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Across the Atlantic

The destination of choice?

The destination of choice?

I have been pretty AWOL as of late. It’s been a busy summer on both the work and vacation fronts. Work hard play harder right?

Just last week I was in Europe so I wasn’t able to watch much of the summer league action which was disappointing. On the flip side I was in Europe. Yes, that same Europe that is now the hot topic in NBA circles.

Let’s just look at some of the headlines around the web the past few days:

"Jason Williams has an offer from Maccabi Tel Aviv." – Malaga Hoy

"Lakers reserve guard Sasha Vujacic, a restricted free agent, is prepared to leave the team and accept an offer from a European team in the next few days if the Lakers don't make him an offer he deems fair." (Since re-signed with the Lakers) – LA Times

"Andris Biedrins, according to a source close to the fifth-year lefty, is drawing interest from several teams in Europe." – Contra Costa Times (Since re-signed with the Warriors)

"The agent for restricted free agent forward Carl Landry told FOX 26 Sports Wednesday playing outside the NBA may become an option for his client." – MyFoxHouston.com

"Cornstein added that Krstic signing with a club overseas, as Bostjan Nachbar did on Monday, is "certainly an option." Nachbar, who signed with a team in Moscow, is also Cornstein's client." - New York Daily News

This is just the tip of the iceberg.
So what does it all mean? Do the Josh Childress, Boki Nachbar, Carlos Delfino signings represent a new dawn in the world of professional basketball? If the NBA is the WWF are the Euroleagues now the equivalent of the WCW as it was back in the 1990s?

At one point this show had higher ratings than its counterpart!

At one point this show had higher ratings than its counterpart!

At first glance it is hard to tell but as of now, it seems like the answer is no. Why? Two reasons. The first reason is highlighted in a piece recently posted on Draftexpress. The most interesting thing to take from the discussion was the following:

"The huge contracts those guys have signed are feasible only because, besides the strength of the Euro, some wealthy pockets are putting big money on the table. This is not any potentially profitable investment, there’s no monetary return expected, perhaps only some political favors or under-the-table agreements. But it’s not a real business, like for example, the NBA is.

The biggest problem European basketball faces is its minimal ability to generate income and revenues. In a Continent dominated by soccer, basketball is a secondary sport played in second-tier leagues (talent wise). No big attendances, small TV ratings, ridiculously low merchandising, it’s really hard to make money off it. And teams really don’t try to."

Well if there is one thing we know about the NBA it’s that it’s a business. So as a few Euroleague owners play the role of Mark Cuban, don’t for one second think that David Stern isn’t watching this play out and forecasting, what if anything he needs to do about it. It’s one thing when Josh Childress, a sixth man, takes the money and runs (although I think he is running AWAY from Atlanta as much as he is following the loot), it’s another if suddenly Lebron James starts considering a career in Greece.

Of course I can’t imagine that happening and frankly, it won’t. The NBA is constructed in such a way where the stars reign. I have said this a hundred times and I will probably say it a hundred more, it is a game of stars. This proposition doesn’t just apply to what happens on the court, it also applies to what happens off it. Even if in 2010 Olympiakos were to approach someone like Lebron James with a monster contract that makes zero sense, do you actually think he’s going to walk away from everything else playing in North America has to offer? Endorsements, publicity, and the direct spotlight help NBA stars not only supplement their income, in many cases these things are the lion share of their income. If they walk, it’s possible and more than likely that some of these things walk away as well.

On the other end of the spectrum are players like Kelenna Azubuike. Some players simply want to play with the best in the world and his story is a perfect example of that. Azubuike, since his days in Kentucky has battled his way into what now is a three year, 9 million dollar contract. He finally, after many bumps in the road, has "made it". It’s a success story, but one that could have ended very differently. As reported by Ian Thomsen at CNNSI.com, Azubuike had a great opportunity to sign abroad for more money than he was being offered on the home front. He made the decision to stay in the NBA. The driving force behind his decision? "He had worked too hard to reach the NBA, and he didn't want to abandon that goal now."

It’s not only players like Azubuike who are making the decision to play for less money in return for the opportunity to play in the world’s best league. Players like Marc Gasol, Roko Ukic and others are foregoing larger contracts in Europe for the opportunity to play in the NBA. The NBA remains the gold standard when it comes to professional basketball. Based on how basketball is organized abroad this is not about to change any time soon. We will be interviewing Rod Benson in the next week or so, and I would be hard-pressed to believe that playing in the NBA, rather than abroad, wouldn’t be his first choice even if it means foregoing some dollar bills (or rather Euro).

It is actually the average NBA player that should be considered the greatest flight risk and it’s the Josh Childress’ of the league that we will see move abroad more than anyone else. It is really a tit-for-tat. Over the past few years the NBA (the Raps very own Bryan Colangelo helping to lead the charge), has taken some of the best players in the Euroleague and lured them to the NBA. Sarunas Jasikevicius, Anthony Parker, Juan Carlos Navarro, Jorge Garbajosa and Jose Calderon to name a few. These are average NBA players who were stars abroad. To think that the Euroleague teams were not going to try and lure other players to replace them is simply naïve.

As a fan I am not overly concerned. It’s not the average NBA player that keeps me coming back for more. I mean I will watch summer league and random NCAA Division II games and enjoy them, but it’s players like Bosh, Lebron, Paul, Kobe, Nash and KG that make me such a fan of the game. It’s also those same players that win championships (hence me singing the high praises of the O’Neal trade).

Now to suggest that this new phenomenon gives us nothing to worry about is also naïve. Take a look at draft projections for the 2009 draft. The first player on everyone’s big board? Ricky Rubio. Is it possible that he pulls a Fran Vasquez? Suddenly is drafting a player who does not call the United States "home" too much of a risk? Even more importantly, is this something that Bryan Colangelo considered when he took Andrea Bargnani number one?

As one reader pointed out, "It's also worth noting that Bargnani is restricted in 09-10. How much are we prepared to pay him? I ask because I'm pretty sure that there's an Italian League Team out there that would offer a small fortune to have him head back to Europe. Are we prepared to pay him star money? Because it may take close to that to keep him here. So we have 2 years to decide whether he's a max-money player, or to move him before the summer of 09-10, because we'll get nothing for him if he bolts."

Could we see this image again a few seasons from now?

Could we see this image again a few seasons from now?

As much as Atlanta gets raked over the coals for letting Childress walk away for essentially nothing, I can’t blame them. The NBA salary cap is both a blessing and a curse. In one way it helps to establish some equality between the franchises. The small market teams are in theory no worse off then the big market teams despite their location. On the flip side, you only have so much flexibility when it comes to forming your roster. If you’re Rick Sund are you willing to match the Olympiakos offer and essentially make a bad deal? Is Josh Childress really worth sacrificing financial flexibility over?

In the end I think the European trend is here to stay. Some players want to maximize their earning potential in the small window of opportunity that they have. Some players will want to play with the worlds best. Each player will make their own decision based on their individual circumstances. It’s nothing for us fans of the NBA to get too upset about.

Knowing that there are owners in Europe willing to shell out exorbitant amounts of money just for the hell of it sure makes the thought of NBA expansion a more interesting one. Can you just imagine a division of teams all owned by individuals with no regard for the luxury tax? Maybe one day we will see Lebron James in Europe….

HOWLAND

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I think the real threat is the one you touched on at the end of your article - how many bad NBA contracts will we see now that the agents & players are willing to move overseas? I'm sure this has always been used as a bargaining tool, but now there's a greater element of realism to it. With Bargnani, if he doesn't develop, he just might be able to wait it out, return home and get paid like a max money player. That's pretty sweet for him, but it doesn't do anything to help the NBA.

by dsl on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

What do I do with my "Delfino" Raps jersey now?? *UGH*

by Colin on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Adding on to what dsl said, Vujacic signed a 3 year - $15 million dollar deal and Biedrins just got a whopping 6 year - $63 million deal. Not bad for a guy who can't shoot! I doubt they would've come close to that without a Euro offer.

It will be interesting to see what happens between the Bulls and Deng & Gordon, because really, neither has any bargaining position right now without an offer from Europe.

by Jeff on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Just came accross this interesting comment and I thought i'd share it with the hooplife family:

When Paul Pierce was asked if you could play with one Euro player who would it be?

He said Jose Calderon

by wtf on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

WTF,

Interesting...where did you hear that?

by Jdbar on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

If some NBA players want to go to Europe and play with lessor teams/talent for the dolllars, let them go & forget about them. There is a fresh crop coming from the NCAA draft each year with built in Superstars at cheaper costs. It may take a couple of years for the NBA to adapt to a free market system but it will prosper, & the defectors can stay in Europe,until the owners run out of money because they are losing it to buy NBA players.

by Johnn19 on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Sounds like the 13th man has been chosen...and it's none other than Will Solomon.

We'll talk about Solomon this week but it's definitely not a name I expected to hear. In fact, haven't heard much about the former Grizz second-rounder since he was at Clemson...

...he is a combo guard though with experience, albeit it mostly international.

by Franchise on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

From the draft express artcicle: "This is not any potentially profitable investment, there’s no monetary return expected, perhaps only some political favors or under-the-table agreements."

Wow, I find this very hard to believe. There are too many teams and league over there for that to be true. Maybe they're not all making big money now, but surely that is the plan, to get some stars and blow up hoops in Europe like it is in North America. Maybe it can't happen, but it sure isn't getting less likely as time goes on. Personnally I hope it works out. The more bball in this world, the better.

by axl on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Well written analysis Franchise.

Look at the example of Atlanta. They lost Childress, cause an equivalent offer in US dollars would've tallied close to 10 million per year. They turn around and sign Maurice Evans for 3 years 7.5 million total.

The way I see it, the teams that lose an "average NBA player" just go out and sign an average NBA player with their mid-level. Thereby causing a chain reaction which ends with the teams with the smallest amount of money, offering minimum type contracts to players from Europe willing to sacrifice for a chance at the "Big Show". And in a way, Euro teams are kind of saving the NBA from themselves, since there are few things more damaging to a team's salary cap then paying a role player big money over an extended term.

Re: Solomon, I didn't think they'd be able to mine the European market again, especially with the dollars being thrown around. However with Gord Hebert/s Euro coaching experience and Maurizo's connection, they should have a very good idea of what their getting in Solomon. Here's hoping he ends up being a Euro NBA success story in the mold of Charlie Bell, rather then Šarūnas Jasikevičius.

by yardly on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I think culture is a huge aspect of where players decide to play.

I can't imagine to many American players, who previously had never been out of the country, and to who Vancouver seemed foreign jumping to play in Russia. But similiarly players from Spain other countries with strong national pride don't have to come over here go through the culture shock of adjusting

by Chris on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Here's a link for Will Solomon (from his draft profile):

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/nba/01draft/players/will-solomon.htm

I hope he's improved in Europe!

by BC on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Stats from euroleague aren't bad:

21 games
17.9 ppg
55.9% fg%
37.8% 3pt%
81.8% ft%
3.1 rebounds
3.9 assists
1.7 steals

(and 3.1 turnovers / 4.9 fouls!)

by BC on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Jdbar: I found it as I was skimming through hoopshype they put a link to a spanish article so I couldn't read the entire thing.

by wtf on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I agree, from an NBAer's point of view, that I would rather have Kelenna Azubuike over Boki Nachbar; however, I think it is unfair to say, "...what does that say about Andrea Bargnani (or Boki Nachbar)". It seems you are implying they are of a selfish conceited character, which may not be the case at all. Would LeBron James accept not being the star? And no one criticizes him for that. So what is wrong with Bargnani (potentially) or Nachbar wanting to be the man and get more money and play in their native continent? They have more than likely practised all their life, just like LeBron, to play in the NBA; yet they are bench players and sometimes have to fight for playing time. Why not play somewhere all the practise you have and do put in will give you the most playing time and live in a place that you lived in growing up.

by Aiden on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm most concerned about the next LeBron James signing a Euro contract at 16. If an American born teenaged phenom signs with a Euro team at 16, how influential will the rookie scale be in his decision to return to the States? By the time that individual is eligible for the draft, he could be a worldwide icon making in excess of $10 million tax-free dollars a year. Not to mention the income that individual could earn in endorsements. European kids wear Nikes too.

by Brandon Hoffman on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

On Will Solomon: And Next season

OK I did not expect to hear that name but I checked him out on you tube (only a 2 min clip but hey it looked good) and his numbers in Europe were good. He may be better then Ukic he may not. He can score and is a COMBO guard (I hate that term because normally when your a combo guard it just means your two small to be a 2 and don't pass and drible good enough to be a 1)

I think he could be a nice fit and player who may surprise and steal a few minutes here and there.

So it looks set:
PG Jose/Ukic/Solomon
WINGS
Parker/Kapono/Moon/Joey/Addams
BIGS
CB4/JO/AB7/The Hump/Baby Shaq

with some flexiblity as Moon and Joey can play the 4 if need be and Solmon can play some 2 if need be as well.

It's a good team folks.

Let's look at it like this.

Our best player is CB4 most teams in the league would take that.

Our second best player is Jermaino Oneal a 6 time allstar who has always been his team best big until now.

Third best player Jose Calderon(you could argue he should be 2nd and Oneal should be 3rd i know it's close) Potential allstar as your 3rd best player that's pretty good. Could be a top 10 pg this year if he's not all ready.

4th best player Anthony Parker: you could argue he was our second best player last year, atleast in the coversation, however with the addition of Oneal and the subtraction of Ford (making Calderon that much better and more efficent with more minutes at the PG) Clearly now he becomes our fourth best player which again is pretty good.

5th-7th

Moon, Kapono and Andrea:

Make no mistake about it the season will rest on these 3 because if the top 4 stay healthy we will be good, really good but if one or 2 of these guys step up of the 3 we will be great.
These 3 all have the potential to have breakout seasons this year.

Moon- I think fans are down on him because of his poor outside shot and his unwillingness to go to the rack (as am I offcourse) but he has the potental to be a shut down 3 he already is a good defender great rebounder and his athletic ability is off the charts if he can just go to hole more he could be a solid NBA starter.
Andrea has a ton of talent just needs time, this could be this year or it could be in 2 years but he still should be much better then last year.
Kapono-We saw the good Kapono in the playoffs, if he can play like that all year he could be an awsome weapon for us this year.

8-13
Ukic/Joey G/The Hump/Addams/Baby Shaq/Solomon

Sure there are huge questions with each of these guys but as long as one of Ukic/Solomon are not horrible and one of the others can bring 10 minutes of energy minutes we should be fine here.

All and All we look good on paper and I don't think were getting the Buzz locally or through the NBA that we deserve. This JO trade should have generated more.

Get ready Raps fans this is your best team in franchise history and in my opinion as good as any team in the East not named Boston (who I think we can beat in 7 game series by the way)

Am I Homer? Yes
Am I crazy? No

Granted there are good teams in the East, and we could be anywhere from 2-7 but that's pretty good is it not?

I see a 2 seed and a loss to the Lakers in the Finals.

Yup I am homer, but I remember that Spurs team from back in the day with Robinson and Duncan and there supporting cast was similar to ours. They had a shooter in Mario Elie We have Kapono they had a PG in Avery Johnso who is not Jose but was effective and ran the offence correctly and then they had an aging Sean Elliot and a few other rif rafs and won a title.

Were beter then that team, we really our! however probaly 10 other teams in todays league could beat them in a 7 games series...

So what am I saying is that it is possible that this team can win the East and we have never been able to say that and it be more realistic then it is right now.

And I love it.
Go Raps

by raptorize blogmaster shayne on Jul 28, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

raptorize, that's ridiculous. Both David Robinson and Tim Duncan are 1st ballot hall-of-famers.

Bosh and O'Neal are simply not of their caliber. Sure, the Raptors *could* win the East, but if O'Neal and Bosh play less than 70 games each they could likelier end up in the lottery. Neither have been the picture of perfect health.

Some people have forgotten that Bosh has missed 15 games, 13 games and 12 games the past 3 seasons, and is spending this summer playing the Olympics. His injuries were easier to cover up the past couple of years because of depth at PF (Garbo, Bargs) and depth at PG who had excellent driving/shooting skills so could take over the offence given our below average SG/SFs (TJ AND Jose). Where are these backups this upcoming season?

Sorry for being a pessimist, but it's important to realize that JO's 22 million contract has killed the Raptors' depth. And predictions for the Raps this year MUST be tempered with the fact that our two All Star bigs are injury prone, compared to opposition like Dwight Howard (4 years, played all 82 games in each).

by jjdynomite on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Excellent breakdown, raptorize blogmaster shayne.

The only major glaring weakness I see in the raps now is the perimeter defense. If Kapono can't average 3-4 made 3s per game, plus another filed goal or two, he's still going to be the complete defensive liabilty he was last year.

His lateral movement is despicable, but if he's an offensive nightmare, it could compensate. I don't buy the whole "two bigs in the middle saves kapono's d" idea.

It doesn't. It's on him to improve and become much more effective.

by jimmyjon on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Have to agree jjdynomite and that's not being pessimistic, that just realistic. If the injuries are a major problem come playoff time, raps are done for, if know there's reason to hope for great things, but that's about it. I like where you're going raptorize shayne, but even healthy, there's way too many intangibles and unknowns to start talking finals... for this homer anyways.

by axl on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Injuries, shminjuries.

If Garnett or Pierce is hobbled at any point of the year the Celtics were a lottery team too.

As it stands I'm closer to raptorize blogmaster shayne than to jjdynomite (though I see Bargs as being a better candidate for 4th best talent on team rather than AP - I thought AP disappeared offensively far too often last year and he looks IMO to have crested the hill and started the downwards slide)

As for Kapono being the big weakness on perimeter D, if he can play the way he did in the playoffs I don't care if we play 4 on 5 defensively.

by Bedhead on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

The injuries to Bosh are a little less concerning than the ones JO has continued to battle.

A previous poster made a correct point: If Garnett and Peirce get injured then the Celtics are a lottary team. However upon closer examination you realize that P squared and KG (especially the latter) have been extremely durable throughout their career.

Bosh and JO (especially JO) have not and have had to battle through nagging injuries. JO's are a bit more serious in that it involved knee surgery to an older player.

In fairness to all player mentioned there is no way Bosh and JO are playing at the caliber of Duncan and Robinson. However that is no reason to think that they can't be very competitive in the playoffs.

I don't know whether I'm being positive or negative. Instead of looking at the glass half empty or full I just figure its half a glass.

If everyone on this roster stayed healthy what they are missing is a wing player who could make guys like Lebron or P squared work on the defensive end. Without that guy I think the Raptors at best will be a 2nd round playoff team....if they play to their 100% potential they might be able to squeak into the semi's but I would be a lot that they won't be able to beat the Pistons, Celtics they're probably more at the level of the 76ers, Cavs and Wiz.

by wtf on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Whops again at the end of my post I meant bet not be....I have got to start looking this stuff over

by wtf on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Injuries are the great unknown, and every team is vulnerable. Think LA without Kobe, Orlando with Howard, Cleveland without Lebron...think Duncan, Paul, Nash...any team.

Granted, some are more vulnerable than others, but those differences really only mean a change in the regular season standings...no team is going to win a championship if one (or more) of their key players go down. Its sort of an all-or-none thing, but it rests on every team.

So quit sweating it. JO is apparently as healthy as he has been in *years*, the Raps medical staff is notoriously conservative. Yeah, Bosh, Calderon have had injuries...so have a lot of other players.

As long as we're healthy going in to the playoffs, then I think the Raps can challenge any team in the East.

by JayElZee on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Kwame was signed my Detroit... thats sure to compete with Jermaine..lol

by Blanco on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Hmmm, Solomon? That was quite unexpected... To me he has been quite decent in Euroleague play but not a particularly big star, he's just one of the many dominant american guards playing in the league. He can score and put up good numbers, but I never felt his play was something to write home about.

Still, it's curious that the Raps have again signed an ex-Maccabi player this year, that makes it three in a row after Parker and Baston.

by Sergi P on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

In Doug Smiths blog today,someone mentions that Solomon can be guilty of going nuts once in a while....Dougs response was,not to worry,Sam will keep him under control....just like he kept T.J. under control !!!,I can still remember the last 9 shots he took in one game...Sam did what ? thats right nothing....I guess at the end of the day this is becoming more and more Sams team.

by d279 on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, it's a tough call looking at our lineup.

I've been Mr. Positive this off season, but then I started sobering up once I got my new job working for the government 8-4, and couldn't blaze at my old roofing job anymore....(and frequently drink which was kind of scary on the second story roofs.)

I think, as most probably do, we are hurting at the wings, we are going to get lit up. Parker kind of sucked last year a lot of the time, shooting accuracy aside.

I called a Kapono trade months ago, and I'm gonna stick with that prediction....toss Moon, Parker, Peddie, whoever in that deal and get us somebody else to play with our new kick ass trio!

By the way, going nuts once in a while cleanses the system like you wouldn't believe.

by DayOner on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Does anybody think Parker, Kapono, Moon, Graham are that much better than Delfino who's playing in Russia this year dunking on Hoffa....just saying...upgrade...I guess 20010 is when we get help at those positions?? Great.

by DayOner on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

DayOner,
I disagree with your assessment of the Raps wing players. With the rules as they are, it is pretty tough for anyone to guard anyone alone on the wing or guard spots. Other points could get by TJ and he moves his feet as quickly as anyone. You need team defence and players to be utilized well in that team defence. The problem is that in Sam's time here, the Raps have never been a strong defensive team. If Sam can come up with a team defence that works and figure out how to get the most out of his wing guys, we are understating their abilities. With the offence running through the bigs, the wings don't have to do much to be good, but they do need to know their rolesand how to fulfill them. Moon could be a very good defender. Offensively, he doesn't need to be a great slasher, he just needs to slash. Graham could be a good ball player on both ends. In the right match up, Kapono is a valuable offensive player who should be able to play enough defence, with help, to make his shooting a huge gain. Parker is pretty solid all around, he is just a little in need of a push and a rest once in a while. He also needs to slash a bit more, but he can create his own shot when he wants to. As for our final guy, the missile, he can be a good change of pace if used correctly.He is too desperate to stick in the NBA to be soft. If Sam can get the best out of them, they will be a surprising positive.

by EaseMyPain on Jul 29, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

EaseMyPain,
You're right, I hear what you're saying. The Raps' d will be totally different this year with O'Neal, and I hope that happens.

by DayOner on Jul 31, 2008 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

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