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3 In the Key: Toronto Raptors Game Day Preview vs. Atlanta

The Raptors come home sweet home to fellow Eastern Conference rivals, the Atlanta Hawks.  Can the Raptors mount some sort of defensive effort against one of the most athletic teams in the NBA?  Vicious D takes a closer look at changes that need to be considered to pull the Raptors out of their tailspin.

Star-divide

Grasping at straws.

That's how most people look at this Raptors team as it goes into a tailspin.  With Bosh visibly frustrated, the team losing all of its developed chemistry, and changes coming that should have been made days ago, the Raptors are clearly trying to get out of the wrong head space. 

And a good portion of that blame has to go to Jay Triano.

I don't put blame on coaches too often, but there are several things that coaches are ultimately in charge of that determine the fate of their teams. That's of course their line-ups and their overall philosophies.  With regards to Coach Triano, it's now mid-March and he has finally decided to change up his starting lineup when most statistical analysis has shown the Raptors to have weaknesses in handling first and third quarter pressure.  It's mid-March and we are still seeing Jose Calderon and Jarrett Jack play extended minutes together as it's a look that the Raptors' coaching staff  "like", despite the two of them being clearly over-matched on the defensive end.  It's mid-March and the Raptors still haven't found a way to maximize what they get out of their biggest free agent signing of the summer.

It's mid-March and the Raptors are still giving up about 115 points per game in the nine losses they've incurred in the past 10 games.

This, my friends, is reactive coaching at its deadliest.

Which brings me to a point I made before the Raptors went out on this road trip.  When looking back, the past week and a bit was going to be a pivotal point in this Raptors season.  Going 0-4 now brings the Raptors up against two highly athletic teams who have made mince meat out of our Raptors so far this season.  And tonight, the Raptors first face their conference rivals, the Atlanta Hawks.

Unless the Raptors find some new way to have defensive accountability, this one could be over quick.

Which is why for our three keys today, I'm going to focus on three players that Jay Triano should look to in order to get a different defensive look.  These are players who Triano should look towards to get an extra defensive spark when the team seems lackadaisical.  They're players who have somehow become undervalued and forgotten in recent days.  It's where the Raptors have to look towards in order to really shake things up if they hope to turn things around before it's too late. 

1) Marco Belinelli
Guess who has the second most steals on this Raptors team?  Guess who has the highest production of steals per minutes played?  Belinelli, who's been riding the pine pretty hard in recent days, is the second behind Jarrett Jack despite playing only an average of 18 minutes per game this year.  Some may question his wild shots and inability to buy a bucket some games, but if you're asking for pure defensive effort and more possessions, the Raptors should be giving Belinelli a lot  more leeway.  Just simply tell him to cut down a little on the offense and let him wreck some more havoc out there. 

2) Marcus Banks
If both Jose Calderon and Jarrett Jack are going to give similar efforts on defense, the Raptors should send a message that it simply won't be tolerated.  Personal accountability is something that the Raptors have struggled with all season as both point guards have relied on their bigger brothers to bail them out.  While Banks may stagnate the offense at times, there's also no denying that his wider frame and tenaciousness have created a different look for the opposition.  

If the coaching staff are serious about sending a message to everyone, it means that no player can be sacred and that Banks should at least be an option that the staff should entertain.

3) Rasho Nesterovic
There are already rumblings that Amir Johnson's minutes will increase and Reggie Evans's will be eaten up as a result.  I don't have a problem with this at all, as Johnson has proven to be a very capable player on both sides of the court, despite his propensity to attract fouls.  However, I don't believe that his minutes will come at the expense of Andrea Bargnani, and while I like Johnson's game at the PF, he's less suited to battle against the centers of the league. 

Rasho Nesterovic, on the other hand, has filled in admirably in sporadic minutes.  He's even been able to be an efficient scorer and has come into games prepared for spurts.  It's therefore very puzzling to me why our big Slovenian friend continues to be underused despite Bargnani's much documented troubles in the past month.  Players like Nesterovic exist because if the team is losing direction, he can be a steadying presence with his veteran leadership and abilities. 

I realize that the players I've pointed out are quite against conventional thinking.  At the same time, conventional thinking has brought the Raptors back down below .500 and has completely stalled their defensive effort.  If conventional thinking fails, then there has to be a drastic change to really shake things up in this group.  Otherwise, any subtle changes will amount only to just shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic.

In my mind, there should be only one thought:

"Win by any means."

Otherwise, we'll really see what it means to be a Raptors fan in angst at the end of the season.

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I know we are grasping at straws but I do not think we have to get that radical……Yet. I am not sure moving Calderon to the starting lineup is really a move in the right direction as he is a worse defender than Jack is. I have stated my peace over the last few days as to what direction I would like to see the team take and I know that they will not listen because that would mean they would actually care about winning instead of just caring about being good enough to turn a profit.

by McGateway on Mar 17, 2010 9:09 AM EDT reply actions  

Hate the Calderon move

Eric Koreen from the National Post had an interesting Triano quote today in his article:

“I have a hard time in the second group finding guys who have warranted the ability to start for the most part,” Triano said yesterday as the team prepared for a game tonight against Atlanta. “I could make change just to make change. I don’t know if we want to throw four or five guys’ rhythm out, not that we’ve been playing with a whole lot of rhythm.”

HUH??? Does this make sense to anyone?

How can he say that he is having a hard time finding guys who deserve to start considering how poorly his starters have played?? Is he saying this team is essentially Bosh and one giant group of bench players? (Which I do think is closer to the truth that many would like to believe.)

I like Vicious D’s suggestions here. Even minus Joe Johnson, who I don’t think made the trip to Toronto, the Hawks are a tough match-up for TO so if things go awry early, why not give these three guys an extended look? The Bulls are a mess so I’d argue there’s much risk at this point…

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

So they’re sending Jarrett Jack to the bench, but not Demar DeRozan? WTF?!

I think it’s official that Jay Triano is not an NBA-caliber head coach.

by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Mar 17, 2010 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed completely

I tried to give JT his fair chance but it is becoming more and more evident. He should have stayed as the assistant coach and they should have kept Mitchell. Sam would have Hedo riding the pine the whole season and I would be fine with it. He keeps talking about not disrupting the teams chemistry or rythym by changing the lineup. I hate to break it to you Jay but you are in damage control mode now, there isn’t anything to disrupt.

by PNUTZ on Mar 17, 2010 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can’t get over this quote.

PNUTZ – You’re bang on, there’s nothing TO disrupt! And damage control is the exact way to put it. In fact, there’s a 90% chance that’s the title of tomorrow morning’s recap.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is hilarious. Makes absolutely no sense. Calderon is gonna get eaten alive the next two games. Good luck keeping up with Russell Westbrook against the Thunder. Good luck defending Al Horford when you make your inevitable dumbass switches.

by HDave on Mar 17, 2010 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ding Ding Ding

I can’t to see Jose swatting at Horford tonight…

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rasho is Slovenian, not Slovakian.

by HDave on Mar 17, 2010 10:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Thanks. Changed now.

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Mar 17, 2010 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s all good. Even Bill Simmons made that mistake.

by HDave on Mar 17, 2010 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Our best play of the season came when Jose was out of the lineup and Banks was getting the backup minutes. Our defense was significantly better and while Banks has a tendency to stagnate the offense, Triano got around that by playing Hedo with him and running the offense through him. Not coincidently, this was also Hedo’s best stretch of the season.

I’d be fine with giving Belinelli minutes, at who’s expense though? To me, Weems shouldn’t have his minutes cut back as he’s been very consistent for this team. That means you’re cutting Demar’s minutes. That’s fine with me, but is the plan to take all his minutes away or just some? He only plays about 18-20 minutes per game as is. To me you’d have to cut virtually all of his minutes to get Marco some decent PT.

I like Rasho in certain spots. He really stuggles in an “up and down” style of play. If you can set up in the half court defensively, he does well.

If they move Jose into the starting lineup, you could argue that our 5 worst defenders on the team are all in the starting lineup.

by Mistafitz on Mar 17, 2010 10:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Possibly. DeMar, I think, needs to make his rookie sacrifice at this point of the year. Earlier in the year, I was asked where Weem’s time should come from, and I said that they should come from DeMar since they’re more or less, the same kind of player.
Beli, on the other hand, is a different look, and with a team like this, they need a change of pace to wake themselves out of their daze.

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Mar 17, 2010 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Too little... Too late

If Jay was doing his job properly, he would’ve allowed Weems into the starting lineup earlier on. Inserting Weems now doesn’t give him enough time to re-learn his role as a starter. I think that the lineups should have been solidified by now. It is unfair to the players that they have to readjust because of Jay’s incompetence.

by Slick_Rick on Mar 17, 2010 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just do not believe that Beli is the answer. I won’t deny I could be wrong but I just have not been as impressed with his play, at least as much as Weems.

by McGateway on Mar 17, 2010 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Weems is still getting his time though. Weems + Beli as a rotation at the 2 should be a pretty good combo IMHO

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Mar 17, 2010 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t even think that is an argument. I am not over happy about Jose starting as he is at his best playing 25 minutes per game and he is playing more than that now. I really think if there is going to be some changes they should look at not running Hedo, Jack and Calderon together.

by McGateway on Mar 17, 2010 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

At the sametime, it reflects back onto Colangelo’s decision to hire Jay Triano as the coach. It is easy to blame Jay’s lack of experience, but the blame should be placed squarely on the architect. You cannot assume that Jay is going to bring in a new mentality when he was just under Mitchell’s system that had failed with flying colours.

by Slick_Rick on Mar 17, 2010 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Motivation for hiring Jay

One aspect of the hiring that doesn’t get a lot of play is the relationship between Bosh and Jay. I think this played more into the hiring than people think.

by even flow on Mar 17, 2010 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

Yet another good point to look into for a blog post.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

This bears further analysis

This might go in the recap as well but what WAS Hedo’s best stretch? If statistically it was during that time (which I think may indeed be correct), then um…maybe it’s worth revisiting Jay?

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Crunch Time

The Raptors should really think about starting Belinelli over DD. I think the project to start DD was a very good idea to get him some playing time against the starting line up of other teams but its crunch time now and every team is bringing their A game so your defence has to be good. DD minutes should be spotty coming off the bench, if he comes off the bench against the second units of other teams and does well then the coach should keep him in. At this point you have to ride any player that is playing hard and everyone including Bosh should be on a short leach. I think JT should be able to find DD 10-15 min a game coming off the bench from now until playoffs.
Not only can Belinelli defend but he is one of those pest of a player to opponents, quick hands, and he also can stretch the defense with his long ball…I think the Raps will get it together for the rest of the season and if we go 11 -6 that should take us to the 6th spot………It all starts tonight….its do or die….crunch time……raps4life.

by raps4life on Mar 17, 2010 11:52 AM EDT reply actions  

That all depends on whether our staff can break out of their own preconceptions. To be honest, it’s been really disappointing seeing this staff run out of ideas when there are still so many options for them. I could understand maybe having this team stay the way it was while it was winning, but at this point, the Raptors have to find any way to win. It’s getting that dangerous

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Mar 17, 2010 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

No difference

If Triano’s head was screwed on straight he would remove Hedo from the starting lineup. I don’t think inserting Jose into the lineup will solve anything. The Raptors need defense plain and simple. The problem with Triano’s system is that he goes with lineups that strickly play defense or offense. I gotta wonder why can’t you go with a mixed lineup???

Try-ano is too caught up in looking at the name on the backs of jersey’s instead of looking at overall production. I admire coaches like Larry Bird who cared less about big name players and gave minutes to players putting out an effort. If that means sitting out players for a number of games that is what it takes.

You’re bang on with your assessment of Marco. With the number of crappy games that Hedo has put out… Why hasn’t his minutes been reduced??? You can’t keep on rewarding players who are not contributing… That’s just bad coaching!!

by Slick_Rick on Mar 17, 2010 11:58 AM EDT reply actions  

agree

I totally agree with your comment that JT either put out an all defence or all offence line, I see him put out Weems, Regie, Wright Bosh and Jack come on who is going to score when they double Bosh? I hate to say it, I like JT but I think he will be the one to take the fall for the team at the end of the season. And I can’t say I would blame BC. If you watch the interviews with JT is body language, his facial expression looks like a coach that don’t know what else to do. That could never be Smitch, he would be calling out Hedo and Bargs and bury them on the bench., but I think JT is afraid of BC looking bad for signing Turk to so much money and have to ride the bench, but that’s not how you built a winner, If he is not playing sit him down. Remember when Sam would not even speak to Bargs , there comes a time when you have to do whats best for the team and tough love is a part of it….I challenge the fans tonight to be supportive, if the Raps gets down, stay away from the booing, get behind the team a cheer and bring them out of any scoring slump they might go into tonight…..Remember no matter what they are our team and you don’t want to give the other team more confidence by booing your home team. They are a better team at home 20-10 so lets support our Raps…..The Leafs and Blue Jays are still 3 years away from respectability, the Raps are only 2 players away…..Raps4life

by raps4life on Mar 17, 2010 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Here's the other thing

As Vicious D pointed out, it’s freaking March! Why did it:

a) Take this team so long to figure out the starting line-up wasn’t working and

b) Why do they think switching Jose for Jack is the solution to all the problems, considering that neither he or Jack have struggled NEARLY as much as Hedo, and to a lesser extent, especially lately, Andrea.

That being said, watch the Raps win tonight so that we have to endure the “I told you so” speeches from Triano and guys like Doug Smith. That’s great…until the Thunder wack us on the head Friday…

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

agee

The only reason JT was hired was because BC could control him. I’m convinced BC tells Jay who to start and who should get the most minutes. That’s the only logical explanation for still starting DD and all the minutes Hedo and Bargs get. How does starting Jose help the rebounding issue? Think DD can handle Crawford tonite? Don’t think so.

by staylor on Mar 17, 2010 1:11 PM EDT reply actions  

It was interesting to hear that BC said he gave Triano “carte blanche” to make line-up changes.

Yeah right.

He gave that to Sam Mitchell too…until Andrea looked like a second-round pick and BC “suggested” he be moved back into the starting line-up…

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

well

that was last year and he turned out to be right, so what is the point?

by renato on Mar 17, 2010 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

So true...

Smitch used his “carte blance” and benched Andrea’s sorry ass when he was playing terrible, and that got his ass fired!

by MAS11 on Mar 17, 2010 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Disagree on Bellinelli

Have to disagree with Vicious D on Belinelli. He is not a good defender at all and everyone in the league knows it. In fact, despite Triano having made up his mind that he would give Belli more time against Golden State (his former team) he was forced to take him out due to his inability to stop anyone. After the game he had this to say about his decision to go away from Bellinelli: "They went right at him one-on-one every time."

This is plain to see for anyone who watches him play. He’s not a good defender. He is also less than mediocre on offense as he is inconsistent and unpredictable (in a bad way). So why the heck would we want to give him more playing time??

by MAS11 on Mar 17, 2010 2:26 PM EDT reply actions  

So the solution to having Belinelli and Jose/Jack at the 1 and 2 is to instead just put Jose and Jack together? That solves all the defensive woes?

by HDave on Mar 17, 2010 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jose

On the Calderone starting in place of Jack issue… I just don’t get this. Jay has praised Jose for his offense in interviews over the last few days, stating he hit 5 of 6 shots during a certain stretch and the laser sharp observation that "the offense just seems to run smoother lately with Jose…" (paraphrasing). Umm news flash, the issue with the Raptors’ starting line up is not offense. They routinely give up 30 + pts in the first quarter and are almost always behind by the time the first substitution is made. No the issue is that the starting unit can’t guard anyone!

The main culprits are: DeRozan (rookie, has potential),Turkoglu (semi-retired, out of shape, never a good defender, borderline gutless) Bargani (a 7ft Center who was routinely out rebounded by 6 foot 6 D Leagures against Golden State, who can’t grasp the concept of boxing out, still habitually missing rotations and assignments on D).

So why in God’s name would you compound the issue by substituting Jack (a better than average defender, with at least a little defensive pride) for Jose, el matador. Olay!

For me the answer is simple. Weems or Wright for Derozen. Not because he’s the worst defender of the triumptive from hell as described above, but because we all know that Bargani and Turk will remain in the starting line-up until Colangelo leaves the Franchise.

by MAS11 on Mar 17, 2010 2:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Great comments today
The main culprits are: DeRozan (rookie, has potential),Turkoglu (semi-retired, out of shape, never a good defender, borderline gutless) Bargani (a 7ft Center who was routinely out rebounded by 6 foot 6 D Leagures against Golden State, who can’t grasp the concept of boxing out, still habitually missing rotations and assignments on D).

Nothing more needed to be said I don’t think!

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 17, 2010 4:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Spot on!

i wonder if there is a team who can take Hedo,i dont want anything in return.
just take his salary and himself to another team and i’ll be happy.
heck i will even be happy if we had to pay something back, say 10M out of his ridiculous 53M contract.

by elpikiman on Mar 17, 2010 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh you…. you’re soooooo cheap….lol

by Jenge on Mar 17, 2010 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

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