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Breaking Down the Toronto Raptors' 2011-12 NBA Schedule


The 2011-12 NBA Schedule was released last night and the HQ breaks down the way things may potentially unfold for the Toronto Raptors.

Star-divide

I've had this feeling before.

It's the one where you know, you're approaching the peak of the biggest loop on a roller coaster, just before you make that huge, precipitous plunge.

You know what's coming, but there's nothing you can do to alter what's about to transpire, and it's going to be so intense, that it will seem over before it's begun.

That's pretty much how I would describe my feelings last night as I perused the recently released 2011-12, abridged, NBA schedule. It's going to be a rush, with the league packing in as many games as possible between Christmas day and April 26.

For the Toronto Raptors this means:

-17 of the team's first 26 games are on the road

-20 back-to-back games

-19 games in the 31 days of January

-A stretch in that January span that includes 8 of 9 straight on the road

How's that for the team's lottery chances?

However if you look closer at things, the schedule doesn't have as many pitfalls as I assumed it would. Yes, the start is pretty rough for sure, but Toronto only has one back-to-back-to-back, and it's against the beatable trio of Minnesota, Washington and Sacramento from January 9 to 11. Other than subbing in the Cavs and Bobcats there, the NBA couldn't have given a team a more favourable "trio" situation.

In addition, Toronto's opponents as laid out in this new schedule had a winning percentage below .500 last year (.495 to be exact), so it's not as if the NBA dealt the Dinos the best possible hand in terms of maximizing ping pong balls.

For fans, unfortunately the abridged schedule means folks like Dirk Nowitzki, Kevin Durant and more importantly, Steve Nash won't be making a trip to the friendly confines of the ACC this year.

As well, only four Sunday home games, the type of matches that were traditionally a staple of a Toronto Raptors' regular season schedule.

But forget the overview, let's dig into things as we did back in July when the original schedule was released, and present a month-by-month look at how Toronto may fare this season, based on the new schedule.



December

December is really just three games now, not including the two preseason, "home-and-homes" against the Boston Celtics.

The team faces Cleveland in its debut on Boxing Day, in Cleveland, before taking on the Pacers two days later in the home opener. Finally, on December 30, the club travels to Dallas to take on the defending NBA Champs.

It's not the worst possible start for a team and it's quite possible the club starts the season with a winning record, something they'll need heading into January, the busiest month in team history.

Record prediction for December- 2 and 1.

January

Ok so 19 games this month, the bulk of which are on the road, and the much-discussed "back-to-back-to-back."

The month isn't packed with juggernaut opponents, clubs like Minny, Washington and Cleveland dote the early part of the month, but there are enough potholes here to make things pretty tough in terms of creating any momentum for the remainder of the season. This is especially the case towards the end of the month where Toronto faces Chicago, Atlanta, Boston and Portland before heading out West to take on teams like the Clips and Suns.

Record prediction for January- 5 and 14.

February

February starts off with a match in Boston and ends with a road trip to New Orleans, the same as the NBA had originally planned back in July.

Not exactly friendly bookends and the matches in the middle aren't exactly a walk in the park either.

Sure, there are only 13 games in Feb thanks to the NBA All-Star break, and a few potential ducks like Charlotte and Washington, but at Miami, doubling up on the C's,versus Lakers, Knicks and Spurs and it's not much of a potential "rebound month."

Record prediction for February- 4 and 9.

March

As the NBA tends to do each year, the schedule goes "home game heavy" towards its conclusion for Toronto.

The team plays 10 of its 17 matches in March at home, and therefore perhaps the club can make like the Dinos of 2009, post Shawn Marion trade, going on a bit of a run as the season winds down, especially since the month starts with opponents like Golden State, Detroit and Milwaukee.

Unfortunately mixed in there are 10 matches against clubs that participated in the playoffs last year, and a few others who were close to making it.

With 11 wins heading into this month, it's hard to foresee a huge jump in record based on the March hand has been dealt.

Record prediction for March- 4 and 13.

April

If the club's record follows my prognostications to any degree, it will be heading into the final month of the season with a record of 15 and 37.

This would represent an improvement already over the previous year percentage-wise, but it's still nothing to write home about.

Toronto's final 10 games then would decide if the team could crack the 20 win plateau and with matches against Washington and Charlotte to kick off the month, as well as contests against the Timberwolves, Bucks, Pacers, Cavs and Nets, it's not out of the question.

There's no finishing match against the Heat this year (no, the Dinos take on the Nets at home) and really, the only matches that look like sure-fire losses are to OKC on April 8, Boston on April 13, and Miami on April 18. In fact Toronto was 2 and 0 against the Thunder last year so who knows, maybe a .500 month to end the year is within reach.

I'm going to err slightly on the pessimistic side however, especially with a home-and-home to Atlanta, a team that's always given Toronto problems, and a few "trap" games for what will likely be a weary Raptors' squad at this point in the year.

Record prediction for April- 6 and 8.

Final 2011-12 Record - 21 and 45

Now considering Toronto won only 22 of 82 games last season, should the team settle on a record near the above mark, I'd say that's a step in the right direction for the franchise, as it awaits some help from a future lottery pick as well as Jonas Valanciunas next season. It's pretty tough to do much accurate prediction at this point of course, considering how unsettled the league's rosters are, but improvements from folks like DeMar and Bayless, as well as hopefully a "Casey D effect," make that 21 and 45 mark attainable I'd argue.

However lots could go wrong of course, from injuries to some of the "duck" teams, beefing up via free agency over the next week or so, and this is admittedly a very simplistic form of analysis.

More telling may be this chart that Ben Golliver of Blazer's edge drew up.

From it you'll see that going on last year's win totals, Toronto is in tough even if they did miss out on drawing some of the powerhouse West teams twice and in the end, we'll just have to see how the games start to unfold before we can probably properly gauge how successful, or unsuccessful, the 2011-12 Toronto Raptors will be.

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First Thing On The 2011-12 Raptors Schedule

is player voting for the proposed CBA.

Voting begins in 10 minutes

Any Raptors players reading this, vote yes and

Lets Get It On

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

Say What?
Final 2010-11 Record – 21 and 45

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 10:53 AM EST reply actions  

Nice catch Buddha – updated ;)

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Dec 7, 2011 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Ed Davis Incentive To Not Get Injured and Go On Rehab - LOL
johnhollinger John Hollinger
RT @KBergCBS unlimited D-League assignments for three years. Veterans can go, but only with consent.
29 minutes ag

o

Anyone for sending Bargnani to the D-League? LOL

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 12:53 PM EST reply actions  

Negotiators have 'closed the deal' on b-list
According to Ken Berger of CBSSports.com, the league and players union have pretty much “closed the deal” on the number of so-called “b-list” issues holding up a final collective bargaining agreement.

Players will beging electronic voting on a new CBA Wednesday at 4 p.m. ET and finish at 6 p.m. Owners will vote at their Board of Governors meeting Thursday. All of this needs to be done in time for free agency and training camps to officially begind Dec. 9 as scheduled.

Three interesting points in the resolved b-list items, via Berger:

Players will be subject to offseason testing, but only for steroids, a source says. Prior random tests were only from Oct. 1-June 30.

Unlimited D-League assignments for three years. Veterans can go, but only with consent. League had wanted five-year program.

All indications remain that draft eligibility age will stay the same until there is time for further discussion. Which means this year’s superstar class won’t be affected.

Once the new CBA is ratified, the league will be fully open for business once again.

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 1:06 PM EST reply actions  

Players will be subject to off-season testing, but only for steroids, a source says.

I don’t think we have to worry about Bargnani failing this test. LOL

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 1:07 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

All indications remain that draft eligibility age will stay the same until there is time for further discussion. Which means this year’s superstar class won’t be affected.

This is the critical part for the Raptors. The D-League changes may help, too. Alabi might see some time there this season.

by DW19 on Dec 7, 2011 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Couldn’t Alabi have gone down this year under the old regime? I thought players could be sent down in their first 2 years.

by MAS11 on Dec 7, 2011 8:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Amnesty

.
Any final word on whether over-the-cap teams can bid on amnestied players?
.

by RapthoseLeafs on Dec 7, 2011 1:55 PM EST reply actions  

From what I understand...

The team bidding has to have the cap space for the salary they are offering…

The team cutting the player gets:

a) The players full salary remaining off of their cap space
b) A reduction of pay owed by whatever amount the winning bidder offers
c) The FULL amount of the cut player’s salary counts towards the teams MINIMUM payroll requirements

So, the winning bidder has to have the cap space but the cutting team doesn’t have to replace the salary to stay above the minimum required spending limit…

"the Truth"

by Mikthaniel on Dec 7, 2011 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

which begs a question

what would you guys bid for Richard Jefferson?

by renato on Dec 7, 2011 2:35 PM EST up reply actions  

A couple of snickers bars and a punching bag with Wince Carter’s picture on the head.

by McGateway on Dec 7, 2011 2:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Jefferson is Andrea Bargnani on steriods

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 2:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Too Damn Funny

BallisLife Tweeted this

Ballislife Ballislife.com
VIDEO: Who Has The Best Windmill Dunk In The NBA? shar.es/oKCzH

Is it @KingJames @russwest44 @John_Wall

So I Tweeted him. What about this

So then BallisLife Tweeted this

Ballislife Ballislife.com
VIDEO: Who Has The Best Windmill Dunk In The NBA? shar.es/oKCzH

Is it @KingJames @russwest44 @John_Wall @DeMar_DeRozan ??

RFLMAO

Amir is the Ron Paul of the NBA. LOL

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 2:20 PM EST reply actions  

tangental perhaps???

but yeah Ron Paul at least has a grasp of the issues and is not playing hide the sausage with The Donald.

by sixtanker on Dec 7, 2011 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

No respect

Amir is the Ron Paul of the NBA.

Not to argue a simple point, but I’d say Amir is the Jon Huntsman of the NBA …. as Ron Paul gets no attention because he’s old – despite his good ideas. Huntsman gets no respect because he actually makes sense. And you Budda … have always said Amir makes sense (to this team).

:-)
.

by RapthoseLeafs on Dec 7, 2011 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

RP Makes More Sense Then Any of The Others

People under 30 love him and the U.S. Military loves him.

Only the establishment dislikes him because they know he will drain and clean the swamp and each one of them is part of the goo in the swamp.

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 7:59 PM EST up reply actions  

About Amir

BC said today that the Raptors management and coaches don’t know the physical condition of Amir and won’t until after they check him out tomorrow.

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 8:01 PM EST up reply actions  

LOL

Ryan Wolstat: Leandro Barbosa walked in to the ACC. I asked him if his Brazilian buddy Nene was signing with Toronto. “No man, it’s too cold.” #raptors Twitter
Rumors tagsToronto Raptors, Free Agency, Leandro Barbosa, Nene

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 4:06 PM EST reply actions  

Vancouver is by far much warmer than Toronto.

by dhackett1565 on Dec 8, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

NBPA urges ratification of labor deal
By Chris Sheridan
December 07, 2011 at 5:10 PM

NEW YORK — A memo was sent out this afternoon from the players’ union urging ratification of the new collective bargaining agreement.

Players have until 4 p.m. Thursday to vote "yes" or "no" on the deal.

In the memo, a copy of which was obtained by SheridanHoops.com, union director Billy Hunter wrote: "Although the players made significant financial concessions, including taking a reduced share of Basketball Related Income, collective salaries will nonetheless increase over the course of the CBA, the players retained important system issues, and achieved gains on non-economic issues.

The document goes on to list the terms of the agreement. Among them:

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 5:46 PM EST reply actions  

jfleminghoops Jason Fleming
RT @wojyahoonba: The NBA has informed teams that they can begin player transactions at 2 p.m., ET on Friday, league sources tell Y! Sports.
7 minutes ago

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 6:28 PM EST reply actions  

LOL

Too funny, despite the fact that there is only one big on the team that needs “protecting” and the other bigs are going to end up “protecting” him anyways.

by MAS11 on Dec 7, 2011 8:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Hayes To Sign With Kings - Looks Very Likely According to Stein

ESPNSteinLine Marc Stein
Kings source confirms Sacramento has offered four-year deal at midlevel exception ($20 million) to Chuck Hayes and optimistic he’ll accept

by Buddahfan on Dec 7, 2011 8:36 PM EST reply actions  

$20 mil for Hayes?!? Um ya, I'm confident he'll sign too!

Glad we had the lockout! Sure corrected the problem of NBA GMs being “forced” to “overpay”.

by MAS11 on Dec 7, 2011 8:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Good interview with BC on the Fan

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qjhqnvCRkDA&feature=player_embedded

mentions a few key things:

- continuing the “rebuilding” theme from last year
- has a few potential things lined up for when free agency starts
- not interested in doling out long term contracts and would like to maintain cap flexibility through next season
- looking forward to next year with 2012 draft pick and JV
- part of pitch to casey was the young talent and the idea of rebuilding
- McCown asked if there’s a fear of creating an “apathetic fanbase” due to rebuild, BC replied that rebuilds take time and patience is required

For all the crap BC takes, he’s saying all the right things so far – let’s see if he walks the walk as well

elephant shell
never question our ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory - yardly

by sportsfan2 on Dec 7, 2011 9:03 PM EST reply actions  

He has plans for free agency

Hmm, at least he said he was not interested in any long term contracts.

Demar Derozan, JJ, Bayless, Ed, Amir…….

back ups of Jose, Andrea, Barbosa

This year should be better than last, but next year should be great…especially if this year we play hard but develop a system and worry less about killing ourselves to win every game…then we draft high next year and we will get two young top picks coming in next season to compliment our young roster….

Let the championship journey begin. And if we win a little bit more this year and don’t get as high a pick, so what. It’s a deep draft and winning is rarely bad. It is a state of mind, and if Casey can get this team to win a bit more than they should and we will benefit in other ways. But if we can play tough D, get our young guns lots of minutes and happen to lose a lot of close games, better.

by defensive rap on Dec 8, 2011 4:23 AM EST reply actions  

2012-2013

We are a top six team in the East with most of our players under 25.

by defensive rap on Dec 8, 2011 4:24 AM EST reply actions  

no, we will be not

it will still take some time to develop talent, not even Griffin has taken the Clippers to the Echelon

by renato on Dec 8, 2011 6:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah but we have ………………………………….. never mind.

by McGateway on Dec 8, 2011 6:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Not Until Bargnani Goes

At the All-Star break I can hear it now.

BC: Dwayne what is your opinion so far of our players now that you have coached them for a score or more games.

DC: Lot of good young talent led by Ed and DeMar but we have to find a way to get a sucker to take Bargnani off our hands.

by Buddahfan on Dec 8, 2011 10:02 AM EST up reply actions  

If that conversation happens at the All-Star break, that leaves a week or two to unload him by the deadline!

by dhackett1565 on Dec 8, 2011 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Jamal Magloire

Will be bringing his talents to the T dot. I prefer him for five reasons over Hayes.

1. He’s an obvious stop gap player who is not part of our future and he knows his role. This will allow us to focus on our future players, and not get confused. Hayes is a stop gap player as well, and we could confuse him for more than he is. With Magloire that can’t happen.

2. He’s more experienced and can be a stable force instead of energy, which we have a lot of already.

3. He’s cheaper and gives us more flexibility going forward.

4. we probably lose a game or two more so we get a higher pick (maybe, not a big difference either way and wins aren’t that crucial this year) so go with the cheaper alternative

5. he’s Canadian

by defensive rap on Dec 8, 2011 5:03 AM EST reply actions  

I agree with all of your points but the last one as I couldn’t care if he was from Mars as long as the first 4 points are true. This is the kind of move I hope to see for the next few years, low risk. There is no need for this team to make a big splash in FA this year as we still lack a single true building block and would be just throwing away money. There are plenty of cheap, short term, and low risk players out there to add and who knows, if Magloire somehow picks up his game a little we might even be able to parlay him into a 2nd round draft choice for BC to squander on someone who has no chance to play in the NBA.

by McGateway on Dec 8, 2011 6:53 AM EST up reply actions  

Even At 33 Years Old

He is a better defender and rebounder than Bargnani and JM can definitely play the Center position. He is big, strong and tough enough to play Center.

No he won’t start but he sure beats Dorsey, Alabi and Ajinca.

+1 on this signing

by Buddahfan on Dec 8, 2011 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Agreed

Love this deal. Love Maglore as a stop gap at the vet minimum WAY more than Chuck Hayes at 3 mil a year. Also, I was listening to Jack Armstrong being interviewed on TSN radio this morning driving into the office and he made some good points (he’s a fan of the deal as well). It gives Toronto a cheap yet serviceable player to play centre, who can lead by example and teach the kids how to be pros. He will be an extension of Casey in the locker room, a big brother of sorts. Jack also referenced how Maglore has matured over the years, is a pro’s pro and has experience on some successful teams and may relish the role of quasi-player coach at this point in his career. Almost an ideal fit for a team full of younglings that may need to be reminded every now and then what it means to be a professional.

by MAS11 on Dec 8, 2011 11:00 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

Love the signing. Hoping for similar signings to fill out the rest of the roster. Need a decent 3, but the third PG and final big should hopefully be similar signings, even though I don’t really think we need another big at this point, unless we move one of the PF’s.

by dhackett1565 on Dec 8, 2011 11:11 AM EST up reply actions  

Agree, not sure why we would need another big if we already have 2 centres (Maglore/Alabi) and 3 PFs under contract. We do need a 3 and a 3rd PG and would go "young long-shot high risk/reward with each of those positions. Simply because… why not?

by MAS11 on Dec 8, 2011 12:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Ethan J. Skolnick: Jamaal Magloire goes home, signing with Toronto. Well-liked in Heat org. Twitter
Rumors tagsMiami Heat, Toronto Raptors, Free Agency, Jamaal Magloire

BC said that the Raptors wanted to add a PG, SF and two Bigs

List is now down to One PG, SF and Big.

by Buddahfan on Dec 8, 2011 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

NBA to Introduce New Rules
Substitutions will only be allowed before the final free throw of any trip to the line that is not for a technical or flagrant foul.
Two horns will be sounded 15 seconds apart after every timeout. Teams whose players are not moving toward the court as soon as the second horn sounds will receive a delay-of-game warning.

Instant replay will be utilized only during full timeouts, not 20-second timeouts, when necessary.

Whether a player’s foot is on the three-point line or midcourt line will be determined by where it last touched the floor, meaning a player could have a toe on the three-point line but if he leans back on his heels before he releases the ball a successful shot would be deemed a three-pointer.

The eight-second backcourt violation will occur when the shot clock reaches 15 seconds, rather than 16.

The last rule is necessary because the 24-second shot clock will now be equipped to show 10ths for the final five seconds and work as a "true" clock. From a technical standpoint, the old shot clock began with 24.9 seconds and expired with .9 left. Now the clock will switch from 24 to 23 seconds after .1 second has expired.

by Buddahfan on Dec 8, 2011 10:06 AM EST reply actions  

SB To Heat
WindhorstESPN Brian Windhorst
Shane Battier picks Heat: es.pn/tZPSca

1 minute ago
Sam Amick
sam_amick Sam Amick
Source says Shane Battier to receive taxpayer midlevel from Miami. I’m assuming he gets full 3 yrs starting at $3 mil but haven’t confirmed.

by Buddahfan on Dec 8, 2011 10:32 AM EST reply actions  

If it’s the tax payer mid-level, then they are re-signing Chalmers to something significant, and keeping Miller.

by dhackett1565 on Dec 8, 2011 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

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