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Toronto Raptors' Season Preview - The HQ Gives Their Thoughts

Tomorrow night, the Toronto Raptors will kick off their 16th NBA season.

To get you ready, each member of the HQ team gives you their thoughts on what could be a very interesting year for Raptors' fans considering the low expectations placed on this group...

Star-divide

Well, here we go.

After nearly six Raptors' ball-free months, we're back.

While the NBA regular season kicks off tonight, for the Toronto Raptors, things begin in earnest tomorrow night with a match against the New York Knicks.

Unlike last season where our entire team scoffed at Bryan Colangelo's notion that his club was going to compete for 50 wins, this year, it's hard to know what to expect.

Recent media polls seem to have the Dinos firmly entrenched as one of the five worst teams in the league this coming season, if not THE worst, when all is said and done, however there have been enough positives in pre-season play to think that this team might surprise folks.

Are we talking playoffs?

As you'll see from our team's individual thoughts below, that's a stretch, but we're talking about the Eastern Conference here so who knows.  And an injury to an Amar'e Stoudemire or LeBron James could seriously change the playoff landscape at any point in time.

More importantly then playoff talk though, this is the year in my books that Bryan Colangelo has to get it right.  This is the year he needs to show that he's put together a team that while possibly doesn't win 50 games and gets deep into the playoffs, it does have some major upside and numerous parts that can be moved around to help get this team back on track in the next season or two.

If he can accomplish this feat, then for me, that's a big win this season considering how little upper-tier talent looks to be on this club at present.

I'm setting the bar right now at 30 wins, yes, more optimistic then most, but I actually think this club will be able to successfully bond together under Triano and over-achieve to a certain degree.  I compared the team recently to the Mike James' led Raptors' squad during the Babcock era and that's my hope; fans see a gritty bunch that plays hard each and every night regardless of opponent...unlike the squad that we saw take the court last season.

As well, I'm looking at 5 key questions regarding the Raptors this season:

1)  Can Andrea Bargnani emerge as a top player in this league?

2)  Who becomes the club's leader?

3)  Is DeMar DeRozan ready to take the next step, or is Sonny Weems the better prospect?

4)  Can Ed Davis contribute in year one?

5)  Can Bryan Colangelo parlay some of this club's assets into significant improvements for the future?

These are all biggies for me and I'm hoping by the time the final bell rings on the season, we'll have answers to each.  In many ways, while last year was viewed as a huge year because the team was looking to retain Bosh, this is an equally big one in terms of taking the first steps towards the club's future.  No star-power and a lot of empty seats combined with a team that fails to win 20 games could be a recipe for disaster.

What does the rest of the team think?

Well...

Howland:  Expectations are a funny thing. It's actually been "expectations" - and an inability to meet them, that have really defined the past few seasons for the Toronto Raptors. Actually, this is a season where experts and fans alike have little in terms of expectations. Despite any of management's messages to the contrary, the 2010-11 Toronto Raptors are not expected to contend, make the playoffs or be anything short of one of the worst teams in the league. Despite the bleak outlook this doesn't mean that DeMar DeRozan, Andrea Bargnani et al. should simply toss their gym shoes into their bags and head home - quite the contrary. This year is all about who can and who can't be part of the future.

The Raptors find themselves in an interesting situation. For the first time in years there is no Alpha Dog, there is no All-Star and it's even up for debate what players are the true building blocks going forward. It's a team with more questions than answers. The blessing? There is a real opportunity for each player to make the best of the situation. There is a lot of young talent on this team and a lot of players who have much to prove. There are minutes to be had and almost everyone on the roster will have an opportunity to shine. Who will step up and prove that they are a key piece to this club's future and who will shy away? This is a great situation for players like Julian Wright, Sonny Weems, Joey Dorsey and others to proove or re-establish themselves as solid NBA players. How many minutes would a guy like Wright get in San Antonio?

My expectations for this team and pretty small. If they come out and compete every night I am not sure I can ask for much more. 99% of the teams in the league have equal or greater talent and also have a roster with more experience. Wins are not going to be easy to come by. What I will be looking for is for someone to take up the torch, become the leader and help steer the ship in a positive direction. At this point I don't know who that player will be, but I am hopeful that person is on the roster. There has been so much disappointment over the past 12-18 months it's time to get back on the right track.

Bottom Line - 5 Wins.  Kidding. 27.

 

Vicious D:  It will sound cheesy, but this may very well be the very first time we'll see a Raptors squad live up to their namesake.  I fully expect these guys to get out there and be a "unit" and hunt in packs.  I expect these guys to use their speed and agility to make life hell for opposing teams.  I relish the thought that this group will attack the basket with extreme prejudice and come at teams from all directions.  I expect a lot of fun basketball from this team despite the fact there are going to be nights where we'll be pulling our hair out about the lack of a star, the need for a centre or point guard, and the lack of made free throws.  I'm hoping for fun and excitement about all else this year and I feel a lot better about having to watch 82 games this year.

Bottom Line29 wins, Triano is fine at the end, we get Ricky Rubio sometime in the year, and the Raptors will be competitive most nights.  And PJ Carlisemo becomes one of my favourite coaches.

 

Defensive Stance:  The Raptors will struggle to win games because they are devoid of elite talent (Bargnani excluded, of course -- he's clearly the next Dirk Nowitzki). As a fan, I'd be excited by a team that had a bench of DeMar DeRozan, Linas Kleiza, Leandro Barbosa and Amir Johnson. But when at least half of those players are pressed into starting roles that they are ill suited for, the results aren't going to be pretty. Ironically, when the trade deadline rolls around, productive Raptors with reasonable/expiring deals like Barbosa and Reggie Evans could be among the most sought after players in the league. The key to this season should be parlaying those assets into draft picks and young players who will contribute down the road when the Young Onez and the 2011 lottery pick emerge (yes, I'm crossing my fingers for a top three pick). The organization needs to strike a balance between playing hard and being competitive while setting the table for the type of sustained on-court success that has eluded this franchise for its entire existence.

Bottom Line - A prediction of 25-26 wins sounds about right. Any more would be a pleasant surprise. Any less and I would continue to question Jay Triano's ability to motivate NBA-level talent.    

 

Ray Bala:  The Raptors are going to fighting a nightly up-hill battle.  The loss of Chris Bosh was pretty devastating to this team in terms of not having a go-to scorer or that one consistent offensive threat.  The lost offense will have to be spread among the remaining players and that may be a problem if no one steps up to be option number one on a regular basis.  Losing the clubhouse cancer in Hedo was good but it leaves you wondering, OK now what?  The current group of players reminds me of the early Raptors' teams that played in the Skydome:  castaways and role players being asked to win immediately.  We can mix and match these players right now - DeRozan is the young McGrady, Evans is Reggie Slater, Jack is Alvin Robertson, Andersen or Bargs can play Zan Tabak (obviously) and you can go on.  The scrappy nature of the individual parts will lead them to win some games that they maybe have no business winning while the lack of star talent may lead to losses in some games they should win.  All that aside, I'll say this much, the Raps will be exciting to watch.  The young legs of the Young Onez (as they are now called) plus Jack, Dorsey, Kleiza, Barbosa and even Bargs will make for a very fun fast breaking team.  As long as there is a lot of running involved, it will be a good time.  But once the half court game settles in, it may be like watching paint dry in black and white with sub titles - ugly and painful.  I'm expecting a season of lumps, but hopefully fun lumps so to speak...

Bottom Line:  Let's say 32 wins.  I am optimistic.    

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Game On

Guys,

Thanks for the interesting reading through the long summer. It can’t be easy to keep going while there is no news out there, but it was much appreciated!

I for one am excited about the season. I just remove any expectations which allows me to enjoy the development and see the chemistry build. This afterall, will be the foundation on which we build into the future.

Go Raps!

by Zona. on Oct 26, 2010 9:23 AM EDT reply actions  

Thanks Zona – honestly we had such great reader participation, submissions and ideas that it constantly kept the content mill going. I even have 3 or 4 posts in draft that I didn’t get to use!

Super pumped for things to get under way now though!

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Oct 26, 2010 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not so concerned with a # of wins

The magic number for the 8th spot could vary depending on how the season shakes out.
I would just hope that the raps stay within a reasonable striking distance of that spot.
It could be 30 wins, it could be 35, who knows it could be less. To see some fight and awareness of where they are in regards to standings would be a good sign.

by PNUTZ on Oct 26, 2010 9:32 AM EDT reply actions  

I just want to be entertained. For gods sakes… It was looking like we might be seeing a team worse than the Voshon Lenard year when everyone got injured.

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Oct 27, 2010 1:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Like Ray

Like Ray I’m optomistic. It would be nice if they could focus on first, being a very difficult team to play at home. Make teams limp out of the ACC knowing they have been in a war. The more home games they win or make close the more tolerate the fans will be.

Un fortunately, there will be losing streaks and being positive through those will be difficult for the coaches and the players. It will be hard for Triano to answer the same old questions "What went wrong? with the same old answers “We have to work harder on defence” “We have to rebound better” etc etc.
Still, they have the advantage that the top teir teams will take them lightly so the chance is there to surprise some teams. 32 wins – check

by raptball on Oct 26, 2010 10:07 AM EDT reply actions  

The starters

My concern is the starters are going to be so overmatched and under-respected night in night out, most games will be over before our great depth has a chance to kick in.

I’m thinking 25 wins is optimistic, but it will be fun to watch (hopefully) a star emerge.

by axl t on Oct 26, 2010 10:21 AM EDT reply actions  

I just hope for an entertaining season and hopefully our young players grow. Vicious D what makes you think we’ll get rubio this year? I think that could be a good thing always said we need a young pg to grow with this group and if we don’t get Kyle Irving rubio would be a nice piece.

by sherwin316 on Oct 26, 2010 10:56 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Just cause Colangelo has a love for Euros. lol. Fits the bill and, we need a point guard. I can see him taking a chance on Rubio despite the fact that Rubio still doesn’t have much of a shooting touch

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Oct 27, 2010 1:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

still hope...

I have seen some of the pre-season games, and the impression remains twofold.
Before that, I thought that the loss of Bosh, will push Raps to share the ball musch more – and we will have a nice, fast and “easy”, overseas style team … BUT when you see these headless people, like DeDe or THE overgrown Italian guard, who – instead of passing the ball to open teammates – throwing the shots directly into the windows of God… F*** that….
We can only hope that Jay will be able to tame all these pretentious and selfish children who are overly confident in their abilities, but having an absolutely negative impact on the game. Of course, many things will depend on how the remaining guys will be ready both physically and psychologically.
So, if everything goes well, I HOPE we should be somewhere close to playoff level.

Prediction:
Bargnani: 18ppg + 6rpg
Evans: 4ppg + 8rpg
Kleiza: 18ppg + 7rpg + 3apg
DeRozan: 14ppg
Calderon: 9ppg + 5apg
Jack: 13ppg + 4apg
Barbosa: 12ppg + 3apg
Weems: 10ppg + 2apg
Amir: 8ppg + 6rpg

by majoras on Oct 26, 2010 11:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Any wins projections majoras?

Think your numbers are pretty bang on, although secretly hoping for Evans to average about 12 boards a game ha ha.

Adam Francis - Publisher - RaptorsHQ.com

by Adam Francis on Oct 26, 2010 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

WINS?

Evans rebounds will depend on the number of minutes. First of all, I don’t think he’ll get more than two quarters (should be enough for a player without scoring opportunities). Of course, Evans is one of those people (and maybe only one in this team) who can realy win boards, so … decision depends on Triano.
Another point is Kleiza. Believe me, if he only knows his place in the team (a team led by a thoughtful coach) – he is unstoppable scorer. I saw maybe ten matches in Europe with him – he was absolutely dominant player in all three positions (2,3,4). We should also add his understanding of the game, aggression and confidence – and he’ll collect this numbers in the NBA, without a doubt (if only he’ ll get enough minutes and shots, of course). Awesome weapon for this Raptors team.
Unfortunately, I haven’t seen the promised, all for one and one for all – thing yet … DeDe selfishness extremely disappointing, Bargs is absolutely do not know how to play as a center…. Calderon is still on vacation…
And finally, I am sure that Gregg Popovich is fully able to train this group, but Triano???

Wins? I think so:
1) 40+ wins. If God is a really big fan of the Raptors.
2) 30+ wins. If Triano can.
3) 20+ wins. If he can not
4) 10+ wins. :( If something unexpected happens. (God is not on our side. Broken arms and legs. Bargs is still playing as a guard… and so on…)

P.S. if Colangelo will get any REAL center… maybe we don’t need God’s help so much.

Go Raptors! :)

by majoras on Oct 26, 2010 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

This season in only about development

I couldn’t care less how many wins this team get’s. Completely irrelevant. This season will be a success if:

- At the end we have an acurate undertanding of what we have in Demar DeRozan, Sonny Weems and Ed Davis (I don’t think we’ll know everything we need to know about Alabi by the end of this season – will need more time). Good or bad, as long as we know what we have.

- The team commits to competing on BOTH ends of the court (yes that means defense and rebounding as well)

- Triano holds EVERYONE accountable, irregardless of salary (or golden boy status)

- Colangelo doesn’t squander the future of this franchise by bringing in players to “win now” in order to squeez into the 8th spot.

- We get a high draft pick

by MAS11 on Oct 26, 2010 11:40 AM EDT reply actions  

We get a high draft pick

So… the number of wins is relevant then. That’s why I’ve been hoping for (and expecting) 26 wins at most.

Otherwise, I agree with everything you said. Oh, and hopefully by the end of next draft day the TPE and expiring contracts will have been used to absorb some contracts and bring in some young talent and picks.

by dhackett1565 on Oct 26, 2010 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes the number of wins is irrelevant...

As long as it leads to a high draft pick. Seems pretty simple to grasp to me.

by MAS11 on Oct 26, 2010 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s like saying… the number of wins is irrelevant if…

… we make the playoffs.
… we win the championship.
… we are better than .500.
… we win our division.

They are all win-dependent, so the number of wins matter. Otherwise, really, the number of wins never matter and you made a total moot point, as win totals are pretty much always associated with another achievement. What is so hard to grasp?

by dhackett1565 on Oct 26, 2010 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why are you so simple?

Do you need me to say I want only 25 wins in order to secure good draft position? How about 22, or 27, or 21, or 17… Oh wait that was my actual point… The precise number of wins is irrelevant as long as we secure a draft pick. I can’t explain it in simpler terms than that. It cannot be dumbed down any further.

by MAS11 on Oct 26, 2010 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree. So long as a win-dependent criterion is met, the exact number of wins is irrelevant. Of course, since the number of wins tends to determine the success of that criterion, I support the notion of posting real and quantifiable goals for the season (such as a low win count – which leads to the more qualitative success of a high draft pick).

by dhackett1565 on Oct 27, 2010 8:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Don’t forget the TPE!!!

I think we all agree that the raps can get 26-30 wins with the ‘current’ roster. We tend to forget that BC has the TPE in his back pocket and refuses to call this is a rebuilding year – as far as he is concerned this is a playoff bound team. So as to appease MLSE BC is going to use that TPE come mid-season and we probably will get 5-8 more wins with whoever he gets. My only fear is that the TPE is going to be a short term solution and its going to hurt our future prospects if he chooses to exercise it.

by Rapster on Oct 26, 2010 12:31 PM EDT reply actions  

My predictions –

36 Wins
Ed Davis takes his game to the next level
Bargs is a bust
Derozan shows flashes of greatness but is not consistent
Barbosa has a career year and gets nominated for 6th man
Kleiza makes some huge buckets but gives it up on defense
Calderon is gone by December

by Rapster on Oct 26, 2010 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

What’s Ed Davis’ next level? We don’t even have a ground floor yet!

by dhackett1565 on Oct 26, 2010 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

right now the next level is just starting a game as he’s probably in the basement – on a serious note I think he will be among the top 3 PF’s of his rookie class provided he’s healthy

by Rapster on Oct 26, 2010 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh D-Stance... you little instigator...

“The Raptors will struggle to win games because they are devoid of elite talent (Bargnani excluded, of course — he’s clearly the next Dirk Nowitzki)”… funny how you can’t hear sarcasm through text on a page but somehow I get a sense there may be some hidden in your comment…

by Mikthaniel on Oct 26, 2010 12:41 PM EDT reply actions  

You sir are correct. I actually wrote my portion without mentioning Bargs once… then realized that some of our readers would probably think I was medicated for not mentioning The Chosen One, so I threw in a little dig. Hahaha.

by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Oct 26, 2010 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bargs should get a tattoo like LBJ…

by dhackett1565 on Oct 26, 2010 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rebuilding year

I’d like to see the Raptors win as many games as they can, but I don’t think that number is very high. I’d put the upper bound around 35 in a scenario where everything goes right. More likely we’ll see something in the high 20s.

I too hope for a high draft pick at the end of the rainbow, but I would be just as happy for that to come from luck in the lottery as from a miserable season of 60+ losses. Yes, I want to go to heaven without having to die. I mean, who doesn’t?

Also, I expect continued interesting coverage from the Raps HQ team as the many twists and turns of the season unfold. And lastly, I expect that Bargnani will do something useful(grab 10+ boards, hit a game winning shot) just often enough to keep the debate over his value raging all season.

by DW19 on Oct 26, 2010 1:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Hopes/Expectations/Fears:

 - Develop young talent with winning attitude (play smart/play hard/play D). Triano has an opportunity to distinguish himself as legit NBA coach if he can pull this off. Most of us don’t expect a high win total but we want to maintain a tough team oriented style of play and see our younger players (majority of roster) improve. However, if loses pile up and the team is not competitive it will be very easy for players to stray towards individual achievements and develop bad habits.

- Increase trade value of assets…particularly Calderon/Evans/Barbosa/Anderson. Not far fetched that each of these players will be valued more highly 20 games into this season then they were at the end of last season…which would bode well for mid-season trades that were not available to us in the off season (although I really would like to keep Barbosa around for a few years).

- Ed Davis and Demar Derozan show signs they are and can be two way top tier talents. This season, to me, is all about these two developing as they are the only two on the roster who, IMO, have the potential to reach this level.

- TPE – the x factor. We’ll need some serious creativity to convert this to into a desired asset (young legit starter) but it gives the Raps a slew of options that would otherwise not be available. I will be extreme disappointing if it expires without being utilized.
 
I see a 32 win season on the horizon.

by Raptoronto on Oct 26, 2010 1:21 PM EDT reply actions  

develop a competitive attitude

Your first point is one of the most important points from my perspective. Regardless of wins and losses, this team needs to nurture a competitive attitude and will to fight in their youngsters.

by DW19 on Oct 26, 2010 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Somebody help me with this...

Why do the T’Wolves have Telfair, Flynn, Ridnour, and Rubio at Point Guard?

All of these guys look like they have good numbers…

I know Ricky is AWOL but seriously couldn’t they give us one of their other three?

I think we deserve it…

by Mikthaniel on Oct 26, 2010 1:32 PM EDT reply actions  

i think..

I think that’s why vicious D in his part said the raptors would get rubio before the year ends..the T-wolves have way too many point guards…rubio just seems the likely choice for the raps to go after..this is where I think the TPE comes into play cause seriously if David kahn really thinks rubio will come to the NBA on a team that has a log jam at that position he’s on some serious drugs.

by sherwin316 on Oct 26, 2010 2:40 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Makes sense now...

I knew Rubio had ditched the team but just I just learned Flynn had had hip surgery and has only just now been cleared to start light practices…

So I guess they really only have the 2 PG’s…

by Mikthaniel on Oct 26, 2010 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pretty much…

Same thing why I thought Colangelo would go hard after Hedo even though I didn’t WANT that to happen.

I think I’d be ok with Rubio as long as we aren’t giving up a whole ton. I still worry about Rubio’s shooting and his defense against NBA guards.

Kinnon "Vicious D" Yee
Author - RaptorsHQ.com Twitter @RapHQVicious

by Raptors HQ - Vicious D on Oct 27, 2010 1:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Can I say… Blake Griffin is looking like a monster, and dammit if someone didn’t draft him in my fantasy pool one spot ahead of me? This is probably the most excited I’ve been for the ROY in a while!

by Ustation on Oct 26, 2010 2:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Wishlist...

1. Meet Sonny Derozan… er, Demar Weems…

I wish for both of these guys to develop their games to the point where they are viable, reliable stars and are completely interchangeable… Future of the Franchise potentially…

2. Bargnani finds a hobby… and hopefully it’s basketball…

I wish this guy would treat the game like something he likes to do instead of something he can just show up for and collect a paycheck…

3. Young, athletic, exciting…

Becomes mature, athletic, exciting…

I know you typically get three wishes but as an enduring fan I deserve a fourth…

4. Coaching…

Use guys to their strengths instead of just what you wish they could do…
Make everyone accountable…
Reward effort and be consistent…

I like this teams future, if it stays on the tracks…
They can be competitive nobodies until they become legitimate somebodies…

Everyone secretly roots for the underdog…

by Mikthaniel on Oct 26, 2010 6:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Looking forward to Tip-off

Think this will be a bittersweet season. I honestly believe we are better than what they are calling, yet I am hoping they are right. Right around 35 wins and a late lottery pick.
But 35 wins means something has gone right, although not too right, right?

by Tinmann on Oct 26, 2010 7:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Bosh played as bad as D-Wade tonight

Just like the playoffs from last year, Bron vs. the Celts, except that Wade dares keep the ball away from King James

by bigweeze on Oct 26, 2010 10:34 PM EDT reply actions  

What I wasn't expecting...

was to see Shaq with enough legs to slam two IMPRESSIVE buckets…

I thought the basket was gonna blow a hydraulic for sure…

by Mikthaniel on Oct 27, 2010 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

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