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The Future of Julian Wright

Is this the end of the NBA line for JuJu?

Julian Wright was one of the top prospects in the 2007 NBA Draft.  He had huge upside, but four years into his NBA career, things haven't gone as planned.  The HQ takes a look...

Star-divide

Julian Wright stands in front of his locker, the lone remaining Toronto Raptor present in the wake of a season-ending 97 to 79 loss to the Miami Heat.

It was a perfect way to end the season in many ways, as the team produced one of their worst efforts of the year, getting pummeled by a "Big 3-less" Miami team, finishing the season with a record of 22 and 60.

Wright actually saw 18 minutes of action in the loss, scoring six points and grabbing three rebounds, but he was a team-high minus 24 on the night.

He takes his time getting dressed, rifling through various items while doing so, sometimes pausing to ask me if I have any interest in things like shoes and towels.

I politely decline, and laugh to myself when I consider the prospect of Julian Wright's giant kicks mounted on a mantle in my condo somewhere.

"It's over too soon" he says, referring to the recently concluded season.

"My first two years in the NBA, I've been in the playoffs.  The last two, I haven't."

"I know they say it's lucky, that guys are lucky to be on playoff teams, and it's true.  It's not something I've ever taken for granted."

As I stand there watching him sort through more Raptors' paraphernalia, it dawns on me that Julian is possibly a very long way from getting back to the NBA playoffs.  His current team, should they retain his services as a free agent, has a long ways to go, and Wright himself for the first time is looking at a very uncertain future in the NBA.

"Would you like to come back to Toronto next year?" I ask him.

"To be honest, I've got to look at my options first" he replies.  "I had a great time with this organization, a great time with the young guys on this club and we didn't let the losses get to us.  I'd definitely come back if the right opportunity was there."

And there it was.

Much like the recent comments from Joey Dorsey's agent Lance Young, a lot of Julian Wright's future in the NBA, with the Toronto Raptors or with another club, is going to come down to opportunity.  Wright doesn't turn 24 until November of this year, but he knows it's now or never if he wants to carve out a firm niche for himself in the league, and a lot of that "now or never" is going to come down to which team gives him a legit shot.

It's funny because in some ways, the Toronto Raptors gave him his first big shot last year.

He averaged a career-high 14.7 minutes of playing time a night, and was often a valuable contributor off the bench giving the team much-needed doses of energy, athleticism and defense.

However he just couldn't stick in coach Jay Triano's rotation despite injuries to players like Sonny Weems and Linas Kleiza, and eventually the Raptors traded for another small forward, James Johnson, who cemented himself as the team's first option at the 3.

Post-trade, Wright's playing time dropped off and he notched a number of DNP-CD's in early March.  His potential breakout year wasn't going as planned and frustration possibly boiled over in Oakland later that month when he refused to enter the game during a 138 to 100 blow-out at the hands of the Golden State Warriors.

He later apologized to his coaches and teammates for the incident, however to many, that seemed to be the nail in the proverbial coffin regarding Wright's time in TO.  One of the few defensive-minded players on the club was probably not coming back next season, and there were suddenly very real questions about his future as an NBA basketball player.  

He was no longer a rookie, or a high-upside lottery pick.  

He was now a four-year vet without a contract, and without what appeared to be a lot of interest in his services from other clubs.  

Not exactly the ideal situation for a former third team All-American at Kansas.

As we stood and talked about his future, I couldn't help but wonder if this was the last we'd seen of Julian Wright in the NBA.

"We'll see what happens man, we'll see" he says.

Wright's story though isn't an uncommon one in the league.

Drafted with the 13th pick in the 2007 NBA Draft by the New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets, Julian Emil-Jamaal Wright, a 6-8 225lb forward from Chicago Illinois, was one of the better "upside" players from the 2007 draft, a pretty good class that produced the likes of Kevin Durant, Al Horford, Mike Conley Jr, Joakim Noah and of course Greg Oden.

He wasn't seen as a sure thing like the aforementioned names, but along the lines of Thad Young, another 2007 draftee, Wright had some of the best potential of the group.

A long and athletic swingman with a prototypical small forward physique, experts agreed that if Wright could hone his offensive game, he could be a deadly player in the league, a tough match-up along the lines of a Boris Diaw (the non Eddy Curry Phoenix version at the time) thanks to his passing and rebounding abilities.

However that honed offensive game never developed.

His athletic ability and nose for the ball helped him post respectable effective field goal percentage totals, however a career free-throw shooting percentage of 58 per cent and a three-point percentage of 26 per cent (including a measly 20 per cent last season) underscore the lack of development in his shot, something that has consistently held him back in the league.

Wright knows this, and when I ask him about his off-season plans, he goes into great detail about the task at hand this summer:

"It's renovation time.  I'm going into the off-season very optimistic, but I need to make some changes (to my jumpshot)."

"I'll still get 500, 1000 shots up this summer, but if they're not the same each time I'm shooting them...there's just things I can correct."

"I've had the same shot, the same habits since I was a kid, so I'm going to try and break them up, start from scratch."

It's no doubt an admirable task, but is it a realistic one?  And shouldn't this have been done some time ago?

After all, this is the same player who refused to play in Summer League for New Orleans, despite the requests of head coach Monty Williams.

Wright has his work cut out for him so that he doesn't join the long list of "upside draft picks" that didn't pan out, names like Gerald Green, Rodney Carney, Rashad McCants and even former Raptors Joey Graham and Antoine Wright.  If he gets another shot with a team, he's going to have to make the most of it, perhaps finding a niche as a Brian Cardinal energy and hustle type.

Ironically I'd argue that the Raps could still use just such a player.

Who knows how productive Linas Kleiza will ever be, and James Johnson is the only other true small forward on the club, so it's not like Wright would be battling with guys like Ron Artest and Matt Barnes for playing time.

As well, new head coach Dwane Casey would likely have a much more consistent role for someone like Wright, who despite a positive wins produced mark of 1.6, actually posted his lowest career usage rate (13.0) last year with Toronto.

Wright may have gotten the minutes under Triano, but as fans can attest, it was a constant yo-yo in terms of the significance of that playing time.

Much like Joey Dorsey, I believe this is another situation where player X needs to find coach Y who believes in him, gives him a solid role, and instills confidence.  Wright isn't an unproductive player, but he does have major limitations to his game and until those are corrected to some extent, he simply needs to play to his strengths.

Strengths I'll add, that at one point had him looking like an upgrade over Jeff Green, the same Jeff Green that the Boston Celtics last year dealt key starter Kendrick Perkins for.

Wright might never be Jeff Green (and some may argue that's probably a good thing) but someone with his abilities and physical traits should be able to help a club win games.  He can play a number of positions on the floor, especially on D, and if he focussed on being a defensive stopper for now, ala a Thabo Sefolosha, then maybe he gets a good look from team during this extended off-season.

"Individually I know I've got to continue to work hard," Wright says as he puts the last of his items in a bag.  "I was thinking about that and the off-season even as the game was winding down."

"You've got to take every opportunity to make that impression."

It's hard to disagree, and it's my hope that Wright's next impression is a lasting one, either with the Raptors, or with another team in the NBA.

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Thanks For The Article

My opinion of Wight’s so far “Wash Out” career far below expectations on draft night is that he is a head case. Not a head case like Matt Barnes or Michael Beasley two players too many Raptors fans, IMO wanted to play for the Raptors.

Matt Barnes Pulls A Michael Beasley, Punches Player During Exhibition Game

http://www.sbnation.com/nba/2011/8/5/2345703/matt-barnes-punches-player-exhibition-game-michael-beasley

Wright just doesn’t seem to for a lack of a better word “fit”. He is not good enough to be a Prima Donna “Superstar” so that means he has to “fit” in with his teammates coaches etc. I have no other explanation for him spending a lot more time on the pine than his talents would appear to warrant.

JMO

by Buddahfan on Aug 5, 2011 9:40 AM EDT reply actions  

“I have no other explanation for him spending a lot more time on the pine than his talents would appear to warrant.”

I have an explanation for it – curious coaching decisions. I remember discussing this ad nauseam with the regulars in the in-game blogs. Julian, on many nights, was obviously the most productive SF as he actually played solid defence and could pass the ball. But Triangelo opted to force Kleiza down our throats….

by MAS11 on Aug 5, 2011 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Some of it I think is definitely coaching. Not sure about in NO, didn’t follow things closely enough but it’s hard to think that he wasn’t a better option at the 3 than the guys the Hornets’ had pre-Trevor Ariza, but definitely in TO.

How many times did we all want to jump through the TV and shake Triano when he kept rolling guys like Kleiza and even Weems out there when the team needed stops or rebounding?

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Aug 5, 2011 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Strange that he couldn’t get playing time in NO – he barely played here, and somehow posted a career high in minutes?

by dhackett1565 on Aug 5, 2011 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s a indeed strange. Some have labeled him as perhaps a head-case, but I’ve never seen or heard anything of the sort in terms of the Raps.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Aug 6, 2011 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Poor Mike Beasley…he just can’t get it together.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Aug 5, 2011 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great article, Franchise.

From a Raps perspective, if they can’t upgrade SF through free agency (or a trade), I see no reason not to re-sign Wright and give him 15 min a night backing up Johnson. Casey seems like the right coach for him.

by benjibopper on Aug 5, 2011 9:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Billy Hunter: 2011-12 season will likely be cancelled

At a conference in Baltimore of the National Bar Association, an organization of predominantly African-American lawyers and judges, Hunter was asked whether he believes there will be a 2011-12 season at all.

Billy Hunter, like many people, is not optimistic over the NBA lockout. (AP Photo)

“If I had to bet on it at this moment, I would probably say no,” Hunter said, according to the Baltimore Sun.

http://is.gd/y4O8jl

So there are IMO a number of ways to look at this statement by the Union chief.

1. Union guy believes NBA and owners won’t budge enough off of their demands
2. Union guy doesn’t want to budge enough off his demands
3. A combination of #1 and #2 above.
4. Union guy thinks that the NBA and owners want a lockout for the entire 2011-12 season so there will not be one regardless of what the Union agrees to for a new CBA.
5. Union guy wants to shut down the NBA for an entire season, simply because that is what the heads of Unions do to corporations.
6. Union guy is just trash talking in public.

JMO

by Buddahfan on Aug 5, 2011 9:55 AM EDT reply actions  

Saw that this morning…scary prospect. We’ve done long summers before and found lots to discuss…but a whole season???

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Aug 5, 2011 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

This is simply posturing and public relations that has been taking place since this begain and typically takes place – from both sides mind you – in any labour dispute.

by MAS11 on Aug 5, 2011 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

This is simply posturing and public relations that has been taking place since this begain and typically takes place – from both sides mind you – in any labour dispute.

by MAS11 on Aug 5, 2011 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

I Don't Know About Posturing

It sounds more like trash talk to me.

JMO

by Buddahfan on Aug 5, 2011 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’ve been saying it since the lockout was announced – I think this one goes a full season. I hope not, but all the signs are there. Neither side has budged, and the last meeting just resulted in each side being more sure of their own agenda, based on what I’ve heard. Haven’t heard a single positive thing come out of the discussions. And with the law suit the NBA just filed against the PA, there won’t be any useful negotiations until that gets through the courts – which could take months.

by dhackett1565 on Aug 5, 2011 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great article!

It’s funny, even before I read the article I was thinking that Sefolosha is the best comparison for JuJu. He needs to find a team where he’s option 5 on offense and is strictly responsible for guarding the oposing team’s best wing player and moving the basketball. JuJu would excell in this role me thinks.

by MAS11 on Aug 5, 2011 10:03 AM EDT reply actions  

Thanks folks!

I too believe that Juju could find a role on this team – the problem is, James Johnson, in my opinion, isn’t a huge upgrade on Wright, so one of the other will eventually have to go if the Raps either bring in a top prospect (say a Harrison Barnes) or sign a starter 3 via free agency.

So right now, it’s hard to see Wright coming back, and I think he’d be much more valuable on a team like the Heat or Thunder as an 8th or 9th man off the bench.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Aug 5, 2011 11:26 AM EDT reply actions  

I doubt he could win that 8th or 9th spot. Maybe 11th – sort of a 4th wing used in spots for defense.

by dhackett1565 on Aug 5, 2011 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

"Individually I know I've got to continue to work hard,"

From what i’ve read in various media accounts, the work ethic is not the problem. He’s one of those “first one in” types when it comes to practice. It’s not how much you practice, as much as what you practice in his case. Not everyone is willing to have their shot broken down and built back up again. In most cases, I’m guessing that coaches would much rather make minor tweaks, or just have the player do enough reps that the FORM on their shot is consistent and repeatable.

In Julian’s own words, his form isn’t consistent, and its clear given his practice habits that work on his own isn’t going to provide a solution. He needs a time with a dedicated shooting coach, ie at one of those facilities where NBA players go for pre-draft and off-season training. And when he’s not doing that, he needs to work on the kinds of skills that have kept other shooting-challenged swingmen in the NBA. His defense and ability to move the ball are a start, maybe some better rebounding?

by Yardly on Aug 5, 2011 12:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Wright is what he is

A player who when on the floor the other team can ignore, as he can’t shoot or make free throws, allowing the 4 Rap’s who can score to be guarded by 5 defenders.
Untill he can be at least an average scorer or free throw maker he will be lucky to find a min contract in the NBA, or be playing outside the NBA, as his type of current skills are a dime a dozen.
His refusal to play when asked by his coach, no matter the reason or excuse or whatever comments are made, for a player in his position is a damming inditement of him, and NBA coaches have a long memory.

by Johnn19 on Aug 5, 2011 2:47 PM EDT reply actions  

For Anyone Interested I Just Busted The Bargnani Myth Buster Fan Post

Go to my comment to see the the numbers. Bargnani’s numbers are pretty bad and that is an understatement. Even worse then I could have imagined. Especially the final number which I repost down below in quotes.

http://www.raptorshq.com/2011/8/4/2345349/nba-mythbusters-is-andrea-bargnani-a-terrible-defender

You should be sitting when you read this and not have anything in your hand to throw. How many millions is MLSE paying this bum.

In 64 games last season in which Bargnani played 25 mpg or more he won only 12 or those or 19% about 1 in 5.

However, what is worse and I find this unbelievable that anyone could be this bad as a starter. In those 64 games he outplayed a top rated opponent only four times. That is it.

You can go to my post to see the details including the list of the four who he actually managed to outplay in a game last season. You will also see a comparison of Bargnani to Ed and Amir.

by Buddahfan on Aug 5, 2011 3:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Pass on Wright

Mainly for the contract status. If he were signed, in a situation similar to James Johnson, then ya, bring hm back and hope Casey can push the right buttons. But I see no benefit in throwing new money at him.
And perhaps that is unfortunate. I thought he deserved more minutes last season.

Regarding Billy Hunters’ comments, that where the odds are. I have never been a big NCAA fan but am now looking for a team or two to cheer for, because thats the only ball that will be on TV at least for the rest of 2011.

by Tinmann on Aug 5, 2011 9:58 PM EDT reply actions  

More minutes and a longer leash

It would have been interesting to see what Casey would have done with Wright had he had an opportunity to coach him. Triano was sporadic for sure, and you wonder if Casey wouldn’t have used Wright a lot more opportunistically.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Aug 6, 2011 11:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hunter Is Just Doing What All Union Heads Do

Shut down the employer’s business.

There is nothing magical about what is going on.

Hunter is just being a union boss and doing what all union bosses do.

They try to increase their power at the expense of the greater good; i.e the fans and or consumers.

The more the 450 or so union members make the more the fans consumers got to pay. It is as simple as that.

by Buddahfan on Aug 6, 2011 11:28 AM EDT reply actions  

Buddah, as you obviously have an infantile understanding of Labour Relations in general, maybe it would be a good idea for you to stick to the points relevant to this specific work stopage.

by MAS11 on Aug 6, 2011 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

How About Discussing My Point

Hunter is just being a union boss and doing what all union bosses do.

They try to increase their power at the expense of the greater good; i.e the fans and or consumers.

The more the 450 or so union members make the more the fans consumers got to pay. It is as simple as that.

1. It is clear that Hunter is trying to get more money for the players,
2. The more money he gets for them the more successful he is as head of the union.
3. The more successful he is as head of the union the more power he gets and most likely he also gets more money.
4. The more money the players get the more it costs to run a team and make a profit or reduce the loss.
5. When costs go up in a business that operates in an controlled oligarchy with scarcity of denad the price of their products will have a PED of less than 1.

Therefore the more money Hunter gets for the players the more power he has and the more fans pay for tickets and other NBA products..

by Buddahfan on Aug 6, 2011 7:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

not a single

IMHO, IMO or I think in either of your posts…. convient?

by Not so Friendly Stranger on Aug 6, 2011 8:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wright

He’s one of those players that didn’t fit into Triano’s system very well. But maybe he can still resurrect his career and earn a role in Casey’s new system. Julian’s defensive mindset might make him a valuable role player for Casey’s new look Raptors. I say sign him to the minimum if he’s available and let him know it’s his last chance.

At 24 years old, he still has some potential, although the clock is quickly running out.

by defensive rap on Aug 6, 2011 4:26 PM EDT reply actions  

The thing is, Wright’s got a qualifying offer price of nearly $4M. So Toronto’s going to REALLY have to like him to keep him around.

Ideally, Wright would find his way back in a year or so, once the team gets some more top talent into the fold.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Aug 6, 2011 11:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Actually, the Raps could just offer him a lower contract, as a free agent, rather than making him restricted. Then it comes down to whether any other teams are interested and whether Wright wants to stay.

by dhackett1565 on Aug 7, 2011 7:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’d like it if the Raptors went with James Johnson and Julian Wright next year at SF. Now that Sonny Weems has gone overseas, that opens up minutes at the wing spots. However, realistically, it will be James Johnson and Linas Kleiza at the SF, much to my dismay. Kleiza serves NO purpose on this team, and I was against this signing from the very beginning. His “play” throughout the year just further solidified my position. His contract sucks and we are likely stuck with him for the duration as no GM in their right mind would trade for him. It’s too bad cause Wright, like Dorsey, brings defense, something that is painfully lacking from the Raptors, and something that is right up Dwane Casey’s alley. I’m just hoping Casey has the balls to glue Bargnani and Kleiza to the bench when they continually miss defensive rotations or allow their man to get easy buckets and not give in like Triano. Although that might not be a good idea as it might get him fired, just look at what happened to Sam Mitchell, SMH.

by raptorfan_dr07 on Aug 9, 2011 10:28 PM EDT reply actions  

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