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RaptorsHQ Prospect Watch - Who To Watch During the Madness


Most years the HQ starts previewing various draft prospects as early as January.  This year, with the Raptors' pick seemingly headed to Miami, we held off, however with Toronto's recent play and the Dance around the corner, we figure now is as good a time as any to kick things off...

Star-divide

For some like myself, next Thursday around noon, Christmas begins. 

It's essentially 72 hours of basketball heaven, and in that span all manner of heroics and crazyness will be on display.

Yes, March Madness is nearly here.

In fact, the various conference tournaments are well underway and already fans have been privvy to some great matches.  Many favourites like Syracuse were ousted early, while various Cinderellas came heart-breakingly close to punching their ticket to the Big Dance, when they perhaps had no business going in the first place (Cincinnati.)

At the HQ, besides the sheer volume of basketball that will be consumed during this time period, it's also an important scouting phase for us, as we focus in on various players who may or may not be on the Toronto Raptors' draft radar.  Originally, these prospects seemed to be of the second-round variety thanks to Toronto dealing its first round pick to the Miami Heat last year in the trade that secured the temporary services of Shawn Marion.

However that pick is lottery protected, and with the Raptors' recent slide, suddenly it's quite possible that the team could very well find itself back in Seacacus come May, watching the bouncing lottery balls.

To that end we've put together a list of 10 players Raptors' fans should watch in the coming weeks, both from a prospect prospective, and also simply for entertainment's sake.

 

1)  Evan Turner - G/F Ohio State:  This NCAA season, John Wall and his Kentucky crew have received the lion's share of the basketball media's attention.  However it's Turner that could very well be the top pick come next June.  Long-time HQ readers will know that I've been a huge Turner fan for the past 3 seasons, to the point in fact that I hoped he'd stay at Ohio State after his freshman season (since the Raptors didn't have a pick), hoped he'd come out last season (since he probably would have fell into Toronto's range) and now this year hope he returns again since it's unlikely the Raps will have a shot at him.

Of course this looks extremely unlikely but the point is, I can't think of a more perfect player to man the 2-3 for Toronto into the future.

To me he's a mix between Danny Granger and Brandon Roy.  Turner can do it all, as his 20 point, 9 rebound and 6 assist statistics indicate, and like Granger can play inside and out, yet has that Brandon Roy smoothness to his game.  Also like Roy, he's got an immaculate handle and some disgusting crossover dribble moves.


 

An option for the Raptors this summer?

Highly doubtful.

But with some solid teammates around him in the form of David Lighty, William Buford and Jon Diebler, Turner and Ohio State are one of the sleeper teams to watch in terms of Final Four contention. 

2)  Xavier Henry - G - Kansas:  Henry was touted prior to the season as a high lottery pick.  He's a 6-6 swingman who already has an NBA ready body, and like Turner, a certain smoothness to the way he plays.  Adding to that "smoothness" is his shooting touch, one of the best in college.  However he's struggled a bit of late and no longer seems like a lock to be drafted in the lottery.  He doesn't have upper tier athleticism, but is a ball-hawk and rock solid defender thanks to his frame.  Could the Raptors use a player of his ilk?  Definitely as in many ways, he's the inverse of their pick last year, DeMar DeRozan.

3)  Devin Ebanks - G/F - West Virginia:  The Mountaineers survived a scare from Lance Stephenson and the Bearcats last night thanks to a Desean Butler jumper at the buzzer.  Ebanks played a big part in the win with his defence, something he's been doing all season, and when you get a look at his frame you'll know why.  Ebanks is extremely long and athletic and excels at playing the passing lanes.  He's a legit 6-7 as well and therefore with his length, can defend a number of positions.  Similar to Trevor Ariza (he even looks like Ariza) his offensive game is quite raw, however his upside is one of the highest in the upcoming draft class, and he's got a great chance to help West Virginia to a Final Four birth.

4)  James Anderson - G/F - Oklahoma State:  Bring on the Joey Graham comparisons.  Andreson, like Graham, has been a standout the past few seasons at OK State, and is a tough and gritty 6-6 guard/forward.  However the comparisons should stop there.  Anderson is not the undersized power forward that Graham was in the OK system, nor does he have Graham's build and low-post game.  Anderson is much more of a shooter, and a volume one at that who can fill it up in a hurry.  He's a wiry player too and while extremely tough as mentioned, doesn't do a lot of his damage on drives to the hoop.  The Cowboys reside in perhaps the toughest conference in the land this year and it will be up to Anderson to try and drive them to tournament success.

5)  Damion James - G/F - Texas:  Notice a swingman theme here?  Most of the prospects I chose to look at take on the 2 or 3 spots on the floor at the next level.  Why?  Well aside from it being probably the most talented position in the upcoming draft, it's also an area that continues to be a struggle for the Dinos.  Should they wind up with a lottery selection when all is said and done, I'm betting they look in this direction.  James in fact has a history with the Raptors and the draft process as he worked out for Colangelo and co. last year, a workout I attended.  He wisely decided to return to Texas for his Senior season and has been dominating opponents all year, proving to have added new dimensions to his game to the point that he's miles away from the player I saw up close last spring.

James in fact is a much better compare to Joey Graham than anyone else.  Like Graham, he's extremely physical and can play up to 4 positions on the court at the college level.  He's an excellent defender, a great athlete (37 inch vertical leap) and isn't afraid to mix it up on D.  He lacks a defined position at the next level, and many question his ball handling skills (sound familiar?), but it's hard not to believe he'd be a nice fit at the 2-3 for Toronto, even as an option off the bench.

6)  Quincy Pondexter - G/F - Washington:  Pondexter is another Franchise favourite.  He doesn't have the talent of Turner or the sheer upside of a player like Aminu, however this is a player I believe will excel in the NBA as a solid rotation type.  He's got NBA size at 6-7 and 220 lbs, can score from inside and out, and while not a great shooter, has the work ethic and demeanor to hone his craft at the next level.  Washington is a big question mark right now for tournament unfortunately but should they get in, Pondexter is a player to keep an eye on, especially at the defensive end.  He's a lock-down type and brings back memories of a certain young James Posey.

7)  Patrick Patterson - F - Kentucky:  For me, Patterson will be an interesting player to keep an eye on this tourney.  Kentucky is already one of the favourites to cut down the nets, but Patterson is sometimes the forgotten man on a stacked club with freshman sensations Wall, Cousins and Eric Bledsoe.  Nevertheless, we're talking about a 20 and 10 threat every night and while undersized, a player with NBA skill sets at the next level.  However Patterson might experience some of the Jameer Nelson syndrome come draft time as a player scouts and GM's have seen for so long in college, they've picked him apart and become overly critical of what he "can't do."  This could mean he's in for a slide on draft day and pick or no pick, I'm hoping the Raptors look to take advantage.  A more offensively talented Carl Landry?  Yes please.

8)  Trevor Booker - F - Clemson:  As we've seen recently, the Raps are still not a tough team.  Meet Trevor Booker - toughness exemplified.  Yes he's an undersized power forward without a clear-cut position at the next level, but he's also extremely strong and explosive, think Brandon Bass.  He also has great length despite his diminutive size at the 4, and is an excellent defender.  He brings an intensity to each game on a near KG level and as a Duke fan, I always dread match-ups with Clemson because of the impact Booker has.  Right now it looks like Clemson's a lock to get into the tourney and led by Booker, the Tigers could do some serious upsetting early on. 

9)  Jon Scheyer - G - Duke:  You know I had to get ONE Blue Devil on this list.  The reality is that at some point the Raptors are going to realize they can't pay over $14M a year for the point guard position (more than that right now counting Marcus Banks), and will need to start grooming someone in a back-up role.  The draft therefore is a good spot to start looking, and I think a player of Scheyer's ilk would be a steal in the second round.  He's got great size at the 1 (6-5) , rarely turns the ball over, can orchestrate an offense, and is a dead-eye shooter to boot.  Yes, there are concerns about his athleticism and defensive abilities at the next level, but he's one of these gritty, leader types who just seems to make things happen so I believe Toronto could do a lot worse in terms of grabbing a 3rd stringer to groom for the future.

10)  Matt Bouldin - G - Gonzaga:  In a similar vein we have Matt Bouldin.  Bouldin is actually a more highly touted prospect than Scheyer but displays similar grit and leadership characteristics.  He's not as good of a shooter, but is a more pure point guard and again, has great size at 6-5.  The Zags have a history though of tournament flops so Bouldin's draft stock could very well be determined (right now he looks to be a mid second-round option) by how far he leads his club in the Big Dance.

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Legend of Evan Turner Continues...

…and he just hit a buzzer-beater to knock Michigan out of Big Ten tourney and move Ohio State on…

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 12, 2010 2:11 PM EST reply actions  

Draft

Jenge thinks that Patrick Patterson of Kentucky would be a good pick up for the Raps if they have one? If he drops as far as Franchise thinks, he could be worth trading/buying a pick if Miami is cashing in their Dino-Egg…

Stanley Robinson from UConn — I would lump into that category too….

Overall I’m not excited as last year. I was on the Jrue Holiday train which became the Tyler Smith/Terrence Williams declarations to add somethin-somethin to our anemic wing.

We will see if Maasai Ujiri and Co will dig up some gem. I take them very seriously when they say that they think that DeRozan will turn into a Igoudala or Gerald Wallace type. Here’s hoping that he does. The one thing that I will say about DD that I didn’t know about him this time last year is how humble, open and grounded he is (outside all of the flash). I also respect the fact that he puts growth and learning before the pressures of performance. He stays within himself – and if he develops further then watch out.

Regardless, it’s going to be interesting as I never underestimate BC when he has an idea in his head.

by Jenge on Mar 12, 2010 2:30 PM EST reply actions  

On the Stanley Robinson front, I didn’t include him because UConn got bounced from tourney contention with their loss in the Big East Tourney. Yahoo Sports actually just did a “top 10 prospects who won’t be in the Big Dance” piece:

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news?slug=mc-afterthebuzzer031210&prov=yhoo&type=lgns

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 12, 2010 6:46 PM EST up reply actions  

re: draft

For starters, I’ll agree with the sentiment that this year’s draft won’t match the excitement of last years. I would even venture that in terms of suspense, the 2009 draft beat the 2006 one for Raptor fans.

With the first pick you dictate how the top of the draft order will go. With the ninth you were on pins and needles from the sixth pick onwards, since you were three picks away from either having your top choice drop OR seeing your top three remaining on the board snapped up. I was a DeRozan fan, but I viewed Jrue as a very solid consolation prize were he taken.

Jenge’s last point holds weight based on what we’ve seen of BC thus far. Rightfully or wrongfully, when he has an idea he moves the pieces around to make it happen. This could also be the year that he changes his focus from drafting players that could start to more ready made role players. I see us with a mid-second round pick and in the right year those can be quite valuable. Hopefully, for Franchise’s sake, he doesn’t turn down the chance to trade it for more draft assets should a player drop that another team is crazy about.

by Yardly on Mar 12, 2010 7:07 PM EST up reply actions  

This also means that this year’s second round pick could be really interesting. Even if the Raps’ make the playoffs, I can foresee that pick being used in a deal either to retain Bosh in some fashion, or in a sign-and-trade situation etc.

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 13, 2010 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Players to watch

I would have added Gani Lawal from Georgia Tech as a player to watch. He is tough as nails and unlike Andrea Bargnani, is not low-post-aphobic. He will end up as a late-first rounder. Meanwhile, his teammate Derrick Favors will be in the lottery; but he doesn’t seem to play with the same passion as Lawal. Maybe because he is younger and still adjusting to the NCAA game.

I respectfully disagree about Jon Scheyer. He does not have the body to survive the NBA and neither does John Singler. Good college players, but I predict they will end up in Europe or the Israeli league.

by Turksucks on Mar 12, 2010 3:31 PM EST reply actions  

I think you mean KYLE Singler…and I disagree and think both will find NBA homes in some capacity. Hell, if guys like Chris Quinn are in the league…

Love Lawal – was going to add him but G Tech is no lock to make the dance right now. They’re just so hit and miss…

by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Mar 12, 2010 4:03 PM EST up reply actions  

My bad Franchise, I did mean Kyle (thanks for the correction).

Tech is loaded up front, but their guards cannot match the other the powerhouses in the NCAA.

I agree with you about Xavier Henry, with respects to his value declining, The guy has not brought it, at least in the last couple of months. If Kansas is going to win, it will be because Aldrich’s inside game and his awkward looking free throw shots.

by Turksucks on Mar 12, 2010 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

With the disclaimer that I haven’t watched him play, he sounds kind of like pops mensah bonsu. What about his game differs from pops, so that he may have a legit shot at cracking a rotation in the future?

by Yardly on Mar 12, 2010 7:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I love it ...

Having been at work for 12 hours and I miss all this great action here and on the tube!

I like Franchise’s predictions. I’m always a little leery of Duke players because … well just because. With that said, I’m not a big Scheyer fan at all. Can he play at a high D1 level, sure. But that dosen’t necessarily mean that he can play at the NBA level. He’s a point guard in a two guard body with below average two guard speed. That equals defensive mismatch and easily exploited bench shooter.

I like Jenge’s mention of Stanley Robinson. He is an athlete in the mold of a Pops but with more of a shot but that’s my humble opinion. I think he would be a good pick up in the second round.

I’m always a big second round and after believer so despite what people will say I think this will be an exciting draft for the Raps because for little to nothing, there will be a huge pool of players that will be undrafted and available. Among them are Robinson, GU’s Austin Freeman, Edwin Ublies from Siene and Craig Brackins from Iowa State (and yes he may fall that far down the line after this season). This will be a very good un-First Round Draft class I think.

Ray Bala
CANadian BasketBALL Report
on www.raptorhq.com

by rbala on Mar 13, 2010 12:17 AM EST reply actions  

Rbala – thanks for posting the NCAA updates throughout the year. Much appreciated.

Stanley Robinson has an NBA body, which will play to his advantage, in terms of getting looks from NBA team.

With respects to second rounders, Sherron Collins is someone teams may want to look at. He probably will not cut it in the NBA, given his awkward combo of AI’s height and David Robinson’s muscles. If he can’t make the association, the Raptors should bring him in as a personal trainer. I would love see him peering over Turk or Bargnani demanding more squats and biceps curls.

by Turksucks on Mar 13, 2010 2:28 AM EST up reply actions  

Finally, someone else that feels the same way about Mr. Collins. If Khalid El-Amin can’t stick in the NBA, he won’t either. And I’d settle for him just tackling both Turk and Bargs in practice just to toughen ’em both up a little.

David Robinson’s muscles … I love it.

Ray Bala
CANadian BasketBALL Report
on www.raptorhq.com

by rbala on Mar 13, 2010 9:35 AM EST up reply actions  

And on top of that ...

The Bonnies and the Tech Bulldogs are not making the Tournament.

Ray Bala
CANadian BasketBALL Report
on www.raptorhq.com

by rbala on Mar 13, 2010 12:21 AM EST reply actions  

FYI

I am in Florida watching the ESPN coverage. Both Hubert Davis and Jay Bilas have said that Georgia Tech and Wake Forest should make it. if that is the case, Raps fans can see Lawal, Favors, and Al-Farouq Aminu- all of whom will be in the NBA. However, this year’s Wake Forest team is boring so I would not make them a priority.

by Turksucks on Mar 13, 2010 12:57 PM EST reply actions  

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