Life Without Chris Bosh
While the Toronto Raptors have won both games that Chris Bosh has missed due to injury, Franchise cautions fans not to get to comfortable in his absence...
Over the past week, basketball fans have seen some major trades go down before the NBA's trade deadline.
While some of these moves have been made to solidify rosters, look towards the future, or attempt to bring home an NBA title, many of them have been made with a single thought in mind; to clear cap space for the coming off-season in hopes of reeling in one of the "Class of 2010" big free-agent fish.
I'm referring of course to Lebron James, Dwyane Wade, and Toronto's own Chris Bosh.
Of course even though a team like the New York Knicks now has enough money to sign perhaps two of these big names, there's no guarantee that will happen. Right now, the three aforementioned players' current teams look pretty good as well, so perhaps none will change zip, or postal codes.
For Toronto's sake especially, I hope this doesn't happen.
Sure, there's been lots of assurances from Raptors' brass that all will not be lost should Chris Bosh seek greener pastures; the club would have a good chunk of change to chase other free agents in that class, or potentially could get meaningful assets in return via a sign-and-trade deal.
But as the saying goes, "a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush." Raptors' fans know what to expect from CB4 night in and night out - they don't from players brought in via sign-and-trade (who most certainly won't possess Bosh's talent level), empty cap space, or prospects who need years to develop. Therefore I'm hoping both MLSE and the Raptors' brain-trust does whatever it can to retain his services.
The funny thing is, a year ago, I wasn't taking this stance.
Bosh was having another great season, but I didn't see "max deal" in his production. I put him more on the level of a David West than a Kevin Garnett and while Bosh still isn't at a KG level defensively, the other parts of his game have been taken to another level this season, one that very few players in the league, especially at his position, have achieved.
We've seen all the stats and productivity breakdowns so I'm not going to rehash other people's work. What I do want to point out this morning though, are a few things I noted that Toronto was missing the past two games, even in spite of solid wins. These are elements that have been crucial to the Raptors' success so far this season, and ones that I think will be sorely missed should Bosh not return to the T-Dot next season:
1) Free-Throw Shooting:
Chris Bosh has attempted 466 free-throws so far this season.
The next closest on the team is Hedo Turkoglu, with 179.
That's a pretty steep drop-off, especially considering that after Hedo, Andrea Bargnani is the next closest, and I'd hardly consider Bargs a consistent threat to get to the rim at this point. Essentially, minus Bosh, the team loses about 300 free-throw attempts, and considering Bosh makes good on about 80% of his tries, that equates to about 120 baskets, or 240 "free" points.
The past two games have really put this area under the microscope. Considering Toronto shoots the second-most free-throws per game on average as a team, it's safe to say that their abilities at the line have been a big part of their offensive success this season. The past two games not only have these attempts been down, but so have the proportion of "makes." Toronto as a team on average hits about 77 per cent from the line, minus Bosh the past two matches, the Dinos are sitting around 68%.
I can vividly remember previous versions of the Raptors which shot well from the foul line, but never got there, and I'm certainly in no rush to see a return to those days.
2) Rebounding:
The Raptors aren't one of the better rebounding teams in the league, pulling down about 40 boards a game. In their past two wins, Toronto has been just below that average, so at face value, it's hard to say they're missing CB4 on the glass.
However over a smaller sample size, I do believe that removing 11 rebounds a game on average would catch up with the club. It helped that the Raps were playing a Nets team with a non-existent front-court outside of Mr. Lopez, and blown up Wizards group, but should Bosh miss more time this coming week against the likes of the Blazers and Cavs, I think things will likely become much more clear in this capacity.
In addition, it's not so much how many rebounds, but when. All season Bosh has grabbed timely rebounds on both the offensive and defensive boards and without him even against Washington, fans saw the Wizards destroy Toronto in second-chance opportunities, one of the reasons Washington was able to hang around early. For all the development in Andrea's low-post game, he's just not a great rebounder and therefore it's imperative to have someone like Bosh next to him in this regard.
Sure, maybe Reggie Evans or Amir Johnson can get double digits while cleaning the glass, but their rebounding contribution is balanced or even outweighed by their offensive deficiencies; neither of them are dropping 20 points on the opposing team...
...which brings us to my final point.
3) Offensive Consistency:
The other big thing I noticed sans-Bosh the past two games, is that Toronto's vaunted offense at times didn't seem to know where to turn. Jarrett Jack was huge in taking over down the stretch Saturday night, but without him, I shudder to think of where the scoring would have come from. Andrea after an extremely aggressive first half was nowhere to be found, Jose wasn't lighting it up to the same degree either, and Hedo Turkoglu was the only player giving the Raps any sort of offensive production from the wings outside of Antoine Wright, of all people.
There's an adjustment period of course when your team is missing its best player, and at times the Dinos seemed to forget about Andrea out there. However he still needs to demand the ball more, especially in the post, and without a consistent low-post presence, the Raps' offence sputtered at times Friday and Saturday night. Bosh gives the team a go-to option from which the team's offense can be initiated from, as he's such a mismatch against the majority of the league's bigs.
It sounds like I'm trumpeting Bosh as the "be all/end all" here and to a certain extent I am.
However this isn't like Miami without Wade, or Cleveland without Lebron - things didn't just fall apart like The Roots. Defensively, the team hardly seemed to miss a beat, an interesting note, and statistically there was very little difference without Bosh at that end of the court.
That doesn't mean I'm not anxiously awaiting Chris' return this Wednesday when Toronto takes on the Portland Trailblazers.
Again, two games is a very small sample size to draw major conclusions from and I'm just happy that Toronto's lone games in this regard were against two of the league's worst.
0 recs |
17 comments
|
Comments
Don’t you mean 240 points difference when you are talking about free throws? 240 is 80% of 300. Just saying.
It really comes down to whom they replace Bosh with this offseason. Replacing him with a true center or a player that plays like that (around the basket, double digit points and rebounds) might lessen the blow of losing Bosh, especially if the price is right. I am still not completely sold on Bosh being a Max-contract player though I admit he is near max. He still does not provide enough shot blocking, steals or assists to warrant a max contract. Remember, being a max player means that you should make the players around you better while I think it is more the other way around for Bosh. The better the team is around him, the better he seems to play.
CB4 is a max contract player
Simply because some team will offer him one. I don’t think that is debatable. What is debatable is whether CB4 provides value for a max contract.
I think you are confusing max contract players with franchise players. Franchise players can make other players better than they are. However franchise players are very rare (perhaps only 3 in the league?) and we don’t have one but neither do some very good teams.
Max player but....
I do think that Bosh is a max player. However, I’m intrigued about the way players game suddenly heightens when they are playing for a contract. I don’t want to target Bosh, but I find that it is too ironic that once players get a max deal they drop off. I cannot predict the Raptors fortunes with Bosh as he himself has improved his game and the team’s overall game. I am fairly confident that the Raptors will re-sign Bosh and (once he makes the All NBA First team) sign him to a max deal. Bosh has invested to much time and effort in this team to give up on them.
Sorry – corrected that earlier once I saw that I was missing a small piece – 240 points or 120 baskets. In any event, that’s a big chunk to lose, not to mention the strategic advantage it can represent in close games.
by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Feb 22, 2010 11:30 AM EST up reply actions
Yes we should offer the Max and pray he accepts
To me its pretty simple. If we don’t offer the max, he will not sign here. Therefore, are we better with Bosh (at Max) or without him? I agree 100% with you Franchise…we need to resign Bosh as opposed to looking for a sign and trade. There is an old saying that in a trade, the team who gets the best player, wins the trade. Colangelo has proven that he can find depth players so getting a bunch of good players for Bosh does not appeal to me.
The ultimate goal is to win a championship and its rare for a team to do that without a top 10 player. Bosh is there now. If Bargnani and DeRozen can take their game to the next level, we will have a team that can compete.
The Hornets
Shouldn’t the New Orleans Hornets be losing every game without Chris Paul? Shouldn’t Miami not be competitive without Dwayne Wade. I think our fear of losing Bosh comes out of not knowing what to expect from this team without him. But we often forget that ALL of these players were the best player on their team at one point in their basketball lives. Just happens that when they came to the NBA, they were slotted into a spot in the hierarchy that may not have called on them to do as much as they could have if given the opportunity right away, so some of their inherent basketball skills have been used and thus developed to an NBA level while other skills diminished to the point of not being at an NBA level.
I don’t know what the team would be without Bosh, but as long as there is a coherent plan, I will continue to watch this team and hope that the pieces in place and the replacement pieces translate to a continued high level of competitiveness. However, my concern is that this team hasn’t ever drafted well outside of lottery picks and Colangelo doesn’t seem to like the draft so those diamond in the rough, high performance for relatively low dollar types never fall our way, and that has been the main reason for our mediocrity over the life of the franchise and may continue even with Bosh.
Draft genius
I think that Bryan Colangelo should look at Portland and Utah as an example of how to draft and trade. They always seem to pick up decent players in late first and second rounds that can flat out play. Travis Outlaw, Martell Webster, Ronnie Brewer, Paul Milsap? Where the hell did they find these guys?
Webster was a top 4 pick and Brewer was a lottery selection as well so not sure they were exactly bargain finds. Especially Webster, who has never come close to living up to his draft status, despite being a useful player.
by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Feb 22, 2010 12:21 PM EST up reply actions
Different strokes
Every GM has his own way of doing things. And so far, it’s hard to complain about what BC has done.
Besides, how many championships did Utah or Portland win in the past 30 years?
Good read!
I was actually thinking the samething when it comes to rebounding. I was watching an old playoff game (2001)where the Raptors were the second-best team in the league in offensive rebounds… Man, have things changed!!
The Raptors have the flexability to go with Bosh and Amir or Andrea and Evans combinations to increase their capacity to rebound. I was actually cringing when Evans was in the game in the fourth because he is not a scorer or a good free-throw shooter. I would rather like to see Amir play the fourth (over Evans) because his game around the rim is improving and he has earned it.
Added to rebounding… I believe that Raptors need better weak side coverage. What makes most teams work really well is the secondary help from big men. The Raptors have done a good job of protecting the paint in the fourth, but they need to make a concerted effort to collapse on drives. I have to mention that Andrea has been doing a great job of blocking shots down-low.
Totally agree
It’s the weak-side that’s killed Toronto all season, and while I don’t want to go on another Hedo rant, it’s the wings that need to step up in this regard.
Remember James Singleton crashing through on Saturday night time and time again? That responsibility falls on Hedo and DeRozan, or whoever is occupying the 2 and 3 spots. The only time I can recall Toronto doing a good job in this respect is during the final weeks of the Shawn Marion experiment – it’s just huge to have a wing who’s a great rebounder, especially when your starting center doesn’t average 7 boards a game…
by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Feb 22, 2010 12:23 PM EST up reply actions
Why the Raptors will pay CB as a MAX Player
Bosh, 25 years old will only keep improving his game for the next 10 years.
Chris gives the team now 25 pts 12 rebounds on average, and interior defense as a PF/C, and team leadership in consistency of effort, as our Franchise player
To replace him as a PF/C is impossible, as there is no one in his class now, in his varied skills set and age group.
What will be required is to find 2 players, a center for rebounds 12/game and 8/10ppg and defense, along with a SF/SG who can score 18/22 ppg and get to the rims for FT’s, both on a consistent basis.
Neither Evans or Johnson have the skills currently to be anything but a liability on offense, (as was demonstrated vs the Wiz) when the offense stalled when both were on the floor, although both can fill a role as backups on defense/rebounding.
Not a lot of them available (PF/C or SG/SF) that can do that either. Consider what you would have to pay those two players vs a Max contract to Bosh. Better to pay Bosh, and continue to upgrade the talent around him.
Well said.
My sentiments exactly – to replace Bosh you essentially need a two-position change because of what he brings statistically; ie, a SF who fills up the stat sheet scoring wise and a PF that rebounds like a beast, or vice versa. And with Hedo and Andrea locked-in financially at the 3 and 5 for the near future, that makes replacing Bosh even trickier because even if get two players, who combined, would fill Bosh’s stats via sign-and-trade, only one of them at the most will see CB4 minutes unless BC gives up on the idea of Bargs or Turk as starters.
by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Feb 22, 2010 12:28 PM EST up reply actions
Bosh Deserved A Vacation
The timing couldn’t have been better. I am sure he could have played in those two games if necessary.
But he missed his ASG vacation because he played.
So the timing was ripe to rest not only his ankle but his entire body to replace the RR he did not get during the ASG break.
Bosh is already a max player, isn't he?
Correct me if I am wrong, but when Bosh and the Raptors agreed to his current three year contract didn’t Bosh receive the maximum salary that he was elligible for at the time? Now that is not the absolute maximum salary in the NBA, but it’s still the maximum that he could have received. So isn’t he already a max player?
Solid point.
I guess now talking max player we’re thinking of the upcoming extension, which seems to be an even bigger max definition because of the cap space it will occupy.
by RaptorsHQ - Franchise on Feb 22, 2010 1:35 PM EST up reply actions
















