3 In the Key: Toronto Raptors Game Day Preview vs. Denver
Things are definitely not peaches and cream in Raptor land. The players look lost and disinterested, the coach is losing credibility by the day and suddenly Bryan Colangelo, the man who in some people's eyes could do no wrong has clearly shown that no-one is far from perfect.
What could help cure all that ails the Raptors? A win against the Denver Nuggets.
So is that it?
Are the Raptors throwing in the towel on the 2009-2010 season and willing let another season go by without a playoff appearance?
If the last game against the Utah Jazz tells us anything it is that the answer to this question is a resounding YES!
Based on yesterday's poll question however, there appears to be a majority of fans who still feel optimistic about the Raps making the playoffs.
I for one voted "no".
The Raptors are in the midst of a major late season collapse. In the past month the Raps have gone 4-12 with their three of their four wins coming against some of the league's worst in the Nets, the Wolves and the Knicks. The only win of any significance in the past 30 days was against the Hawks.
There is also no evidence that anyone can point to that would suggest that the Raps are going to turn things around. Actually, it looks like this team has essentially mailed it in.
There's no fight. There's no fire. There's no life.
It's true that the NBA season is a long one with many peaks and valleys and this season has been no different. Unfortunately for the Raptors the current valley which they find themselves in must feel more like being at the bottom of a well with no way up.
Which brings me to CB4. Of all of the cornerstone's of this Raptors team (which include Andrea Bargnani, Hedo Turkoglu, Jose Calderon(?) and DeMar DeRozan) he is the only one that can get out of what seems to be a bad situation. If things continue to go the way they are right now his free-agency is more like a get out of jail free card. Hedo is completely unmovable, Bargnani has not consistently shown he can be the team's number 2 option and professed to being lazy, and everyone else gets a collective "meh".
I ask you - if you were CB4 would you want to stay? I wouldn't.
The idea of playing with D-Wade in South Beach, or with Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah in Chicago, or even starting fresh with the Knicks has to be more appealing than re-signing with a team that is being weighed down by bloated contracts, bad chemistry and possibly no first round pick. If the Raps do end up missing the playoffs is there any reason why Bosh wouldn't demand a sign and trade? You can't tell me Bosh isn't aware that if he re-signs that Hedo and Bargs are almost undoubtedly the guys he is going to have to rely on to become an elite Eastern Conference team. It's unlikely. We all know that.
The usual wild card in this is that Bryan Colangelo has managed to pull a few rabbits out of his hat but he would have to be Houdini to fix the mess he has this team in now.
As a Raptors fan this is a pretty low moment. For the next few weeks we are likely going to have to watch this team struggle through the end of the season and undoubtedly be left heartbroken when the news breaks that Bosh is taking his All-Star game elsewhere. Losing the best player ever to wear a Raptors jersey, in his prime nonetheless, is going to sting...for a while.
We have all off-season to discuss this, and who knows what happens, but doesn't Bosh's departure just feel inevitable at this point?
Nonetheless there are games left to be played and tonight Bosh and his team face off against Carmelo Anthony and the Denver Nuggets who are coming off a loss to Boston and who are missing their Head Coach.
Here are tonight's three keys (for those of you willing to sit through what will likely be another slaughter):
1. Have a Pulse: If the Raps come out like the zombies in the cult classic "Night of the Living Dead" again this evening do yourself a favor and tune into the NCAA tournament where guys actually care about whether they win or lose. Given how bad things have become I am not sure what it is going to take for the Raps to put up a fight. If the Raps come out sluggish you may hear the boo's from the home crowd all the way in Spain. Are you listening Renato?
2. Play Something Similar to Defense: What can I say here? If the Raps don't get their act together Anthony may beat them on his own. Further, given how easily Deron Williams carved up the Raps things could get really ugly with Chauncey Billups running the show. The Raptors have to talk, they have to rotate, they have to do at least some of the defensive things we have been harping on all year.
3. Force Triano's (Colangelo's?) Hand: It's clear that the recent play of the starters is not enough for Triano to make any significant changes to the starting unit. It's on guys like Wright, Weems and Amir to force his hand. If the starters look bad early and the bench guys can match the Nuggets subs it will only put more pressure on the Coach to finally make a change. As much as I appreciate the fact that it's not who starts but who finishes the game that matters, if the Raps continue their less than stellar play the game will be over by half and the "finish" part won't matter.
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Ch-ch-ch-changes
Ulmer says there may be changes to the starting five tonight – who knows? If not I can’t watch.
Question
If Raps finish 9th in the East what are their statistical changes of winning the draft lottery and getting John Wall?
@benjibopper
As of 2008, with 30 NBA teams, 16 qualify for the playoffs and the remaining 14 teams are entered in the draft lottery. These 14 teams are ranked in reverse order of their regular season record and are assigned the following number of chances
250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
199 combinations, 19.9% chance
156 combinations, 15.6% chance
119 combinations, 11.9% chance
88 combinations, 8.8% chance
63 combinations, 6.3% chance
43 combinations, 4.3% chance
28 combinations, 2.8% chance
17 combinations, 1.7% chance
11 combinations, 1.1% chance
8 combinations, 0.8% chance
7 combinations, 0.7% chance
6 combinations, 0.6% chance
5 combinations, 0.5% chance
so raps would be at about 0.7% chance. too bad we can’t calculate the odds they’ll beat the cavs in the playoffs, but they are probably about the same.
so, 0.7% chance of retaining mr. bosh i guess.
I like...
that thinking.
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 9:23 AM EDT up reply actions
I think getting the first overall pick would be a disaster as BC will probably draft the wrong player again. Seriously though, I think getting the 2nd pick would actually be better as Evan Turner would fit better with this team. Not that getting Wall is a bad thing but having 3 point guards handed over to Triano might cause him to do a Nelly impersonation.
bulls are horrible
The raps WILL make the playoffs.I watched the whole game last night the heat and bulls and if u think the way the raps lost to the jazz was bad the way the bulls played last night was terrible.miami isn’t a power in the east but they made the bulls look like a bunch of d-leaguers .they were down by like 36 mid way through the 3rd quarter for god sakes.they aint no way they making the playoffs the way they played.
by sherwin316 on Mar 26, 2010 8:22 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
Raps and Bulls will be tied in the standings by Sunday
Bulls play the Nets and Pistons
Raptors play the Nuggets, and then the Heat and Bobcats on the road
Both should be 35-38 by Sunday
Then the Raps have a few winnable games (Clippers, Sixers, Warriors), followed by 3 games in 4 nights against the Cavs, Celtics, and Hawks. The Bulls have a tough road game against the Suns, but then get the Wizards, Bobcats at home, Bucks at home, then Cavs and Nets.
By April 9th, Raps should be 38-41 (going 3-3), Bulls should be 38-41 or 39-40 (3-3 or 4-2).
That sets up the most important game of the season:
April 11th, ACC, Bulls @ Raptors
That game will likely determine who gets the priviledge of getting swept by the Cavs.
whatchu talkin bout willis?
Just who is it that you think the Bulls are better than on that list? I’ll give you the nets.
Clippers, Sixers, Warriors....what is their record against those teams I think it's 1 win for the year
According to BC, The Bulls don't play those teams
The Bulls have a tough road game against the Suns, but then get the Wizards, Bobcats at home, Bucks at home, then Cavs and Nets.
the Raps will still be 2 games ahead of the Bulls on Sunday…I don’t see the Bulls beating Detriot or Jersey if the bulls play like they did last night , they will be going 0-12 the rest of the way believe me…Jersery will be fighting to not have the worst record in nba history and they will be looking at the bulls as a beatable foe and I have to believe they will after the fiasco last night…but hey Thanks Miami.
Team First vs Personal Agendas
“I’ve got a lot of suspicions, I guess, of what’s gone wrong. It hasn’t been the same since the all-star break,” Colangelo said. “Too many guys came back from the break with a different approach. And that’s the part that’s troubling.”
Discuss.
Where was this quote from?
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Feschuk
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions
It was on RealGm today.
by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Mar 26, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Yikes
What the hell does “came back from the break with a different approach” mean? And REALLY Bryan…is this team THAT much different than the one pre-break?
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions
Anyone watch the Kansas State - Xavier
I know its college hoops but watching the heart and soul those kids put into it…made me sad to be a Raptor fan.
Might have been...
the best game of the tournament.
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 9:13 AM EDT up reply actions
There are only two other college games I’ve ever seen that were better…and one was a huge Duke comeback over Juan Dixon and Maryland so that’s for selfish reasons. The other was the ridiculous 6 OT Big East tourney game last year so that says something.
And on a similar note, I’d love to see Jordan Crawford in a Raps jersey next year.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 1:42 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I said a few days ago...
…but I’ll say it again. Bosh will bolt for New York. A few people took solace in the fact that Bosh thinks he is good enough to be built around rather than be someone else’s #2. Doesn’t mean he wants to be built around in T.O.. We all know Bosh has been a little frustrated with his lack of endorsements when compared to his other draftmates. Chris wants to build the Bosh brand and there is no better place to achieve both his goals than N.Y..
Like I said, you guys can ridicule me next season if I’m wrong, but I don’t think I am.
P.S. We beat Denver tonight only to lose to Miami and Charlotte next week. I may be a little jaded at this point, but that would seem to fit the theme of this season.
I'm good with a Lee for Bosh deal
If that’s the case, then a sign and trade involving David Lee works for me.
That cannot happen...
unless Lee wants to sign in Toronto…not sure he would want to. Lee is unrestricted and the Knicks have essentially told him to look for work elsewhere. If Bosh does go to NY it will be a sign and trade for virtually nothing, much like the McGrady deal years ago.
Plus we can’t just go out and sign Lee because of current cap restraints.
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions
I don’t think we want a pf … bargs will be our pf, we’ll have a traditional centre and we need to trade bosh for a great if not excellent defending/rebounding shooting guard
The only way...
the Raps get something in return is if the team that he choses doesn’t have cap space. There are lots of team this summer with money to spend so I can’t see the Raps getting anyting of value back for Bosh in a sign and trade. Of course something is better than nothing…he could just walk and forgoe the extra $30 million (unlikely).
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions
Fickled fans
Man, just stop and listen to yourselves for a minute. Alread we are ready to ship Bosh out. Have we stoped believing in Bosh? If you are a professional, would you want to stay somewhere where the fans don’t want you? Sure sounds like most around here don’t want him.
Yes it’s a tough stretch and his frustration is very visible, that does not mean he’s already hired a moving company.
Why don’t we, you know, wait and see if maybe he wants to stay? Just a thought.
Howland, for all thre reasons you listed above of why Bosh may want to leave would apply double for Chicago. New York has NOTHING. Sure, room for one more, but do you really think that Bosh and TMac and minimum players will get it done? Neither does Bosh or his agent. He’s already stated that he doesn’t want to be second fidle, so Miami is out.
It has been a very frustrating season, but just look at the bright side, there is one less year left on HTs contract.
Just for clarification
I would hate to see Bosh go and want BC to do everything he can to keep him.
I do ask why Chicago is such a bad route. Better PG, SF and C.
New York: Starting from scratch. Lots of cap space, no bad contracts and the market will be such that teams will get quality guys for less than “market”. TMac is irrelevant.
Miami: If Bosh wants to win it’s an obvious place to go.
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions
disagree a bit
Have to disagree a bit with that howland..new does have cap space but their going after lebron,wade first before bosh and they said they made not even spend all there money this offseason so they might not even go for bosh. Agree with zona going to miami is wades team, and bosh said he doesmt want to play second fidel to no one.and as for the bulls. They do have a better point guard yes but that’s it..there center is brad Miller ummm no thank, noah plays the same position as bosh and deng is a good player but is always hurt.so the bulls aint really dat much of a better option
by sherwin316 on Mar 26, 2010 11:43 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
The difference in my mind..
is how BC has put himself in a bind with the supporting cast. Bosh’s can’t look at this situation right now and feel like he can’t find greener grass elsewhere.
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions
Elsewhere with cap space
I don’t think that there are many appealing options. NY can sign 2 stars, but they then have NOTHING left to sign anyone else. Yes they may be able to get a discount, but a league minimum contract? NY is really not that appealing to me if I’m Bosh.
Also, what would we all agree is BC biggest strength? Drafting? Nah. Getting extra picks? Nope. It’s making changes (the fashion sense is a close second). He’s already stated that the team as currently constructed is not necessarily the team that Bosh would be deciding on staying with if he choses Toronto.
If you can trade JOs contract, you can trade anyone!
JO’s contract was actually a better situation for Miami as it would allow them the ability to sign another stud FA this year to play alongside Wade. Plus JO may not have been worth 20 mil anymore but he is still a solid NBA center when he is healthy. Plus Toronto threw in an expiring contract (Jamario Moon) took back a bad contract (Banks) and gave them our 1st round pick (probably from this year) and they didn’t have to give anything back but Marion’s expiring deal in a year where the FA prospects were thin. Miami raped Toronto in that deal. So it is actually easy to trade away bad contracts as long as you are willing to sell your soul to do it.
Here Here
I’m still really worried that JO deal to Miami is going to come back and bite BC in the ass big time.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions
And what about Chicago? I think if I’m Bosh, that or Miami are much more appealing right now than Toronto.
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions
BC
What about BC? Does anyone ever stop to think that BC might be thinking of bringing in one of the big names…namely JOe Johnson or Amare he was the one that drafted Amare, we could send Barg to play with Nash and put Amare at Center with Bosh and Turk….Hey free agency works both ways and BC have a way of making some unbelieveable moves…so lets think about our aquisition…..mlse might even let us go into the luxury if they think it might bring a winner to toronto…..just a thought
And you are basing the desire of Johnson to leave Atlanta ( a team in the top 4 in the East and who have a good future) for Toronto ( a team with no direction) on what exactly? Same goes for Amare. Both of them will go to a winner as they will get their money regardless. Toronto would be lucky if they could convince any no Euro FA to come here. Heck the only reason Jack signed here is because of Bosh. If Bosh goes, do you think he might demand a trade as well?
Do you really think Turkoglu got that much more money here then in Portland? Don’t forget the differences in taxes between Portland and here would have wiped out some of that cash. I always wondered why Turk chose T.O. over Portland as money wasn’t a factor and the idea that T.O. has 3000 Turks seemed kind of ridiculous. Toronto is a bigger city then Portland is so maybe that is it.
Not to mention that Toronto has no “almighty dollars” this offseason, even if Bosh leaves…
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions
LOL!!!
This site should really have a real time countdown in the corner of the home page counting down the years, months, days, minutes and seconds left on Hedo’s contract. Much like the release of a new movie or video game. Gives us something to get excited for, you could even have one for the remaining time left on Matt Devlin’s contract. I think Zona get’s comment of the day for making us all smile, now I have a tummy ache so I’m taking next week off work.
I LOVE THIS IDEA
Going to get the SB Nation developers working on it pronto!
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions
If Milwaukee beat Atlanta in the playoffs which is quite possible, a first round exit might give Joe reason to get out of town.
I for one think Amare is sick of the constant trade rumours his name is always in in Phoenix. I don’t see him signing with them in the off season. He might just take up BC on an offer, after all he started his career in the nba….
This is my starting 5: Jack /Weems/ Turk/ Amare /Bosh
that line up alone gauranteed 4 in the East. Im just saying.
No way
First off where does the team get the cap space? Second, Amare is an even worse defender than Bargnani!
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions
Chisholm
If someone missed Chisholm’s last blog, you should really check it out.
http://www.tsn.ca/blogs/?id=315396
Great Read
Chisholm, Chris Black and I essentially preach to the same choir…
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Hello from the Stiffs
Wanted to say that I hope we see a good game out of both teams tonight. For a while there it really looked like the Raps were going to be a hot team going into the playoffs, but like us you guys have slid a bit.
I think that tonight it’s really going to come down to big man play in the post. If Nene gets schooled by Bosh and Petro can’t check Bargs, we’re done. However, if you can’t guard Melo with…uh…who on the Raptors is going to cover Melo? Turkeyglue? it could be a different game entirely.
Anyway, I bear you guys no ill will and have always like the way Calderon and Bosh have played for you. The Raptors seem like a genuinely good organization and a fellow small-market team like the Nuggets. I hope you guys manage to pick up (and retain…) the pieces you need in this tumultuous offseason and spoil both the Celtics and Cavaliers future seasons.
Swats.
Still wish Petro had been drafted by the Raps...
…the Petro-Canada jokes would have made it worthwhile…
Turkeyglue didn’t practice today so sounds like Sonny Weems and Antoine Wright will be chasing Melo around all night…
Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com
by Adam Francis on Mar 26, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions
And this...
is a VERY good thing.
Dave "Howland" Randell
Co-Creator of RaptorsHQ.com
by RaptorsHQ - Howland on Mar 26, 2010 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions
I liked Weems while he was with the Nuggets
mostly because his name was fun to say. He has ridiculous hops, if only his brain could hop too.
Swats.
So is this Hedo’s “I better miss the next game so I don’t look like as much of a douche for leaving the last game at the half”?
by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Mar 26, 2010 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions
i though bosh whats to be the alpha dog he wont go to play with wade or lebron
by raptors_run_the_show on Mar 26, 2010 5:58 PM EDT reply actions
Tough loss
Carmelo proves why you need someone who can get their own shot off, and why a PF will rarely be the one to hit a game winner.

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