Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: How The Kings Beat The Coyotes: Lather, Rinse, Repeat

Wishful Thinking Episode 1 - Hey Phil, Now That You Have Pau...

"Are you kidding me? I need to defer to Kobe, Andrew and now Pau??"

All of a sudden with Miami in ruins, and the Lakers already playing some very cohesive ball, LA GM Mitch Kupchak jumped into the "GM of the year by way of highway robbery" contest with Danny Ainge.

Then things took another turn late last night when it was reported that Miami was going to trade Shaq to Phoenix for Shawn Marion and Marcus Banks. If you weren’t shaking your head in bewilderment at the Gasol trade, you were with this one.

Can Shaq even walk up and down the court anymore, let alone run it? And running it, and running it with Steve Nash and players like Barbosa are two entirely different things.

If this trade goes through I think it’s a slam dunk for Miami. They played rent-a-Shaq for a title, get rid of his contract while taking on a legit All-Star in Marion, can finish the season in disrepairs, and perhaps rebound next year with a top draft pick, a healthy Wade, and an angry Matrix. And even if the Heat don’t get Michael Beasley out of the draft…no big deal. Marion can play his natural spot at the 3 with Haslem manning the 4 and Wade can play the 1-2 so Miami could take someone like Derrick Rose or Roy Hibbert to address their other weak spots. And to top it off, Earl Barron, Ricky Davis, Luke Jackson, Alonzo Mourning, Smush Parker, Chris Quinn, Dorrel Wright and Jason Williams are all slated to come off the books this summer, giving the team some cap breathing space to rebuild with. If I’m a Miami fan, I’m ecstatic as you simply weren’t going to get anything else out of the Big Aristotle on the court.

But beyond Miami and Phoenix, let’s look at the losers in the two previous blockbuster deals. The sad fact is that in both of these situations, Memphis and Minnesota, teams facing bleak or mediocre futures decided to sell the farm and start over, a very common occurrence in the salary-cap dominated world of the NBA today.

And we as Toronto Raptors fans should know.

It was but a brief few years ago when the Raptors were in almost the exact same situation as Memphis however at an even bigger disadvantage as our star player, unlike Pau Gasol, was making his desire to be moved, quite public.

The result?

Well we’ve been over this a million times but Vince Carter was dealt for very little. In fact the VC deal mirrored that of the Pau Gasol exchange in that both Toronto and Memphis received salary cap fodder, a few probably inconsequential draft picks and some "potentially" useful veterans.

Gasol and Carter  - a change of scenery for VC didn't do much in the long-run, will it for Pau?

Gasol and Carter - a change of scenery for VC didn't do much in the long-run, will it for Pau?

In retrospect, Toronto definitely got the short-end of the stick off the bat as Carter looked rejuvenated in Jersey. However Raps fans knew that wouldn’t last and sure enough, it hasn’t. In addition, in the long-term the VC deal facilitated moving Jalen Rose’s immense contract, sped up Bosh’s rise to prominence and in the irony of all ironies, Vince now finds himself right back in a situation with New Jersey, that could be even worse than his previous one with Toronto. One hopes that Memphis, like Toronto eventually, can turn a similar frown, upside down.

But I digress.

Memphis traded Gasol apparently not to appease owner Michael Heisley in his constant bid for a Grizzlies buyer, but to start from scratch "ala Portland."

The Lakers on the other hand, made the trade to move in the exact opposite direction; to compete for a title. A starting line-up of Bryant, Odom, Gasol and a healthy Bynum on paper is perhaps the deadliest in the league from positions 2 through 5. And if the chemistry is there, could very well lead to a Lakers title.

But I’m wondering if LA is content.

There have been whispers that Odom may still be moved for someone like Jason Kidd.

There have been other whispers that Odom may not be happy playing third (or even fourth) banana.

And with Gasol being quite similar in style to Odom, perhaps Lamar would be more valuable in fetching another component to the Lakers’ triangle offence. Say a lights out shooter, a new generation Steve Kerr to Kobe Bryant’s MJ simulation.

Say someone like Jason Kapono.

A trade of Kapono, Rasho Nesterovic and Juan Dixon for Odom and Chris Mihm works perfectly under the salary cap. As an added enticement for LA, the teams could swap first round picks this year.

Kapono would be lights out in that Lakers triangle offence (not to mention he'd be fine with playing back on home turf considering his UCLA roots), and he wouldn’t necessarily have to start. Phil Jackson loved having Trevor Ariza play alongside Kobe Bryant and therefore Ariza and Kapono could take on the role of Kobe’s wing-man depending on match-ups.

How happy would Phil Jackson be if this was a Lakers jersey he was holding up?

How happy would Phil Jackson be if this was a Lakers jersey he was holding up?

And let’s look at the numbers involved.

By taking on Juan Dixon’s contract, LA saves about $2.5 million when it ends this summer, which is actually then a saving of about $5 million since Los Angeles is over the current luxury-tax set at $67.875 million. And both Odom and Rasho come off the books at the same time giving Colangelo and Kupchak lots of loot to re-sign their prized prospects, Bargnani and Bynum.

For the Raptors, Mihm wouldn't be chopped liver as a player either. Once healthy, he would probably be a very effective back-up at the 5 for Bargs, and like Dixon, his $2.5 million contract comes off the books this summer as well. He’s a solid rebounder, something the Raptors constantly need, and should be more effective playing in the East. Perhaps Toronto could even re-sign him at a reasonable salary in the off-season. The one stumbling block is that Mihm, as a "one year Bird player" in terms of his contract, would have to agree to the trade. However I don’t see this being a concern considering he’ll see little action in LA behind the likes of Gasol, Bynum and Turiaf.

The trade would also free up a roster spot for Toronto so they could take a flyer on a D Leaguer if they wanted to, much like last season with Luke Jackson. Or they could simply save the spot for their top draft pick next summer…or maybe Roko.

As for Odom on the Raptors, I don't think I need to explain how he'd help at the 3...especially in the rebounding department. Odom had his best season playing in the East while with Miami and could return to an All-Star level playing with Bosh, Bargnani, Ford and Calderon.

So is this a case of "wishful thinking" on my behalf?

Perhaps.

But I think this is definitely a deal that both sides would ponder for a moment before discarding.

Furthermore, while it may not be realistic in the next three weeks as Los Angeles takes a look at what they have, if the Lakers underachieve and stumble in the playoffs, guess who will probably be tops on the chopping block this summer? You guessed it, Odom.

He’s been disappointing since being paired with Kobe and you have to wonder if with Gasol now on board, his time in LA may be coming to a close.

We’ll see.

In the meantime, this is one Raptors fan who will be crossing his fingers hoping for an early play-off exit by the Lakeshow...

FRANCHISE

PS - Off the trade topic, RaptorsHQ is about to launch a new site - www.jamario-moonhq.com. It will be obviously a site centered around Moon to cheer him on in the upcoming All-Star weekend. Give us a shout here at the HQ and let us know what sort of features you'd like to see on the completed version!

Comment 29 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Alright, Franchise, I like you guys and everything, but this trade is just silly. Kapono plays no defense, is slow, is ugly and didn't play a role on the Heat the year they won the champiosnhip. (most people forget that his numbers went up the year AFTER the Heat were any good--he only played 2 total playoff minutes the year they went all the way)

Odom is a legitimate star . . . maybe Parker instead of Kapono, but even that seems a little weak.

I've said it before and I'll say it again: we should focus our attention on Artest. The problem is that Sac-town is playing fairly well right now and might think they have a chance to sneak into the playoffs as the #8 seed. If Artest is unavailable, I would go after Mike Miller, who is on a sinking ship and still playing hard. Rasho, Graham/Dixon and a 1st rounder for Miller? The big problem with Rasho is that damn player option, which means that he doesn't come off the books after this season unless his next team buys him out.

by Aaron on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

This gives me an opportunity to rant a little about one of my pet peeves about the NBA. The trade rules. I understand that the NBA instituted the current rule set to stop teams from having fire sales but in actual fact it actually forces teams to have fire sales. If Memphis (or Toronto or Philly) were able to simply trade their stars away for young players and picks instead of having to match salaries, they could all be further along then they are and wouldn't be limited in who they could trade with which is one of he biggest problems with the current system. This system would work in a league where contracts aren't guarenteed but they are and stars no this so they can pout and dog it until the team has no choice but to trade them. Throw in the fact they can refuse to report to a team if they don't like it and you are left with few options but to trade them to good teams for the good teams over paid crap. This rule is a lot like the current lottery system which is based on good intentions but fails miserably because of the culture in basketball. They should go back to the old system where you can trade anyone you want for anything .
I feel better now.
It is an interesting idea to trade Kapono to LA but i would think the LA would more likely want to trade Walton in such a deal instead of Odom as that way they get to eat their cake and have it too. I would think that a team like Houston or Phoenix would be more interested in Kappy if for no other reason than to offset SA and gino. Not sure what we could get from those teams but these would seem like more likely destinations for Kap (assuming he gets traded at all).

by McGateway on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Great trade suggestion, Franchise. I just am not sure if BC would do it, considering Odom is turning 29 this year and as such is going to be on the downswing when Bargs and Bosh are reaching their prime. But who knows, it would only be for the next 2 seasons of Odom's max-like contract.

McGateway, I agree 100% with your criticism, except that if there was no cap, the Knicks would have a $300 million payroll and still wouldn't win anything... kinda like the Yankees the past 7 years.

by jjdynomite on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Upon ruminating this crazy Shaq transaction for Phoenix, I just realized that post-Colangelo, Phoenix has not made ONE smart move (see Banks, Kurt Thomas give-away, sell draft picks) and has basically been harvesting all the decisions BC made for them in the past (Stoudamire, Nash, Marion). So as Suns fans scratch their heads, I say "Thank you, Mr. Sarver".

As far as roster moves are concerned, I would be happy if we nothing. The team has amazing chemistry, we now have 48 mins of quality PG play, and next year we get Garbo (rebounding) and Roko. We are not contending for the title this year anyway, let AB learn rebounding on the job - next year we jettison Rasho's expiring contract for trade bait.

by Rubik on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

It's nice to dream and all, but seriously, there's no way LA would make that trade. =P Even if they were mildly interested in the concept, they can get so much more than that from another team for Odom.

by Costa on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Hey Franchise,

What was the other article you were going to write before you came up with this one? Ie, who was previously on the wishlist before Odom's name popped up?

by Jimmy King on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Aaron - I like Artest's game, but unless BC has a guarantee that he'll re-sign here after the season (he has a player option that he's rumoured to be exercising) and continue to take his meds, not going to happen.

McGateway - I totally agree, the system which was designed to prevent against firesale scenarios, has actually forced teams to go that route in many scenarios and while blockbuster trades sound great, constantly mis-managed teams bear the brunt of the regulations. Of course one could argue that new management then needs to be put in place. Well...tell that to guys like Dolan. You're right JJ - Knicks would have the GDP of a large country on their payroll and still lose 50 games.

Jimmy King - Great tag name. Article is done but you'll have to wait till next week to see who it is...

Draft talk up tomorrow before preview of Raps-Clips on Friday.

by Franchise on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I think a deal for Magette is more realistic. The clips do not have a single player on their roster that shoots better than .400 from deep, and Magette has always been criminally underused in LA. Even his increased minutes this year (because of the Brand injury) can't make up for that. The only down side is that he is actually quite cheap, and so we'll need Kapono and Dixon plus we'll have to throw in a pick and/or cash to make it palatable. Again, it looks weird on paper, but I think the fit is good.
I also wouldn't mind picking up Reddick for Dixon.

People keep mentioning Artest. Stop. Dude is crazy. Don't be fooled by the skill, the price is too high.

by the styling assassin on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I like Kapona and with TJ back he is going to be very valuable coming off the bench. Lamar is a very good player but he is 29 and getting older. I think the Raps should try and get Artest to do the dirty work inside. If they can pull that off and keep their core player including Kapono coming and Delfino the Raps would be looking pretty. A mean LA got Gasol without loosing anybody major on the team....I thought Rob Babcock was bad but Chris Wallace has got to be the worst GM currently in the league...Come on BC go get Artest or Lamar and let the Raps start turning some heads coming out of the Allstar break...Raps4Life

by raps4life on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

As much as I think that deal makes sense for both teams, don't you think the Lakers would want a point rather than a shooter? I think the Lakers would probably say Jose or No Way (pardon the pun).

by Shep on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I don't think they would have been able to offer up enough to swing a productive Maggette deal.

Truthfully, with TJ Ford back, nothing jumps out at me as a logical trade option for the Raptors. Boring as it is, the only sensible choice I can see for them is to just stand pat.

Rebounding and interior D is their biggest deficiencies, but this is not by lack of personnel as much as it is an evil the team's braintrust has judged acceptable for the greater good of their high percentage jump-shooting design. They already have the option of playing Rasho more often if they want to have more of a size, defense and rebounding presence, but they prefer not to go that route.

Unless they want to make a change in this ideology, I don't see any possible trade option they can turn to that would offer them any better option than what they already have.

by Costa on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Ok one last Babcock blast coming on.

Please for the love of God do not defend the VC trade.

I will boo Carter the loudest of anyone, but also have to admit to him being probably my favourite NBA player, softness aside.

Ok there, I'm out of the closet for the first time on this site I think. He was f***ckn sick; still is.

Yeah he's a mama's boy that I deplore. And I'm glad we have a team of men now.

But you don't trade a 26 year old athletic freak, with eons of potential for a sack of shit and some magic beans.

Babcock didn't even ensure beforehand that Mourning would play here? What the hell did "the board" think then?

Sorry to state the obvious, but the second I heard about the VC trade I figured Babcock was done forever as an NBA GM. And why not state the obvious that I am correct.

Nice work researching the trade above; I still think Kapono has a future here.

by DayOner on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

For real guys, isn't there a court of appeals for bad trades?

Last year's playoffs just felt like my high school girlfriend cheating on me all over again.

But then I cheated on my college girlfriend.... which would be like us thumping NJ into submission this season and killing their playoff dreams.

Well off to meditate to calm down now.

by DayOner on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

WOW. That would be a steal... Lamar can play positions 1 through 4 AND can pass. Mihm is a serviceable centre and is three years jr to Rasho. The LA deal is ridic... if Shaq gets to PHX.. look for his injuries to magically disappear along with his weight... he REALLY wants that 5th ring before he retires and Kid Canada is not getting any younger. Amare back at the 4 spot is reak havoc. Nash will make the game alot easier for shaq... like the day of playing with penny. With Shaq back in the West.. PHX can somewhat guard Fundamental w/o getting Stat in foul trouble. All though Shaq does not immediatly seem to fit within the run and gun PHX style, it will be interesting to see how this story unfold... all I can say is playing with Steve Nash is going to make the game a whole lot easier for a 14 year vet... increasing the BIG Kalashnikov's DUNKAGE!

by rapz4Life on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

You can only critisize the VC trade now if Jersey can do better. Wait and see.

by EaseMyPain on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I'm sorry, but I want nothing to do with Odom. Please take a look at his entire career and tell me what we'll really be trading for. He's a one-season wonder with all the talent in the world. But he's lazy and, to be frank, his basketball IQ is terrible. I don't want his contract, I don't want his attitude, and I don't want his half-assed effort anywhere near the Raptors.

by Chutney on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

i like this proposal for us but yeah, not sure if LA is seeking a pure shooter with nothing else, an aging centre and bricklayer named dixon.

i see what phoenix is going for with this shaq deal, and time is ticking for their shot at the 'ship, but it's a huge risk. can't wait to see how it plays.

by benjibopper on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/basketball/nba/02/06/three.point.contest.ap/index.html

the participants for the 3 point shootout have been announced....kobe is a real suprise

by wtf on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Gotta say the prospect of getting Artest intrigues me. Something tells me he and Sam would be a great fit.

by Tinman on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

kinda seems like LA already has Fisher. If LA swapped Odom from Kapono, wouldn't LA be in kind of the same situation as Toronto is now, not enough bigs to rebound? That would be one step forward, two back for LA I think.

I know I will get hammered for this, but I think Bargs and Pau have a pretty similar skill set, with Bargs having more upside, and Pau having more experience and consistency on his side now.

I think we have to sit tight and wait for the learning curve to pan out...

by gerry on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Gerry,
You are so right. the only way we are going to get better is by getting better. Odom is a good player, but adding him won't get us there this year and certainly won't in two years when CB, TJ, AB are in their prime. I'm afraid of trying to move it along too quickly and not developing a strong enough foundation, ala Maple Leafs. I am a lifetime Leaf lover and am so totally disinterested in them now because they never move together with a plan. Colangelo has left 400 G's before he is into luxury tax area. He is not interested in making big moves unless he is handed a gift. Anyone other than Isaih is out of bounds.

by EaseMyPain on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Dayoner: Apparently Babcock was insisting on standing firm with Alonzo, refusing to buy him out. But he got overruled by Richard Peddie who was afraid that 'Zo was going to retire and force the Raptors to eat his entire salary. Peddie played it conservative, but Babcock wanted to call 'Zo's bluff -- he knew 'Zo wouldn't retire. In any case, i have one word for your admission that Wince is your favourite player: BOOOOOOOOO.

I think Kap is going to play a bigger part for the Raps in the 2nd half of the season. With a healthy TJ and a confident Bargs, this team is finally starting to take shape. I'm pumped for the stretch run.

by SonicSuper on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

DayOner left one of the funniest posts I have ever read. Well done. Good post franchise; now hand me some of that gonja you're smokin'!

by Jman on Feb 6, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Nice proposal for the raps. Problem is that the Lakers aren't the Grizz. The thing is, when you are trying to acquire high priced talent from another team, for a bargain price, that other team has to suck. If they suck with their high priced talent, then they will trade it to start over. If they are contending for the playoffs or even a championship, they will be a lot less likely to move an important part unless they get a lot in return. Kapono, Dixon and Rasho are not player you trade for to get over the top.

I also disagree with you Franchise that BC would want assurances that Artest would re-sign before trading for him. I think the fact he would opt out at the end of the season makes him more attractive (as Stylin assassin pointed out, dude IS crazy - but so is Smitch).

I totally agree with SuperSonic that Babcock took the blame for a lot of decisions that weren't really his. I have been a Babcock apologist for a long time. That said, with the GM job comes accountability. Babcock was trying to be patient and wait out the Rose contract and collect draft picks, blah blah blah. BC has done a wicked job assembling 15 players n this team that can all play. We have Zero bad contracts. He has mainly only signed people to short term deals that won't hurt us. Life is better now that we have a TEAM.

Props to DayOner, had to laugh too. I remember when we used to have VC and T-Mac, I would tell anyone that didn't watch hoops that all they had to do was watch ONE raps game and they would see three or four plays that would amaze even the most novice of fan. Today's team is more of an acquired taste. After years of eating shit sandwiches it is nice to have a winning team, that can be savored over the entire season.

Trade talk is always fun, and getting that tough, rebounding SF to make up for our soft but skilled sophomore C would be nice, but end of the day I agree with EaseMyPain. I think we sit back, watch this team develop and see if they can jell now that they are all healthy.

by Robert Archibald on Feb 7, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Hey fellas, hows this for a trade scenario. Nick Collison and Wally Szcerbiak in exchange for Jason Kapono and Rasho Nesterovic. Nick is a beast on the boards this year for Seattle AND hes coming off the bench. Not that bad if ya ask me. Wally would be a nice fit as well. Sure some could say hes overrated and what not but whens the last time he had a decent coach that used him properly?

by Thor on Feb 7, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Thor, the salaries don't match up in that trade.

Besides, that trade seems like trading two guys for two other guys that do just about the same thing. I don't see why either team would do that.

by Costa on Feb 7, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Oh I'll tell ya why. Better production. Wally is avg over 13 ppg. While Collison pulls down over 8 boards a game. The players may all do the same things, but the ones that would be coming would be more efficient.

by Thor on Feb 7, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Thor,

If both players coming our way are more efficient, then Seattle does this why?

by Jdbar on Feb 7, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

It's a tough one, but I dig this trade. That's mostly because it doesn't touch the core or the developing players.

Also, I always thought of Garbo as a bit of poor man's Odom or maybe what garbo could become. High bball IQ too, seems like.

Though... I have a feeling Kapono's going to be much more productive with tj back. That would make the decision a little tougher but even better, it could make it that much easier to pry Odom loose. Hmmm.

by axl on Feb 7, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

RaptorsHQ is a growing, interactive community committed to providing the best Raptors and Canadian basketball content on the web.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Raptors and the Summer of 2013
Small
All Things Tanking Pt.2
Small
All Things Tanking  Pt.1
Small
The Jared Sullinger Project
Small
The Disturbing Parallels of Briyan Burkeangelo
Small
Who kidnapped James Johnson & replaced him with this guy?
In_rainbows_small
I am concerned; I think fans should be concerned.
Tfc_academy_small
Andrea Bargnani Interview
Small
Ed Davis and how he defines the Raps future
Small
Fan Perspective: Demar Derozan

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

2009_0503draft09-20006_-_williams_solo_small Adam Francis

Basketball_20gym_20in_20sun2009-01-27-1233091216_small RaptorsHQ - Howland

Editors

Viciousd_2005-01-20_small Raptors HQ - Vicious D

Authors

Burgundy_small RaptorsHQ - Defensive Stance

Img_0813_small rbala