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3 in the Key - Game-Day Preview vs The Kings


Let the West Coast Swing begin!  The Toronto Raptors take on the Sacramento Kings tonight in what is the first of four straight west roadies...

Star-divide

And so it begins.

Tonight, the Toronto Raptors take on the Sacramento Kings in Sacramento, the Dinos' first of four straight West Coast matches, including a back-to-back against the Lakers and Blazers on the weekend.

For me, this is where the rubber really meets the pavement as they say.

Yeah, it was great to see the Raps beat up on the Cavs this past Friday night, but as I discussed Saturday morning, without Anderson Varejao and Mo Williams, that Cleveland team was much more like a D League team than an NBA one.

And while the match vs the Knicks to start the season was a good first test, it's this road swing, which features marquee clubs like Utah, LA and Portland, that I think will really start to provide some colour as to Toronto's expected level of success this year.

A split would be huge, especially since the club returns to play Golden State and Charlotte before heading to Florida to take on Orlando and Miami, and to accomplish this, a win tonight against the Kings is a must.

What to make of this Kings team though?

They too beat Cleveland so far this season, albeit not by nearly as wide a margin, and have also beaten Minnesota and lost to New Jersey.

No, not exactly the look of a dominant club so far.

In fact through their first three games, Sacto looks a lot like Toronto last year; they're one of the league's worst defensive clubs, giving up nearly 109 points per game, but have been the third best scoring-wise, putting nearly the same number of points per game on the board on O.

And that brings us to our first key:

1)  Lock things down:  Toronto has been the bizarro version of last year's club so far this season.  They're actually holding opponents to under 90 points a game, third best in the league albeit through two matches, and haven't been great scoring wise, averaging 97.  Considering the Kings as mentioned are essentially the opposite of this, it's pretty safe to say that whoever can play their style of game will take this one.

Therefore the Raptors need to set the tone early in this one, the same way they did against the Cavs.  By forcing turnovers and keeping Sacto on the perimeter, hopefully Toronto can slow down the Kings' high powered attack and keep this one from getting away early.

2)  DeMar DeRozan:  While DeRozan hasn't exactly taken the NBA by storm in his young career yet, he's shown a few nice steps in the right direction so far this season.  His defence has looked a tad crisper, and he's shown a willingness to attack the basket and get to the line that wasn't there last season.  (Now if he could only knock them down consistently...)

Tonight I'll be watching the USC grad closely as he has the unenviable task of trying to slow down Tyreke Evans, the Kings' superstar sophomore.  Evans can do a bit of everything, but is especially dangerous once he gets in the lane.  Like LeBron James, he's strong enough to finish at the rim and also has great court vision which he'll use to find open shooters.  Outside of Evans, the Kings don't have a ton of consistent weapons so if DeMar can keep Tyreke at bay while making him work on D, this will go a long ways towards getting a win.

3)  Paintball:  Reggie Evans has been an absolute monster on the glass for Toronto and he'll have to continue this tonight.  While not a great rebounding team overall, the Kings have some big bodies inside as well as some Evans-like types who aren't afraid to mix it up.  DeMarcus Cousins and Carl Landry fit these latter two categories but with Samuel Dalembert back, and players like Donte Green, Hassan Whiteside and Jason Thompson in the mix, Toronto has its work cut out for them down low.

This means Evans, Johnson, Andersen and maybe even Dorsey will all need to be at their feisty bests themselves as this could be the type of game that comes down to who's willing to get dirty.

And while I'm not expecting a double-digit rebounding game from Andrea, one rebound ain't gonna cut it tonight against this crew.  Bargs has an interesting match-up with Cousins in fact and I'll be watching to see if he can contain the Kentucky big man on D while attacking him from the perimeter on O.

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Dalembert isn't out Franchise

He came back (albeit for not much time) against New Jersey, then played much bigger role against Cleveland, being a big part of why the team’s defense was so much better in the 2nd half (only allowing 37 points). He might get the start tonight with Cousins on the bench as a scoring option, but he will see plenty of time with the impact he’s had so far.

Author of the Pick and Scroll. Follow me on Twitter here.

by Aykis16 on Nov 1, 2010 2:05 PM EDT reply actions  

One more thing going the Kings way this night

Is that its the Home Opener.

Should be a fun game though.

Author of the Pick and Scroll. Follow me on Twitter here.

by Aykis16 on Nov 1, 2010 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Woah, woah, woah – nice job Aykis – didn’t realize he was back already!

Thanks for the update!

And yeah, tough match with him back AND it being the Kings’ home opener…

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Nov 1, 2010 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah we were surprised too

Dude was supposed to be out 4-6 weeks, ends up missing one game that he didn’t want to miss but the coaches didn’t want to take any chances. He was running the floor really fast too. There’s a reason this guy hadn’t missed a game in 4 years.

Author of the Pick and Scroll. Follow me on Twitter here.

by Aykis16 on Nov 1, 2010 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

hes not supposed to start and he is going to come off the bench…probably play less than 15 minutes but you never know

by Rapster on Nov 1, 2010 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pick & Scroll

Love the name of your blog. Very cool.

by Tim W. on Nov 1, 2010 8:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Road Swing

These early season road swings are not in the least bit indicators of future performance. A split is extremely unlikely, and would make this team the best Raps team in a while.

2006-2007: First road trip, November 12th-20th: 0-5. Final Record: 47-35.
2007-2008: First road trip, December 18th-31st: 2-4, Final Record: 41-41.
2008-2009: First road trip, November 30th-December 9th (incl home vs Portland on Dec 7): 0-5, Final Record: 33-49.
2009-2010: First road trip, November 6th-18th (incl home vs Chicago on Nov 11): 3-5, Final Record: 40-42.

No recent Raptors team has split their first road trip out west. And none of the records on those trips indicate anything about the end result of the season. This road trip is something to survive, with a win if they are lucky, more if they are really lucky/much better than we thought. But in no way does an 0-4 or 1-3 record make any commentary on the end result of this season or the shape of the team. We already know it isn’t as good as the teams we had with Bosh, and those teams did terribly on these swings, for the most part.

by dhackett1565 on Nov 1, 2010 2:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Home court??

These stats just show how mediocre the raps are – the east is a lot tougher this year so us sucking on our west coast swing and then getting creamed at home doesn’t sound like too much fun. Is it me or was the ACC 70-80% full for our home opener and only half full for our Cleveland game? If that’s the case we are going to loose our home court advantage – whatever little we had. I haven’t looked at it in detail but it seems like we have a lot less Sunday afternoon games than before – those games were great for us as the other teams sucked after a Saturday night out.
MLSE needs to stop selling us crap (Yongonez, kiss ass stories on Raptors TV, etc) and lower the ticket prices to get some real fans in.

by Rapster on Nov 1, 2010 4:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Nope, not just you…was there for the first two games and I’d say your estimates were pretty correct…maybe 60% for the Cavs.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Nov 1, 2010 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bring On the Road Trip!

If the team comes back intact I will be happy! lol…

by Jenge on Nov 1, 2010 4:41 PM EDT reply actions  

TV Tonight?

Is this one on the tube? I understand it’s on Sportsnet One which I thought ended it’s free preview on Rogers.

Am I missing something or is there no broadcast for Rogers customers who aren’t willing to fork over $ to follow the Raptors from channel to channel?

by Zona. on Nov 1, 2010 4:56 PM EDT reply actions  

From what I'm seeing

(cause I looked it up at work)
the free preview has been extended until the end of the year (dec 31)

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Nov 1, 2010 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Road Trip Expectations

Based on the fact that the Raps will be facing the starters on some high quality teams for the fist time I expect them to get crushed on this road trip. They are simply not ready at this point for a test of this magnitude. A win over SAC would be nice, but I think it’s wishful thinking considering it’s their home opener and the way they feed off their crowd.

All I’m hoping for is that the Raps play hard on both ends from start to finish. No let up like Triano has been preaching.

One thing that is essential (to me anyways) is that Jack needs to establish himself as the obvious starting pg. The time for sharing the point with Jose is done. I just don’t think Jose’s game is ever coming back based on his 2009 season, FIBA, the pre-season and now his 2 pts/gm, 15 fg% start. Jose’s one dimensional offensive game (7 ast/gm) is not enough to out weigh all of his liabilities.

But Jack needs to earn it which he has not done thus far. Jack is more than capable of going for 15pts/5rebs/7 asts while shooting high percentages playing true starter’s minutes if he just slows his game down a notch and keeps it simple (I hate his tendency to get too pretty with his passes). Combine this with his new found desire to get in the passing lanes to cause turnovers then Jack as the clear number 1 will be a material upgrade over the status quo. I think Jack will also get a huge confidence boost if this happens which will only allow his game to flourish that much more.

Make it happen JJ!!

by Tronix on Nov 1, 2010 5:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Good litmus test

These west coast trips are kind of the shaft, but I guess it’s better than having to make 15 separate trips to Western Conference cities. It’s a little discouraging to have to start from the back of the back, but hey, last year we ended up with the best January (and maybe the best month) in team history, considering the quality of teams beaten.

Bottom line, it’s a long year, and everyone plays more or less the same schedule. Raptors’ schedule is MUCH more favorable than say, the non-Heat-Magic teams in the Southeast competing for playoff spots, each of which have to play 4 games against MIA & ORL.

by Aaron Craig on Nov 1, 2010 9:46 PM EDT reply actions  

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