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3 In the Key – Toronto Raptors Game Day Preview vs. Miami

Welcome back!

Welcome back!

I’ve been away since late last week and my destination didn’t have TV, internet or blackberry coverage. It really was a "break". When it came to my following of the Raptors it literally came to a standstill - there was no checking box scores, reading the recaps from Franchise or Vicious D or even the occasional highlight. To be honest, it was nice to step away from what has been a rather tumultuous season.

I would be surprised if many of the Raps players wouldn’t like to take a real break at this point either.

Upon my return it was pretty clear that I hadn’t missed much in Raptorland except another handful of losses and the signing of Mensah-Bonsu. The Raps continue to be 5 games out of a playoff spot and are the second worst team in the Eastern Conference. I really didn’t expect anything different and I was far from being pleasantly surprised.

Being away and enjoying the break from all things Raptors made me realize just how taxing this season has been for us fans. There have been difficult seasons in the past and difficult situations, but this season just leaves a bad taste in your mouth. When we look back on this 2008-2009 season there will be very few highs and a ton of lows. It’s been a long and grueling year…and there remain a handful of games to go.

The Atlantic Division title feels like eons ago.

There is nothing worse as a fan than throwing up the white flag when it comes to your team, in particular with a good chunk of the season left. I should know, I have done it the past two Rams seasons. I will continue to watch the games from here on out, but there will be little enjoyment from doing so. I am sure some of the guys will continue to put out good effort but it really is an exercise of going through the motions.

With that being said there are still a handful of games that I am looking forward to watching. Tonight’s match-up against the Miami Heat is definitely one of them and for obvious reasons.

If there is one thing this season will be remembered for it will be the failed JO experiment (and possibly the failed Marion experiment as well). The ramifications of this "failure" are still to be determined (CB4) but it really will be what defines this year. In his time in Toronto Jermaine did some good things on the court but the results, or rather wins, didn’t follow. Whether it was due to injuries or otherwise, the O’Neal/Bosh pairing was far from being the next coming of Robinson/Duncan (which in hindsight was a comparison not worth making as Duncan and Robinson are sure fire Hall of Famers).

The money issues aside I was a big fan of O’Neal. His interior presence, physicality and general demeanor on the court were all things that had been missing on Raptors teams of the past. O’Neal gave the Raps their first legitimate true center in years. In the past three games it is clear how badly the Raps are missing JO, or at least what he brought to the table. Opposing teams have essentially set up camp in the paint and scored at an embarrassing rate. There is no-one to truly make opponents fear the heart of the Raptors defense.

I can see Dwyane Wade licking his chops right now.

One of the many reason’s why JO was deemed expendable by BC has to have been the development of Bargnani. Albeit their styles of play are completely different, this season Il Mago has finally produced, while playing the 5. Much of the credit for this emergence has been given to his commitment last summer. In fact it was JO who was one of the first to talk about Bargnani’s abilities starting to shine through. All this said, even with the development of Bargs, moving JO has still left a glaring hole in the front court and one that cannot be filled by any other big currently residing on the Raptors bench.

Well now the two of them get to go head to head and this match-up is definitely one of tonight’s keys.

No Raps D tonight will mean lots of this.

No Raps D tonight will mean lots of this.

1. Slowing O’Neal – This is not just another game for JO. He was cast aside, was essentially the scape goat for the Raptors season and his enormous sense of pride will ignite a fire inside him. O’Neal is going to want to take it to the Raps and it will be up to Bargnani to help prevent that from happening. It’s a battle of two totally different styles. Quickness vs. Power. Traditional vs. New Age. JO is still capable of going for 20 and 10 but he can also be neutralized. Look for Bargs to force him to the perimeter and use his quickness to blow by him and cause foul trouble. I for one would like to see Bargnani try and establish a post-presence but I won’t hold my breath. On the flip side if O’Neal starts abusing the Raps front court there will likely be no stopping the Heat because when Wade gets help the Heat can play with anyone.

2. Clog the Paint – When Triano first took over the team the defensive philosophy clearly changed with the emphasis being put on stopping penetration. I am not sure what happened to that game plan but it better re-appear tonight or Wade et al. are going to take full advantage. I can live with another loss if Wade is lighting it up from the outside but it will be rough to watch if Wade, Beasley and yes even Jamario Moon start abusing the rim like they did in their last game against the Phoenix Suns. If the Raps don’t play any sort of defense the Heat can put up points in bunches.

3. Run, Run, Run - I originally had this as the second key to the game but the reality is if the Raps don’t bring any hustle on the defensive end it won’t matter how they play offensively. If the Raps do play some defense they need to get out and run. JO and Haslem are not the most agile big men and if Bosh can get the ball with good position early in the shot clock good things will happen whether it is getting to the line or finding open shooters.

Now if the Heat do manage to get back the offensive strategy is a simple one, pump fake Moon and watch him fly by as you step in for the easy uncontested J. We all know that works every time.

HOWLAND

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I think that if Moon is able to go off (I will define that as 15-20 points, with some of those points actually occurring outside of 20 ft, and maybe 10 boards) on us tonight that is the ultimate indication of just how whimsical this team is. The only interesting thing tonight will be how well Bargs stands up to JO's punishment, because you absolutely know he is coming out to own him. Wade will embarrass our interior defense, and I am predicting an L. The real determining factor will be the play of Marion in my mind. Hope to see a chip on his shoulder. Enjoy.

by Branden on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

It'll be fun to watch tonight (even if we lose - a likely scenario).

Gentlemen, let's try our best to forget about this season and its downside. It took a toll on me watching my expectations get crushed throughout the year. That's done. We're not doomed for the future. Time to look ahead to the draft.

by Nick on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

JO is definitely going to get his revenge . no doubt that . but raptors perimeter should make sure moon doesn't get career high in points .

by junior on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Looks like Pops was only sigend to a 10 day contract, as per RealGM. Smart move I would say, just to see what the kid has. He could be a Maxiell type...or could be a spectacular failure.

Also, I would love to see Monta Ellis as our PG going forward. His ankle is fine, he's young. He's got a bit of an attitude, but I think he would look great in Raptor Red. And with Calderon unwilling (unable?) to push the rock up the floor, Ellis is a guy that we might be able to get on the cheap, considering how things are going down in GS.

Sorry for the offseason speculation, I'm just over this season already, and I want to see the Raptors return to glory asap.

by Casey on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

everyone knows the pump-fake is the best way to get by jamario, but i seriously have to question whether the raps even possess the IQ to do that... and if i may continue to sound like a downer, given the high numbers that some b-guys put up against us during the recent road trip, i have a feeling that jamario could very well go off on us with a 20/10 game.

by ted c on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I started writing this long post and got the second paragraph and said to myself "self, what the hell is it all for, this team doesn't care, why should you"..
Enjoy the rest of the season fellas...

by Mycall on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Moon was on Hoops last night actually and Eric Smith asked some great questions in regards to his play this year, and whether he felt he wasn't playing up to last year's levels. Moon really didn't answer them, but he did say something interesting, that he didn't have the "same opportunities" this year.

Now whether that means the coaching wasn't working in his favour, or the subtraction of TJ Ford meant less looks for him in transition, who knows. But as Branden points out, if Moon is able to go off thanks to Wade's facilitation, that speaks volumes I'd argue.

by Franchise on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Casey - I think Monta would be a great addition to this team (assuming his ankle is a 100% - and with injuries like his, there are never guarantees). But he is not a pg... he is as much a pg as Iverson or OJ Mayo. He is an undersized 2 guard, but I still think he would be a fantastic replacement for AP. (with him seeming to want out of GSW he there may be something workable there)

I always felt Moon got a bit of a bad rap... I mean that is one player that still has some development to do. LAst year was only his rookie season, but everyone was expecting him to step up and be a serious player this year. I will give you he shot alot more than he needed to. He really needed to take it to the rim and dunk over people (since he could basically jump over everyone). But he was the best back court defender we had and could (albeit not always reliably) hit those shots... he just didn't suppliment the shots with drives to the rim. I can see what he was saying about not have "opportunites"... it was the same with AB early in the season. Calderon was only looking to Bosh, O'Neal and AP... he completely ignored Moon and AB at the start of the year. Jose just did not seem to have faith in those guys....
(not really complaining about Moon going, but I wouldn't have been upset if he stayed either)

by SwirskysSoldier on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

A little off topic here but I read that Bosh responded to Shaqs comments. He wasn't too impressed with Shaq's professionalism. If I were Chris I would have looked the camera dead in the lens and said, "Hey Shaq, why don't you go have a nice tall glass of shut the hell up!"...Of course I would run and hide for my life afterwards but it would be a great retaliation to Shaq.

by Thor on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I think with wade getting the help defense moon is able to get back door a lot more often, whereas on the raps, he 'was wade'

by axl on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Call me a sucker - but I still think the raps are going to squeak into the playoffs and get smoked in round 1. I'm not sure why I think that though ... maybe it's because otherwise I would just shut the TV off.

Maybe I have swirks-homer syndrome!

by utes on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

JO and Moon just might surprise Us all and mail in a win for the Raps. Their little way of thanking BC for trading them. They are in a better situation now is are they not?

by Davl on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

utes I am with you that the raps will sneak into the playoffs. I was in jamaica when the oneal/marion trade went down and i was very taken back to find out that BC included Moon. I always believe that Moon will be a pretty good player in the league and I am happy for him and the fact that he is a lock for the playoffs so I will be watching him for at least 1 playoff round. I am starting to get sick of BC and his crappy moves. Is Grumpwald working anywhere? Or better yet does Dr J still want to be a GM, maybe that would bring VC back to his beloved city...raps4life

by RAPS4LIFE on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

pretty sure Grunwald is with the Knicks....

by SwirskysSoldier on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Utes, you're a sucker :) But I like your moxy. Keep that chin up!

by Casey on Mar 6, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

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