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Tales from the Big House - The Secret of Winning Basketball

Do the Raptors have elite secondary options akin to Rodman and Worthy?

Now 2 weeks into his sentence at Mt. Sinai, Franchise has plenty of time to read.  With a break in Raptors' action he looks at "the Secret of Winning Basketball" as described by Bill Simmons in his latest book...

Star-divide

Don't anger the doctors who are looking after you.

That seems like a pretty straightforward thing right?

Well...during my stay here at Mt. Sinai, I was doing ok with that concept...

...up until yesterday.

One of my best friends happens to be a doctor in Edmonton and over the past few weeks has been a tremendous source of knowledge and insight into my current medical plight.  He's also injected a certain amount of shall we say "hospital humour" into me.  As an ER doc who's looking to specialize in ICU-type care, he noted that there are three stereotypes about various medical specialists:

-ER docs are the cowboys of the medical world,

-Surgeons are the apes of the medical world, the "I fix it" types,

-and the Internists are the "thinkers," the specialists who prefer to think before they leap.

Well yesterday marked the re-opening of the North wing of the section I'm currently residing in and as a result, a new team of surgeon types to preside over me.  So when I greeted them with a resounding cry of "hey, you guys must be my new team of apes!", let's just say it didn't go over so well.

Suddenly, a few hours after my initial encounter with them, it was announced that I would be moved to solitary confinement on another floor.

No TV, no windows, not much nurse attention, and a lack of the basic safety gear found in my previous rooms such as oxygen assistance.  Hell, they even have to use the old-school hand-pump method to check my blood pressure!

Yep, they might as well have stuck me in a broom closet.

However with no TV and not much else in terms of amusement, I quickly dove into a book a friend had dropped off, Bill Simmons' most recent read, The Book of Basketball.  I've always been a big Bill Simmons fan and more often than not find myself in agreement with his take on things.  His new book is built for basketball junkies like myself and while over 600 pages, it's a fascinating read.

One chapter stood out to me, in particular in regards to our beloved Toronto Raptors; the book's initial entry entitled "The Secret."  In the chapter, Simmons discusses making amends to a certain extent with Isiah Thomas, the longtime butt of many of Simmons' "bad GM" jokes.  Thomas and Simmons end up "smoking the peace pipe" to a degree at a topless pool in Las Vegas (of course!), enough that the former Pistons' great lets Simmons in on what he calls "the secret."

Yes, the secret of winning in the NBA.

What is this secret?

Well put simply, "the secret of basketball is that it's not about basketball."

This might seem somewhat cryptic but Simmons takes the reader through various examples of why things such as team chemistry and a winning culture end up deciding NBA champions, not individual talent.  The Spurs and Pistons teams of the late 90's and past decade (sounds weird to say that doesn't it?) are perfect examples and even last year's Lakers and the previous year's Celtics fit the bill.  In fact Simmons notes that four qualities seem to consistently be present in championship clubs:

1)  You build potential champions around one great player.  He doesn't have to be a super-duper star or someone who can score at will, just someone who leads by example, kills himself on a daily basis, raises the competitive nature of his teammates, and lifts them to a better place.

Simmons cites players like Billups, Wade, Garnett, and Duncan as recent examples on Championship clubs.

2)  You surround the superstar with one or two elite sidekicks who understand their place in the team's hierarchy, don't obsess over stats, and fill in every blank that they can.

Again, Simmons cites examples like James Worthy, Joe Dumars, Scottie Pippen and Horace Grant, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili.

3)  From that framework, you complete your nucleus with top-notch role players and/or character guys who know their place, don't make mistakes, and won't threaten that unselfish culture, as well as a coaching staff dedicated to keeping those team-ahead-of-individual values in place.

Players of this third ilk?  Robert Horry, Derek Fisher, Eddie House, Tayshaun Prince...too many to count really...

Finally...

4)  You need to stay healthy in the playoffs and maybe catch one or two breaks.

Again, maybe not rocket-science but Simmons uses some great examples to illustrate how important these points are, and the whole chapter got me wondering about this current version of the Toronto Raptors and how they stacked up against Simmons' criteria.

Does Bosh fit into the first category?  Before this season I would have said no but now you'd have to say that he checks off most of those boxes.

What about the likes of Andrea Bargnani and Hedo Turkoglu; are they "elite sidekicks who understand their place within a team's hierarchy?"

And finally "top-notch role players;" would the Amir Johnson's and Jarrett Jack's of the club count in this manner?

For me, the second point is currently the team's biggest issue in terms of taking the next step.  Put simply, I just don't think that that "second tier" of players has what it takes to lift the team to that championship level.  Forget that none of Hedo, Bargs or Jose Calderon for that matter, compare to the Scottie Pippens or even Tony Parkers of recent champions, but I'm still not even convinced that many of them fit with the team's top dog, Bosh.

That being said, I do think a player like DeMar DeRozan has the potential to be that "elite sidekick" and perhaps with a few moves, some additional sidekicks can be brought in that take this team to the proverbial next level.  How would someone like Joe Johnson look in Toronto next to Bosh for instance?  I can see players like Reggie Evans, Sonny Weems and Amir Johnson being the "top-notch role players," so in my books, it's the second-stringers that need some work.

The problem is, BC has recently re-upped or acquired his second-stringers, and now there's precious little room for change.  He seems quite satisfied with his choices, but their lack of consistency has been a major problem for the Raps so far.  In a season where you essentially are getting 20 and 10 from Bosh every night, I'd argue that it's the play of these secondary types that means the difference between a loss to an injury-riddle Celtics club, and a win over a healthy Spurs squad.

So what to do?

Let's not even talk about what happens if Bosh walks next off-season but to me it's clear that the Legomaster still needs to do some tinkering.  Until then, this club will meander along as it has been, surprising a few good teams here and there, but generally beating up on the league's bad clubs and having a tough time with the elite crews.

For instance, even though Toronto has won six of its past seven, the team still has only beaten four teams with a record over .500 this season.  If the Dinos want to look like a team that not only can get back to the playoffs in the East, but also make some noise, that number definitely has to improve in the new year.

More importantly though aside from simply "beating the league's good teams," I want to see this club start to compete with a hunger and passion on a nightly basis.  It's this spirit that is mentioned most often in Bill Simmons' chapter on "The Secret" and I truly believe it separates the league's best from the rest.

It's this sort of mentality that fans saw permeate even Boston's scrubs two games ago and something that becomes somewhat of a "culture" for successful basketball teams.

Toronto hasn't had much of a taste of that culture in its 15 year history but my hope is that this season is a big first step in that direction.

If not - perhaps it's time this summer for Bryan Colangelo to sit down at a topless pool in Vegas with Isiah Thomas...

Poll
Are the Raptors' secondary options good enough to get past the first round of the playoffs?
Yes
75 votes
No
92 votes

167 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 20 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

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I voted yes, but I want to state that I don’t see it happening this year. My “Yes” is for the following year (assuming that Bosh resigns with the Raps, which is what I think he will end up doing).

by siggian on Jan 5, 2010 9:50 AM EST reply actions  

I voted no, but like you, believe that provided they can hang onto Bosh, the big jump happens next year.

by Adam Francis on Jan 5, 2010 11:34 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t necessarily agree that the recent winning streak the raps have put together is strictly because they’ve been playing bad teams. to me it’s more about the way they’ve been winning those games. (except for the recent boston game.)

they seem to be coming around to finding an identity and some cohesion together, something all of us hoped would happen right from the start. it didn’t. but it seems to now. something, hopefully, that will translate to the up coming games against better teams.

again, this doesn’t seem to be the same team from the first 20 games or so. so comparing them is, to me, unfair. of course if they lose the next 5 in a row, crow eating time for me.

also, we have half a season left – the last half – to see if bargs and turk are willing and able to step up and be those ‘second tier’ guys. I think bargs has it in him. it’s coming.

now get better and get the hell out of the hospital already!

by vicPapa on Jan 5, 2010 10:06 AM EST reply actions  

I do think the chemistry has come around and yes, this isn’t the same team as in October, November, and even early December.

But my question I guess is if this is almost “as good as it gets.” I completely expected the chemistry to start coming together around this time and the team to start gelling and putting together a winning streak (hence my 42 win prediction despite thinking the team would start at 5 and 13.) But to really play with the big boys in the sandbox, I still think some changes need to be made.

by Adam Francis on Jan 5, 2010 11:37 AM EST up reply actions  

what is the sign that this is ** as good as it gets** ?

moreover, I guess we did not even have the time to find out how good this is and how good it will be once Evans is back. Evans may be not the most skilled player, but do you think he would made a difference in a game like, let’s say Boston?

by renato on Jan 5, 2010 11:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Personally I don’t see Evans having a huge impact. Some? Yes. But I think that just gets the club closer to that 42 win mark than anything beyond that.

With no Pops though, we’ll see…

by Adam Francis on Jan 5, 2010 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Evans may have more of an impact on the teams attitude than actual play. Personally, I’m not looking forward to him taking playing time from Amir and maybe even Weems. Honestly, I can see him going the way of the Antawn Wright. Unable to live up to the hype.

by Posterized on Jan 6, 2010 2:53 AM EST up reply actions  

The poll results scare me

Granted, we’re only talking about a small sample size of 51 people (at the time of my own ‘no’ vote). But seriously – to all the people who voted ‘yes’ – how do you expect the Raptors to get out of the first round when they’ve shown an inability to beat anyone not sporting a sub .500 record? Over 40% of the season has gone by and they’ve beaten THREE winning teams; one of which was a Cavs team trying to integrate Shaq on opening night and another was a Spurs team that didn’t play Tim Duncan until well into the 2nd quarter.

For the Raptors to advance beyond the first round, they would have to suddenly summon the ability to win 4 of 7 games against one of the Cavaliers, Magic, Celtics or Hawks. They couldn’t beat a Celtics team without Garnett, Pierce AND Rondo. And let’s not even talk about what the Hawks did to them.

by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Jan 5, 2010 10:06 AM EST reply actions  

Give 'em some credit

Dude,

Duncan played 29 minutes, 3 less than his season average. You discount the win against Cleveland because the Cavs were integrating Shaq but you don’t give the Raps a pass for integrating a whole new team.

I’m with vicPapa. I think (hope?) they’ve turned the corner. The issue hasn’t been losing to teams above 500, it’s been losing in general. It looks like they got some passion and fight back and I think much of that has to do with better chemistry. I think that outside of Boston (who completely intimidates the Raps every time we play them with or without their starters), who knows what can happen in a 7 game series. 4th seed is within reach, now we have to go and get it.

by Zona. on Jan 5, 2010 10:48 AM EST reply actions  

I’ll give the Raps some credit when I see them win some games against better teams. They haven’t done that yet (at least not on a consistent basis). You can still argue that their recent play can be explained away by the weakness in schedule (other than the San Antonio game). Although I’d like to believe that starting Jarrett Jack and giving more minutes to athletic players like Sonny Weems has something to do with it.

I’m reserving judgement on whether they’ve truly “turned the corner” until I see how Triano uses Calderon. If he puts him back in the starting lineup after a couple of games and they continue to get blown out, then I’ll just shake my head.

by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Jan 5, 2010 11:10 AM EST up reply actions  

DS

Progress does not necessarily take place in straight lines, moreover, if the raptors were consistently wining against “better teams” they would be contenders (and the opposition would no longer be better teams). I reserve judgment on Calderon as it is still possible he is having a bad luck patch, starting with the hamstring, then not playing much then the hip.
D has NOT been an issue for some time now, it has to do with Calderon absence, but also with the team knowing each other better. I am sometimes surprised how chemistry building is a sound reasoning when speaking about other teams troubles but it becomes an excuse when speaking about the team we root for.
I will also hold judgment on Hedo, he has shown something so I cut him some slack, now I would see more of it.
The X factor for this team is how Andrea turns out to be, back to the basket, now that they seem to give that strategy a few touches to see how it produces.

by renato on Jan 5, 2010 11:39 AM EST up reply actions  

Calderon

And here’s the million dollar question now that the team IS playing better; what happens when Jose returns tomorrow night?

I fear that after a game or two Triano trots him back out with the starters and if we start seeing the defense return to its epic level of fraility…then what?

by Adam Francis on Jan 5, 2010 11:38 AM EST reply actions  

That's easy

Calderon would have to go. The difficulty would lie in getting something worthwhile back.

But epic failure is not likely. I think its more the case that the defense will stay the same or degrade slightly. If it’s the latter, you then have to weigh JCs offensive contributions vs the loss of defense vs the value you might get for him. If he’s playing at a high level offensively, you might see a few clubs willing to overlook his defense.

by siggian on Jan 5, 2010 12:00 PM EST up reply actions  

And you’re right — there are a few teams that could overlook his defense (i.e. the Magic who are seeing effective minutes from Jason Williams, who has never been good defensively and is even worse now that he’s in his mid 30s).

by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Jan 5, 2010 12:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Talking about Calderon's defence

How well has Jack been on defence against Parker, Allen/House, Felton , who averaged 24ppg vs the Raptors in recent games, as PG’s..
You would be killing Calderon for his defence in these games, but Jack is a hero because Rap’s are winning games.
Defence is a TEAM thing in tune with the coaching plan, not an individual thing (5 players working together as a TEAM).
For an example of working together you only have to look at BOSTON, where the sum of the parts are a TEAM playing defence, not a bunch of individuals, including 2 fill ins at PG in Allen & House who outplayed Jack/Banks in running their offense, dominating the Rap’s.
Calderon is a quality PG, who while playing half of last year contributed to a defensive PPG against of 101.9 for the year, while playing with a completely new group this year, supposedly more talented, but also a bunch of strangers, the PPG against has been 109.3 for the 22games he started. The reason has very little to do with Calderon’s defensive play

by Johnn19 on Jan 5, 2010 1:56 PM EST up reply actions  

The team defence with Calderon starting was on pace to be one of the worst in the history of the league. Individually, Calderon is a terrible defender. And in terms of fit with the current starters, he doesn’t make sense.

by RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance on Jan 5, 2010 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess we’ll have to agree to disagree on this one. I don’t think you can simply look at opposing point guard totals to make the assessment – as you said, it’s TEAM defence and there’s no question the D has been better overall in Jose’s absence. Is that STRICTLY Jose’s fault? Of course not. But I do feel he’s a major piece of the puzzle.

by Adam Francis on Jan 5, 2010 2:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Et tu ?

What the?
Extremely disappointed with the lot of you! Shame, shame , shame. I am writing down all your names and will make you eat your words in a few weeks.

Anyone who thinks we are a weaker team with Jose Calderon in the line-up are ridiculously misguided with their thoughts. This team was getting its act together prior to him going down. Comparing records with him and without him serve no purpose. Competition was different.
I for one am anxious for his return. Surprisingly, I want him to come off the bench. I think Jay has got to go that way and does anyone here think Jose will have a problem with that.

Thats what I find odd. Our best shooting PG, and best ball handling PG is on the verge of return, and most seem to feel it’s a bad thing.
Wait and see. Jose will gladly come off the bench to begin, then it’s up to Jay to get the best line-up out there. Our team D will continue to get better, and Jose will be a part of it.

by Tinmann on Jan 5, 2010 6:22 PM EST reply actions  

Jose

Tinman, keeping with Franchise’s theme regarding Simmons’ chapter on “the Secret”, its not necessarily about talent. Is Jose arguably a more talented (offensive) player than both Jack and Banks? Maybe… probably. However, the important question is: does he “fit” with the other players in the starting line-up?

I would say now and here is why…

1) With Jose in the starting line-up, you have arguably 4 poor defenders (Bargani, Jose, Turk and DeRozan – DeRozan has potential to be good defensively but is overmatched on a nightly basis due to his inexperience) and one average player Bosh. Jack is absolutely a better defender (despite Doug Smith’s inexplicable/indefensible statements in his blog today).

2) Turk needs the ball in his hands to be effective as a distributer. This is how his value is maximized (as evidenced in his recent play since Jose has ben out). This takes away from Jose’s value and oportunity to contribute with the starting line-up as his comfort zone is handling the ball in pick-and-roll and dribble hand-off situations.

3) Jack fits better with the starters not only because of his defense but because he can penetrate and get into the paint, drawing fouls and stressing the oponent’s defense. which is a dynamic that fits well with Bargani’s shooting and Bosh’s post play.

I think that Jose’s talent is best utilized with this team off the bench, running the second unit, providing offensive guidence and shooting to compliment the “young gunz” raw athleticism. As you pointed out Calderone would take this role without blinking an eye (as he’s a team first guy and a professional) and therefore it makes total sense.

by MAS11 on Jan 5, 2010 9:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Jose part deux

I may be over simplifying, but I think all the “young gunz” athleticism will be wasted if they have to wait for Jose to walk the ball up the court. The way I see it, Jose’s style of play is even less effective with our athletic young guys. I figure Triano will limit Jose’s minutes and ease him back into the lineup. I’ll be very surprised if numero ocho isn’t starting again by the end of the month. Jose’s defense may suck, but you can’t argue the fact that he is a good character player. He’s unselfish, willing to sacrifice and the only player who doesn’t wet himself when Garnett and the Boston Douchebags (oops, I mean Celtics) come to town.

by Posterized on Jan 6, 2010 2:49 AM EST up reply actions  

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