.
And indeed, there’s a big imbalance in terms of frontcourt/backcourt. Without Bargs, team needs a lot more scoring from Amir and Ed, and that’s not, at least right now, in their games.
My concern I guess is with some of the backcourt talent. I was prepared for losses, even of this variety. But to see guys like DeMar and even James Johnson, pre-last night, struggle as much as they are is more the big picture worry of mine.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 21, 2012 1:53 PM EST up reply actions
mine too
I was thinking the same thing a couple days ago. The lack of progress by our “core players” bothers me more than losing. Can’t help but be concerned about just how long this rebuild will take if our core seems to be this weak. Still early in th eseason tho so we’ll see.
re: Core Players
Glad that you used quotation marks around the words core. While DeRozan, Bargnani, and Davis were all Raptors draftees, they aren’t COLLECTIVELY the driving force behind the team’s performance. Amir has played a big part. Jose has played a big part. DeRozan and Davis are still figuring things out and this puts them in the same category as Jonas V when he comes over with the 2012 first round pick, as well as Jerryd Bayless and James Johnson.
I would argue that Bargnani needs to turn in a complete season being considered in the same breath as Calderon and Amir Johnson as game in, game out types. IMHO to be a part of a core, you need to have a recent track record of reliability. This is something perilously few Raptors have, and the only remedy for that is time, and more draft picks.
Agree
I’m finding it real easy to give the team a pass for now. I would be dissing bargs for not being back yet if there was any reason to care about winning this season but as it stands, health is way more important.
Actually think Amir should heal up, why risk turning a sore wrist into a messed up one?
Yep
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 21, 2012 1:35 PM EST up reply actions
but really...
what team wouldn’t miss its star player?
can’t think of a single team that wouldn’t plunge into the depths of mediocracy once their top player was taken out of the line up.
maybe they cab fake it for a few games…then it all begins to come apart.
And this team has had a series of these after a rediculous lockout/sudden death signing period/one week practice/2 game preseason start!!!
No kidding – looking good without Wade. Bosh is killing it.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 22, 2012 1:23 AM EST up reply actions
Not as close but...
not as far as we might think.
To be completely honest I think anyone who is expecting that ‘jump’ that you are referring to, to happen next season is being impatient.
What we have come to realize this year is that we do not have a franchise level player, or even a complete starting unit right now. While we talk about rebuilding, this year isn’t as much about rebuilding as tearing down. When the Thunder first drafted Kevin Durant they went 23-59. It took another year for them to add Westbrook and that’s when things really started to come together.
This year is about finding out what the young players can bring to the table in Casey’s system. If it happens that DD, JJ, Davis or Amir can’t be effective players in this system expect them to be shipped out. At least this is what I hope is the case….
So far Dwayne Casey has proved he knows how to coach defence by getting a bunch of offensive minded players to play defence, imagine what he could do with a group of players who can actually play defence? That being said our offence still has to improve, and if we are going to be a defence first team we need players that can execute in the half court, which we don’t have. The key to half court basketball (which wesaw last night, unfortunately it was Portland) is spacing and ball movement.
Right now the Toronto Raptors have very few players who are good shooters, which means teams are able to clog the middle up and take away our drives. If we add JV and Barnes to this group, suddenly a PnR with Jose/JV is more difficult to cover because the raptors have Barnes, Andrea and DD spacing the floor. Barnes is also able to get his shot off very easily because of his ability to pull up and shoot over players. We also could play off JV in the post or Andrea in the high post. To simply put it, what plays would you run for JJ, DD, Amir or Ed Davis? While JJ had 23 points last night lets not mistake fool’s gold for real gold, his strengths at this point are on the defensive end. DD cannot attack off the dribble, has no post game and no pull up jumpers. Ed Davis, makes the right move, but simply cannot finish right now. While I love what Amir brings his offence comes from Oboards, running the floor and from assists. So with those being 4 of our starters last night, what offence can we even run?
That being said I am a firm believer in stability at the Coaching position. You look at the teams that have been successful over the last few years OKC, Boston, Lakers, Spurs, Orlando, Denver, Portland, Dallas and Memphis they have all had the same coach for an extended period of time. They believed in their coaches and the system, and brought in players to suit that system. Teams that are improving Philadelphia and Chicago are buying into a coach’s system and getting success because of that.
While Triano ran a system that led to more individual success is that really what we want? The fact is we don’t have the talent, personally I believe defence and rebounding wins and that is what Casey preaches and we need to bring in players to suit his system, Jonas will be a player that suits his system, Andrea is proving he can but needs to do it consistently for a season, Jose and Amir have been getting better and better, and Forbes is proving he can play. That being said if people can’t then they should go.
If we have
Jose
SG
SF
Andrea
JV
We have 3 of our 5 starters locked in, but we need to add talent on the wings. DD is disappointing but hopefully he can figure things out, if not I am sure it would be easy to move him for a draft pick. We will add a player on the wing this draft and hopefully it is either Barnes or MKG. Now if we amnesty someone like Kleiza. We only have 40 million commited this season and about 30 million the season after. We should be able to fill in a solid wing player at about 8-9 million and a bench piece or two.
Great breakdown
I think you’re right Shalax, some fans were probably impatient on this in terms of TEAM expectations. I didn’t think the club would be great. I think I had 20 wins on the season, have to go back and check.
For me it’s more the individual growth that’s a concern. If the Raps were losing but DeRozan and Davis, etc, were looking like future studs, all good. But right now, pretty hard to say that.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 22, 2012 1:26 AM EST up reply actions
One thing I keep not seeing is.....
posters understanding the process. How it gets lost on some people that, for example, having opposing teams focusing on a player is going to take time for that player to get used to. Is it really coincidence that, for example AB last year (his first year being the lone palyer in the opposing team spotlight) was inefficient? My guess is the same is happening to DD. The difference between the two is that AB had a couple of moves/things on O (that nobody’s in the league had seen since Ralf Sampson) he could fall back on. DD does not have it and it will take a bit longer for him to figure it out. This experience will give DD and the cocaching staff a clear indication on how oppising teams will do to stop him and he’ll be able to work on it in the off season.
This is not a problem. This is an opportunity.
Now wouldn’t i be better if he was like MJ and take the league by storm? Of course yer but he is not MJ, is this enough to get a rid of him?
u gotta take Jose off that list tho, he's not gonna be around by the time this team peaks
he’s what 30or 31 already? Add PG to that list. Also I’d take JV off that list because if you’ve watched him play ull realize he is far from a starter in the NBA. Maybe in 2 or 3 yrs but he’s young and skinny at this point and won’t be successful in the NBA until he adds bulk and improves his overall game. JV is a longer term investment IMO. We still need a starting C for another couple of yrs at least.
Exactly my point. We’re talking in my books, and assuming the team does add legit top talent, another three seasons of pretty bad basketball. And while it’s revisionist history at this point, it’s why deals like the JO one hurt so much. Big risk short term, BIGGER risk long-term.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 21, 2012 1:55 PM EST up reply actions
Next season...
The lineup I was predicting is for next season. However, that team still isn’t making the playoffs. However, with another lottery pick, if we spend it on a pg or another top end talent. Suddenly I think we have a team that could be ready to turn the corner.
This year’s pick 1 year experience
JV 1 year experience
AB (hopefully consistent)
Amir (at this level as a 6th man)
Plus another lottery pick in 2013.
Plus signing a couple of quality players.
Realistically this team is geared to start moving up the ladder in 2013-2014.
Jose is still needed for next year, and if he would be willing to take a big of a pay cut would be a great player to have come off the bench.
when u put things into perspective, this team really only has 1 starter in Bargs and
everyone else is either suspect in terms of being starting material or in Jose’s case getting a bit old to be considered part of the team’s core.
Absolutely.
And I’m not even sold on Bargs yet. Let’s see how he does when he gets back.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 21, 2012 1:55 PM EST up reply actions
For Adam: Woe be to Raptors fans! At least we can be 'spiritual about it'... and hence why i post this link for the 'Raptors faithful'
Click Here For a chance to lose!
Up in the skyscrape, me and my apes, bake cakes.
HA
Very esoteric of you Jenge – Tom Waits is always a bit hit and miss for me.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 22, 2012 1:26 AM EST up reply actions
I'm not worried about the offense ..... yet
We know that these guys can score, they’ve done it many times before.
But one thing these guys haven’t done many times in the past, is play D, which they are now doing better than they have in the past.
D is a lot harder to get guys to buy into, and for them to actually do it somewhat as well as the coach wants. O on the other hand, almost every player wants to score, or be apart of a bucket.
It’s been mentioned many times on here (and else where), that the Raps need an identity. Until that identity is hard nosed D, I think Casey is going to put the O in the back seat. Remember, this isn’t just about this year, it’s about the future (or at least the next few years).
With that said, DD has been a disappointment so far. I think he can be a half decent player, but he hasn’t really shown it yet.
I would love this team to go after someone like Mo Williams. I would see him as an upgrade over Jose. He gets into the paint to get easy hoops for our bigs, decent outside shot, can gaurd top point gaurds in this league. As much as Jose is steady I want a point gaurd that will actually get in the paint and dish vs dish for outside shots that dont fall. Even Steve nash with his frame creatively gets in the lane. How many times a game do players challenge Jose to take it to the rack and he just dribbles past the rim.
by VancouverIslandRapsFan on Jan 21, 2012 2:21 PM EST reply actions
Where on the island?
I say don’t try getting a PG that’s better this year (unless younger, cheaper, and can lock in for several years).
Next year, then I start looking for his long term back up.
Would love to keep him around for a while longer
I'd like us to find a way to draft Marquis Teague this year and
have him work with Jose for a couple of yrs before taking over the starting role. If we have to flip Ed Davis to get another mid first round pick to get him I’d do it. Everyone Knows I like Teague a lot but Kabongo or even Marshall would do if he’s not an option. We do need to get a young PG into the system tho, before Calderon leaves.
re: Draft day Moves
I am also hoping that Colangelo can package some assets to move up, if that means acquiring a better player. As far as I’m concerned, we are still auditioning for the roles of Batman and Robin. With that in mind, I don’t think we should be trying to draft anyone who doesn’t have the skillset to eventually take on a large role on the team. No players who are content to be third options, play their role, and just hit open shots. We need difference makers, and each draft that passes without one places us that much more behind the other teams that are rebuilding. If the cost of moving up is one of our bench players, or a second round pick, so be it.
Forgive my lack of optimism, but I highly doubt we have the assets to acquire a second pick in a deep draft. In years past, the rumours as to the cost have been quite high. The one consistent asset that gets the deal done, ie a future pick from a non-playoff or middling playoff team ( ie When the Nuggets traded the Charlotte Bobcats first rounder to Minnesota for the pick that become T.Lawson in 2009 is something we can’t afford to pass up.
Victoria bro.. All my friens hate on me for being a Raptors fan. But I tell them through good and bad I am riding this storm out. Killed me when the Grizzlies left, then the sonics, so now a Raptor fan in good and bad. Kabongo has looked good, or the second coming of TJ ford.
by VancouverIslandRapsFan on Jan 21, 2012 2:35 PM EST reply actions
If anything this year shows in Aces that BC does not know how to evaluate talent.
I think ultimately that is the truth we are seeing here. There needs to be a complete overhaul of their scouting philosophies. Maybe they have already started this process, so they say by using the term “Changing the culture” but that will mean nothing if BC continues to bring in borderline players. He is super-lucky that this next draft seems stacked, and that may change everything for the team. But then you could argue that he could roll a six-sided die to make his pick and do okay.
Yes we have a few good players who could be better if they were on the right team at the right time. I will not mention who I think those players are here, because I do not want this to turn into an argument over which players I point out.
I actually wrote a whole bunch more here, but erased it because I felt that there really wasn’t more to be said then what I stated in the header. The rest was all point-in-case stuff, and as the Frank’s Red Hot lady says: when it comes to bad mid-road to under preforming players coming to Toronto BC seems to like to put that Sh*t on everything!
haha
I like the last line.
I do to question BC’s ability to judge talent. Really makes me wonder how much influence either his dad, or the staff his dad put in place around him, had to do with BC’s success in Phoenix.
But part of whats going on is the inevitable hangover during BC’s drunken attempt at team building the past 5 years. He liked the taste of the 06’ vintage a bit too much I think.
I understand the FA offseason moves done this year (Butler, Magloire, Carter, Gray) have been done more as hole fillers than anything. But what I don’t get is two things:
1) why are these guys, short of Gray and Forbes, even seeing minutes? They have no future on this team, never did have a future on the team, and they do nothing to benifit them (short of an entertaining flagrant foul from Magloire) They offer leadership? Ok no problem… but did this team need 3 of them? Even then for all of Reggie Evan’s weaknesses, can anyone say they’d rather have Magloire, Carter or Butler rather than Reggie… if not just for general entertainment value. (Evans would destroy Magloire in an inverview-off)
2) why not have signed guys that had a shot of possibly being something as this team progresses? Forbes I think is a great example. I’m not sure he will amount to much of anything, but atleast there is an outside chance that 3 years from now he could play a role as a 8th – 9th man (or higher if lucky). Can anyone say that about Magloire, Carter or Butler? At best these guys should all be practice team, locker room ‘leaders’. When injuries start going down scour the D-league for a replacement in the off chance they may turn out to be NBA fodder (seriously, why not give Alabi a chance. I don’t doubt he will suck, but atleast give him an opportunity to suck while the suckage is universal).
Then you have players who BC brought in under a faux run ’ n ’ gun philosophy, who now are expected to excel in slow paced ball with no identifiable skill (cough Demar cough). You have a guy who is learning, and not exactly suceeding, in Ed but the ‘non-democratic offense’ means not giving the ball to anyone not named Andrea, Leandro or Demar (10 of the 16 games Ed’s had 5 shots or less)
I know this year is supposed to be rebuilding. I’m completely and utterly down with that. I want that. This team needs that. But it doesn’t feel like rebuilding. It feels like trying or hoping to prove the critics wrong (that this team has enough talent to manufacture wins) but inadvertantly showing them just how right they are, and how far this team has to go.
Lets not forget this is the same guy who’s goal was to make the playoffs last season…. which ironically enough resulted in, on paper, the best outcome this team could have hoped for (a high draft pick).
But that does still scare me. There is the off chance that on some nights, no matter how rare or random they will be, this team will manufacture wins. That the end result will be minutes for guys who shouldn’t see minutes, that aren’t or shouldn’ t be part of the rebuild. That those random wins, or periods of temporary successful ball will take one less ping out of our desperate need for our franchise altering pong.
I hope EVERY player on this team right now is on the market in exchange for picks. A good stretch of games by any one person should just be an excellent excuse to call David Kahn or whoever the next possible chump could be. The following call is to the Raptors D-league affiliates. Let Casey keep having at them on the court, working from the ground up, instilling a hard work ethic for those few that remain, while he keeps getting cut off at the knees by temporary replacements (I know that sounds sarcastic but its not, entirely anyways… perhaps a bit over the top though)
by Not so Friendly Stranger on Jan 21, 2012 4:06 PM EST up reply actions
You bring in Magloire and Carter precisely because they are willing to take a one year contract. Who knows if they talked to Reggie and he wanted a much longer commitment to stay here. They are low risk roster filler who provide a positive influence on the younger players (they hope anyway) and maybe if they play half decent you can get a future 2nd round pick from someone looking to add one of them at the deadline. Maybe none of that happens but at least they are only on the books for one year.
oh I have no problems with their contract
but it could have just easily been given to a young scrub as opposed to an old scrub.
by Not so Friendly Stranger on Jan 21, 2012 7:58 PM EST up reply actions
You are going off the point
This is actually NOT the issue I was bringing up. These 1 year contracts are the BEST thing he has done. I really do not care who he brings in for this. And with a young-guys only system, they are more likely not to fully understand what the coach is trying to preach, so you need the old vets to help with this if indeed you are trying to change the culture. My point is that his so-called big moves have all been middle-road at best. And as I said above, I do not want to get into a person by person talent evaluation. Because I think if you get right on down to it there is no-one on this team that is even close to being a cornerstone of this franchise whatsoever. And just to set the record, I am not saying that the players themselves are not trying. I think they are. All I am saying is that any good organization starts with scouting, and quality leadership. If I see BC in another interview after getting a new player and say the words “He has a high basketball IQ” I will puke in a bucket, then go around the corner and yell my ass off… because it would be yet another example of BC’s idiotic mentality. ANY player who is good enough to play in the NBA has a high basketball IQ.
Okay… rant done. :)
re: Cornerstones
What were the Bulls before Derrick Rose? A bunch of players that were drafted in the top tier of the draft, and non of them an actual franchise player (ie Luol Deng, Heinrich, Noah) Heck the Bulls had a franchise player (Brand) and traded him away so they could double dip at the draft with both Eddy Curry and Tyson Chandler.
Any GM is just adding pieces to build a TEAM, and when you come across a transformational piece like a Durant or a Rose, well the slope of your improvement curve becomes that much steeper.
re: Colangelo track recorrd
I think the board is in agreement that Colangelo’s moves after the Bosh Reboot are much better then what he was building prior. Right now, he’s building throw the draft, and taking a few chances here and there on talent that may have been overlooked (James Johnson, Bayless, Ajinca). I would argue that he should have been doing this all along, and allowed the spector of Bosh’s impending free agency influence too much of the team’s development plan. As Dwight Howard is showing, and Lebron James has shown, no one player can go it alone. They need help, and not just the kind of help that collapses like a house of cards in their absence, (Cavaliers after Lebron left).
this is basketball....so
it might not be as drastic as Adam feels.
This is the sport where one or 2 guys do make the team a winning team.
I am sold on Bargs…at least as a top tier player.
That stud big man from Europe sounds exactly like the player I love, considering my game starts inside.
So now I think we have 2 top players.
Then a solid draft? Ya, I think so.
A good trade here and there and look what we found…a very good team.
perhaps not championship, but I am not big on playing for THE championship team.
I just want a solid second or third round competitive team. Then I am happy.
Having enjoyed a decade of championships with the Bull’s, I noticed one big thing…it didn’t change my life.
Not one stinking bit!
THEY got big money. I got to watch them demand more money.
After the championships I learned this was a business, for both the team and the players. Nothing more or less…just a business.
Some players were traded, some stayed…nothing really mattered to them about me.
So enjoy a good, solid basketball team of nice all around guys. And I think this team is really not that far away.
But then again, unlike many here, I still think this year will end up being enjoyable. When the bench is whole and they all start getting together as players and coaches, this is still going to be an enjoyable year.
What team added a single player to a crappy roster and went on to win a championship? You need at least 2 studs and 1 good player to even talk about winning or 1 stud and 4 or 5 really good players. The Raps are not even sure if they even have one good player yet.
who said anything about a championship team?????
IF you read again, I was looking for a elite team, a second or third round team.
THAT is a fabulous season.
In fact, I said I am not interested in building for a championship and went long into why.
If anybody here doesn’t think they have even one good player…then I am not sure if there is any grasp of professional ballplayer talent here.
This team has a top player right now and another coming next season (a center, at that), a number of really good players (and to me 2 high bench centers). Now perhaps finding that high percentage outside shooter and SMART point guard…you HAVE that second round, maybe third…playoff team.
UHM a 3rd round team is a championship caliber team
Otherwise what is the point. Any team can make the second round if the match up favours them. Making the 2nd round is as pointless as making the 1st is if you do not have the talent to win a championship. At least if you make it to the conference championship game you can say you are very close.
One Handed Amir Warriors On
Actually That Is His +/- Numbers Are Eigth Best Among NBA Starters
Still in top 20 in the NBA in 1 Year Overall Adjusted Rating at #18
What happened last night? Not sure if Amir’s worn down, but he was horrendous against Aldridge. Gray was the club’s best post-defender.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 21, 2012 5:38 PM EST up reply actions
On Triano
I’m starting to the he was actually better than I realized. Maybe new nothing about defense, but offensively, had the same guys looking much better.
Such a funny trade-off eh?
This would be an interesting analysis though as it’s possible the Raptors’ defence was so bad BECAUSE they played to their offensive strengths, ie, gambling on steals, allowing them to get out and run and score in transition.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Jan 21, 2012 5:39 PM EST up reply actions
Good offense is contingent on fewer players than good defense
So, if you implement a system that has good defense as its foundation and baseline, fewer steps, by way of a solid draft or good free agent signing, are needed to vault you higher faster in terms of legitimate contention than relying on your offense primarily. Chicago and OKC are two examples of this – where everyone outside of the one or two primary scorers can contribute significantly to winning without being able to score.
Happiness is that which gets lost in the details of its pursuit.
by HQ Interloper on Jan 21, 2012 5:52 PM EST up reply actions
Fixable Problems
If ED’s biggest issue is a reliable shot, I’m not too concerned because a good summer of actual coaching from the likes of Eric Hughes should help. If they tell DeMar to spend the summer adding some bulk so that he is more suited to the 3, it might be ideal for the team. If James Johnson could have his shot reconstructed so that it was more reliable, I don’t see any reason to worry if the goal is to make him your 8th or 9th guy in a solid ten man rotation. What was Philadelphia’s record at the start of last year? We can get caught up in the actual record or be bothered by stretches in games, or we can take solace in the trends that translate to future success.
Hypothetically, if they get the defense down so that it is automatic, the offensive aspects can be tweaked to suit the inherent skills. The one thing about this season is that there doesn’t seem to be too many false positives. We are seeing a truthful representation of current abilities as it relates to a style of play that is common in playoff scenarios. If the goal is championships, then ultimately this is a best case because it is easier to identify what needs to be corrected.
I think there is something about Alabi that has eliminated him from the team’s long term plans, something that the team simply chooses not to bring to light perhaps out of courtesy to his agent, because otherwise it makes little sense to not play him in these situations.
Lastly, the whole “player x should be entering his prime at this point” argument may not be as valid as it was in previous generations. I’m not sure it’s fair to affix an absolute date of realization on any of these players because, especially with the one and done scenario, I seriously wonder how much time is devoted to skills development in the college ranks as opposed to coaches trying to maximize the situation in that given year by playing a style that suits what the player came into the system with.
Happiness is that which gets lost in the details of its pursuit.
re Derozan development and SF
re: Alabi
They placed a big bet as far as term (3 years) on his second round rookie deal. I had interpreted it as a show of confidence. It could also have been a confirmation of his status as a project, and that he needed some work before he was able to contribute in any capacity. David Thorpe (his trainer and contributor to ESPN) has been hyping how far he’s come each offseason. Methinks a conflict of interest no?
re: player development curves
Agree that in the era of the “one and done” players come into the NBA with less of a pedigree behind them. At the same time, measurable progress is something that is expected from everyone, especially by their third year. Tracing back the reasons why DeRozan is performing poorly is a interesting exercise, but it doesn’t solve anything. He’s awfully close to the end of his rookie deal, and its put up or shut up time. If by some chance, a SG prospect emerges that is can’t miss when the Raptors pick, I hope BC doesn’t hesitate to make the pick. We have to come to terms with the fact that just because a player’s skills are raw that does not equate to being able to improve all of them given the luxury of time. It’s entirely possible that had DeRozan stayed all four years, he would only address a few of his weaknesses, if any.
re: SF
IMHO think DeRozan is undersized (strength and wingspan) to be a starting SF. I know James Johnson has is flaws on the offensive side of the game, but the size, strength, and rebounding ability he brings are necessities to compete against the at times PF sized athletes that populate the NBA SF spot.
The Basketball Jones: TBJ Video: Andrea Bargnani’s NBA All-Star Anthem
IamAmirJohnson this is awesome http://t.co/484HDQpw lol
About 1 day ago by Amir Johnson
Buddah
You were saying about TENN last week?
They just beat UCONN…
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
and texas earlier this week
What do you guys think abt Jeremy Lamb? Some mocks have him as high as 3rd. I can see the potential but he looks a little weak and kinda laid back. With some weight and a little more intensity he might be a good one at SG
watched a lot of college ball today and
there is no doubt this is a stron draft
Kabongo had a tough day at the office
Teague was average and MKG as well. Lots of talent out there tho, we need another first round pick to make this season’t torture worth it.
Draft, Draft, Draft!
this draft class is stacked with potential francise players, among andre drummond, anthony davis, harrison barnes, perry jones, MICHAEL KIDD GILCHRSIT.
if the raptors are smart they/d trade a couple hot peices during the trade deadline for picks, like LB or even, amir or ed. I still have patience for Demar, i think he has what it takes, my only question about him is, is he commited to be a raptor? when iwatch him on thw court, especially with Bargs is playing, i hate his body language, looks like he rather be somewhere else, thats what scares me.
According To BasketballReference.com
The Raptors have improved from 27th last season to 25th this season. Not significant but in the right direction. The season is still early
#poundtherock





























