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3 In the Key – Toronto Raptors Game-Day Preview vs. Nets

Harris has come a long way since his days as a Badger...

Harris has come a long way since his days as a Badger...

I really thought all this "Vince Carter is the enemy" stuff was done.

I really thought with the Nets sinking to the bottom of the league, Carter would fold like a poker player staring at a 7 and a 2 off-suit and see his worst statistical season ever.

Either that or he’d be "injured" for half the Nets’ matches…

However with a single game, Carter re-embedded himself into Raptor-lore and from the look of his surprising team, he’s not going anywhere anytime soon.

In fact, it’s quite possible that it’s the Nets that the Raptors end up battling with for a playoff positioning when all is said and done!

That’s why beyond a mini-win streak, beyond revenge against Vince Carter, and beyond getting Raptors’ coach Jay Triano his second win, Toronto needs to start winning games like these. Unbelievably, after what seemed like a never-ending summer, we’re already almost a quarter through the regular season. The Raptors have a tough few weeks ahead on the schedule so beating some of these Eastern Conference foes, especially those from their own division, is paramount.

The Nets come into tonight’s game winners of seven of their last 10, the complete opposite of our Toronto Raptors. They dropped a strange one to the Knicks on Wednesday night but overall, have been playing on a level few predicted to start the season. Yes, Devin Harris and Vince Carter have been a formidable duo in the back-court, but Lawrence Frank has molded his team’s offence to fit his young, up-tempo personnel and New Jersey is scoring the sixth most points in the league at just a shade under 102.

They are a shade behind Phoenix for fifth in the NBA in terms of offensive efficiency as well and there’s no question that if the Raptors don’t get stops tonight, it’s going to be a long evening in the Swamp.

1) Keep Harris and Carter under control.

We all know that when Vine Carter feels like playing, there’s still almost no one this side of Lebron James that can be as unstoppable. Raptors’ fans saw that first hand a few weeks ago with Carter going bonkers offensively hitting clutch shot after shot en route to an eventual New Jersey triumph. However if he can be lulled into shooting jump shots all night, this bodes well for the Dinos.

The problem though is match-ups here.

If Triano sticks with last game’s starting line-up, I’m not sure how this is going to work. Kapono isn’t quick enough to guard Carter, certainly isn’t quick enough to guard Harris, and with the 7-foot Yi Jianlian playing the ¾ spots on the court at times alongside the physical Bobby Simmons, that represents another tough match-up for Kapono.

The best scenario, assuming Anthony Parker’s ankle won’t let him play, is to have Kapono on Simmons, Moon on Carter, and Jose on Harris. Granted that’s far from ideal, but the hope is that with a healthy O’Neal in the paint, Harris won’t have the same path to the basket that had he had last time these clubs met.

This means however that certain players are going to have to resist the urge to come "help" Jose on the weak side as leaving Carter, or even Jianlian open on the perimeter could spell trouble with a capital T. If Jose gets beat, let JO step up, with Bosh rotation over to O’Neal’s open man (probably Brook Lopez), and therefore Kapono must be the final rotation on any such play. Bobby Simmons is the least dangerous offensive threat on the court for New Jersey so if anyone can be left open, it would be the former DePaul star.

Put it this way, if you’re going to get beat by Simmons knocking down J’s all night, so be it.

If Parker is a no-go, I expect Triano is going to use a lot of Joey Graham and maybe even some Will Solomon and Hassan Adams to get after Carter and Harris defensively and give them some different looks. These two are combining to score 46 per cent of the team’s points on average so the bottom line here is quite clear; limit these two and you give yourself a great chance for a W.

2) Get out and run...both ways.

Toronto has hardly been the defensive club many predicted to start the season. However for all the Nets surprising success, they’ve been even worse. Toronto ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency with the Nets coming in at 27th, fourth worst in the league. It’s New Jersey’s offense that has been winning getting them W’s so the message here is simple; thwart the Nets’ plans on O and take it right back at them the other way. Neither club is great in terms of rebounding the ball so if Toronto can crash the glass and get out on the run early and often, this could give New Jersey fits.

Going the other way, Toronto’s transition defense was a huge issue last time these clubs met so that will need to be cleaned up this evening. Players like Carter and Harris make a living off of transition 3’s and missed assignments so the Raptors if they can’t keep up, are going to need to fight a little fire with fire and get out in transition themselves.

This is especially important considering that neither team plays at a very fast pace.

Surprisingly, for all the Nets offensive prowess this year, they average .3 possessions less than the Raptors per game (94 as opposed to 94.3.) Therefore the team that wins the battle of the boards and thus gets out on the break for easy looks more often, very well could end up being the team that ends the night with the W.

3) Take advantage of Bosh and O’Neal.

In the Raptors’ epic collapse to the Nets a few Friday’s ago, things got off to a great start for Toronto thanks to the dominance on the interior of Bosh and O’Neal.

I’m hoping to see a lot of more of this tonight.

While we’ve discussed Triano’s new offense, something Bosh seems to be slowly getting used to, and getting out on the run, Toronto should be pounding the ball in to these two on every possession early on. As we saw in that last match, Yi just can’t guard CB4 and while Lopez did an admirable job on JO, he doesn’t have the strength at this point to contend with O’Neal in close. Therefore I hope in the visitors locker room tonight, Triano has written in big letters on the chalk board –

"GET BOSH AND O’NEAL GOING EARLY."

This opens things up then for forays to the basket by Moon and open 3’s for Calderon and Kapono and could put New Jersey in a big hole early.

The key of course is to keep them in that hole this time and that means that when players like Bargnani and Graham are in, they’re going to have to take advantage of their size and skills in the paint and look to use their size and strength to their advantage close to the basket.

A win tonight and suddenly the Raptors have a mini-run going into Sunday’s game, one that I feel is winnable against an up and down Hornets club, and Toronto follows that up against the Nets again on Monday night, another winnable affair.

If Toronto can continue to ride the momentum of their Indiana win that would put them at .500 when the Mavericks come to town and then before heading off to face Oklahoma on the 19th, easily the biggest foreseeable W on the December schedule.

It gets a lot tougher of course after that so Triano needs to have his troops focused and locked in over the next week or so. Thanks to the ongoing TSN2 fiasco , the Raptors will have less fan support for many of these games and with no resolution in sight according to Rogers, it may be back to 1956 and radio broadcasts to fill the fan void.

On the plus side?

It sounds like Rogers is recognizing the error in their ways so for Raptors fans, now may be the best time ever to give the Cable giant a call for refunds on other services…

FRANCHISE

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good people of the world, and raptors fans: please leave rogers now. go to bell. even if you don't like bell. (like me)

they cannot and should not be allowed to pull this kind of nonsense on us.

as for the game, in the name of all things good and right...memo to the raptors: do not let vince shoot a 3 with no seconds left on the clock. punch him in the face, knock his legs out, do what you must. but don't let him shoot it.

because it will go in.

by papa on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Just some more blast from the past draft analysis from the sporting news in 2000:

1995 -- Ed O'Bannon: Everybody's 1995 College Player of the Year and the leader of the Bruins' championship squad, O'Bannon was picked as much for his squeaky-clean reputation as for his jump shot. He fell to ninth because of questions about a surgically-repaired knee, but the Nets figured he was worth the gamble. Boy, were they wrong. O'Bannon was a complete bust and was out of the NBA by last season. He had no true NBA position, being too slight to be a forward and too slow to be a tall shooting guard. Plus he couldn't shoot. GRADE: F.

1994 -- Yinka Dare: The word "bust" doesn't begin to describe it. Dare's impressive physique and Atlantic 10 rebounding titles as a freshman and a sophomore convinced Willis Reed that he could develop slowly behind two other Reed pet projects -- Benoit Benjamin and Dwayne Schintzius. Instead, Dare was forced into a starting role in 1995-96 -- which unfortunately for the foul-prone Dare convinced all observers that he had no future at all. Dare, too, is out of the NBA. GRADE: F.

1998 -- Paul Pierce: This was nothing short of a shocker. Pierce, projected to go as high as No. 2 in many mock drafts, fell to No. 10. The Celtics grabbed him and he was among the top three rookies last year and, for much of the season, the best, most complete player on the team. Grade: A

1996 -- Antoine Walker: He went sixth overall. If the draft were held again, he'd probably go seventh, with Kobe Bryant jumping over him. Walker hasn't made a whole lot of improvement, but he still has skills that cause coaches to salivate. Grade: A-minus.

by ustation on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Cmon Raps. If there is one thing that drives me nuts, it's VC getting the better of the Raps. It's unholy.

My guess is that Triano has been around long enough to know the mindset of Vince. If people get physical with Vince he fades away and starts taking jumper after jumper. So let's go after him early by putting Graham in the starting lineup and giving him one mission. No easy VC baskets (therefore hard fouls are totally acceptable). This should take Vince out of the flow early and set the tone for his playing style for the rest of the game.

I'm not saying try to intentionally hurt him....just send a message. And then back that message up by sending it again.... and again.

by mcclarky on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

From the Globe:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20081212.ROGERS12/TPStory/Sports

It looks like the TSN2 stalemate is approaching a resolution...

by lessthanzero on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

RIP Yinka Dare

by The HQ Associate on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Thanks for the link lessthanzero - I wonder if Smith and the Star crew are steamed because one of their lead stories early this morning was that there was no resolution in sight!

Really excited for tonight's match actually...think Toronto is going to put on another solid performance and notch their second straight win...

by Franchise on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Article in Newsday today about Cat Mobley (sad story, BTW) and who the Knicks might bring in to replace him.

They mentioned Count Chocula himself, Carlos Delfino, as a possibility.

Think I remember reading in the comments a few days ago that we still held his rights.

Can someone shed light on that for me please?

Link: http://www.newsday.com/sports/basketball/knicks/ny-spknix125962039dec12,0,2040928.story

by The HQ Associate on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Alright, so my conspiracy theory of the day is...

With Bosh being all-of-a-sudden down in the mouth (he's reading 'Twilight'? That's got to be a personal low...) is it possible that he got wind of a potential trade involving he and Joey?

And with Gerald Wallace all of a sudden out of the lineup in Charlotte for mysterious reasons (personal reasons? more like personnel reasons!).

Is it possible that we are going to see a world shattering trade?

Here goes!

To Charlotte:

Bosh + Graham

To Toronto:

Gerald Wallace + Emeka Okafor

If its me, I make that trade. I hate to see bosh go, I really do. The guy is THE heart and soul of this team. But come on, we aren't winning a title with him here and we risk losing him in 2010. With Wallace and Okafor our defense gets immensly better. Okafor gets to play beside a real centre in O'Neal. Wallace is the slashing scorer/defender that we desperately need.

Charlotte gets a premiere scorer to slide into the lineup next to newly acquired Diaw and Bell.

This trade works for everyone!

Again, I don't want to see Bosh traded...but if we were going to trade him (or else risk losing him, and BC has no doubt spoken to him about this possibility) then I think this might be the best deal out there.

by Casey on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Just looking at that trade I just put up, our lineup looks ridiculous after that...

1st unit: O'Neal/Okafor/Kapono/Wallace/Calderon

2nd unit:
Bargs/Hump/Moon/Parker/Ukic

Not a ton of rebounding on that second unit, but Hump and Moon can do it when they put their minds to it and Ukic will have at two good shooters to kick to when he gets in the paint in Parker and Bargs.

Or, maybe I'm just a raving wanna-be GM Lunatic...could go either way...

by Casey on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Casey,
Okafor got humiliated by Bargnani twice and you would like to swap Bosh to get him and keep Andrea on the bench?

MJ, is that you?

by renato on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Casey there is no way BC would trade Bosh but it would be nice to get Wallace I just don't see who we would send to Charlotte to offset Wallace salary without going over the cap...unless we send Kapono, Joey and Hump and that's 3 for 1 on a team that only have 12 players..so that doesn't add up......another thing Bosh is not going anywhere in 2010 I wish everyone would just stop talking about 2010 its 2 years away, we don't care..If Bosh goes I am sure we will have enough money to buy another good player if not better...so stop it ..everyone please....

Lets concentrate on the task at hand...VC and Harris...We should have beaten Jersey last time around and they know it ...Jersey is actually a better team on the Road than in their own building so advantage Raps, plus we owe them one, so all the Raps have to do is bring it tonight...one for the lost last game and 2 for the injury to JO by Williams...This should be a good game tonight.......Raps4Life

by RAPS4LIFE on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Casey, I know we like to keep the tone of the conversation at a certain level around here, but I am extremely tempted to disregard that. While I in no way want to discourage people from playing GM (after all, isn't that half the fun?), that trade is absurd, absolutely ridiculous. I'm tempted to explain why, but instead I'll just leave it at that.

by RaptorsAddict on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I'll crawl back under my rock now...

by Casey on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

HQ Associate,

I'm sure we still hold his rights so I'm not sure what this paper is speculating about. If they want him, they'd have to make a trade of some sort...not to mention the fact that his Russian team isn't gonna just let him walk, in all likelihood.

by Jdbar on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

badgers????.....BADGERS????!!.... WE DON'T NEED NO STEEENKING BADGERS.....

by JENGE on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

This game will be the real test of Triano's new "clog the lane" defense... we saw that Devin Harris can blow by Calderon every time, but hopefully he's forced into tougher shots.

by BC on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Question: Is the future still Bosh and Bargnani? We have JO for this year and next but what happens after that?

One guy I'd like to see the Raps make a run at this offseason is Paul Millsap. I think he could be great as the first pf/c off of the bench. Move Bargs for whatever you can get....possiby a late lottary 1st round pick.

I think he can still develop into a great player but I'm tired of seeing the Raps getting beat up downlow.

I think the best way to ensure that Bosh stays in 2010 is to bring in good talent in 09 so that the Raps have a good season and he doesn't see any reason to move.

Having a big man trio of Millsap, O'neal and Bosh would be the best combination of scoring, rebounding and toughness the Raps ever had.

The wing situation is also something that needs to be addressed. Moon wasn't good enough to be in the NBA for 7 years, AP wasn't good enough for 4 years....there is know way they should both be starting at the wing spots for our team.

As for tonights game....Rogers sucks...we miss the next 3 games which is absolutely insane....how can most people in Toronto not have access to Toronto raptors games.

I'm predicting a Raptors win tonight by a fair amount...I predict that they will come out hungry after last times major disappointment.

by wtf on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Casey - Respect the hustle on the trade thoughts but no way I'd pull the trigger on that for one simple reason - Okafor.

Hard worker but in my opinion possibly the most overpaid PLAYER (Marbury and Eddy Curry sitting on the bench doesn't count) in the league. I can't even imagine the frustration from Raptors' fans to have a PF who can't score. The guy gets to the line half as much as Bosh and when he gets there, shoots about 55 per cent.

No thanks.

I'll take a run at Milsapp and his much smaller expected contract any day though. Still burns me up that the Raptors took Tucker over him in the draft.

BC - Totally agree with you. This will be a real good test of Triano's defensive schemes. In fact, to simplify the game-day preview, you might just be able to say that whoever wins between the Raptors' front-court and the Nets' back-court wins the game.

by Franchise on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

wtf said:

"As for tonights game....Rogers sucks...we miss the next 3 games which is absolutely insane....how can most people in Toronto not have access to Toronto raptors games. "

I'm almost positive that tonight's game is on TSN...

But Rogers does suck...don't even get me started...

by The HQ Associate on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I gotta say I love how Triano has this team playing so far. The back door cut for the alley-oop to Moon is EXACTLY the type of plays that have been missing. Recognize the defense and react. Nice job.

by mcclarky on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

1st half recap:

Triano is the man.
- Great substitutions.
- Great defensive scheme.
Poor defensive rebounding (as usual).
- Great recovery after a short let down in the 2nd.

So far, good overall effort despite the poor defensive rebounding.

by mcclarky on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

honestly, anthony parker is now my new mo pete.

it's going to kill me when they move him.

the guy is just so solid. he's up on his feet, off the bench, cheering on his boys when they do good things. if he were to come back and have to play off the bench, you know he'll do it.

I doubt he'll be here next year, and he probably won't be remembered 5 years from now - but we should.

by papa on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

here here papa.... almost brings tears to your eyes.

Anyone else finding themselves wishing Kapono was on the floor every play? I see Jose bring it up the floor and I'm thinking.."find JK". Even when he's not on the floor.

by mcclarky on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Top tier defensive effort.
Play defence like this the rest of the way and Jay Triano is going to be hoisting the COY trophy. Guaranteed.

by mcclarky on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Wow wow wow wow. I missed the game due to coaching tonight but I did see the box score and my oh my what a difference a coaching change can make. 0-13 for VC. The Franchise my ass (no offence to you Franchise lol). One thing I am curious about is the tempo of the game, did the Raptors get out and run the floor or was it all primarily half court sets? As for COY to Triano, with all due respect it has to go to Jerry Sloan this year. They have yet to have a healthy roster this season yet they compete night in and out. Wow again.

by Thor on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

like the possibility of Millsap coming here but guys you have to let go of Wallace -- story was he said he wouldn't report if traded to Toronto prior to the draft when BC was weighing up the TJ options...

As to tonight's game: great defensive effort forcing NJ's weaker players to step up -- they couldn't. Also got to see the Vince still has bad games in him. Great use of the payers available by Triano: win or loose, the Raptors are fun to watch again! Also, note the improved body language by Bosh, the whole Bench and between Bosh and JO.
Anyone still wishing we had Chris Douglas-Roberts?

by graham on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

don't have any time to watch games these days, but a couple of things jump out from the boxscore:
(1) nice line for Roko;
(2) another productuve night for Kaps;
(3) nice reduced time for our starters (less than 32); (4) FOUR blocks for Bargs? Nice!
5) JO still not in the offence, and Bosh not on full throttle yet either.

Nice little win streak, hope it keeps going and it becomes the base to work from.

by gerry on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Anytime you can trade Bosh to bring over the heart of a terrible Charlotte team that even Larry brown can't make not stink, you gotta do it. ;-)

I actually like the new streamlined rotation.

1. Jose / Roko
2/3. Kapono/Moon/Graham
4/5. Bosh / Oneal / Andy

That's 8 men, and Hump in case someone on the front line is in foul trouble.

Everybody knows what's expected of them (except maybe AB, who again looked like he was pulled out of bed and rushed to the game). Kapono shoots. Moon rebounds defends and runs the floor. Graham plays aggressive D and slashes on O.

Parker is a good guy and does a lot of things decently but nothing great. IMO he's superfluous. Plus since his salary is expiring he makes the most sense as a trade chip.

by LAs Only on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Howland on the recap in the AM but man, solid win. Best D I've seen in a while and big props to Jose for his job on Harris - not lockdown, but solid in terms of redirecting his attacks. In fact, Harris cracked me up a few times tonight. He's got great speed, but now that he's "the man" in Jersey, he takes some ridiculous liberties. I mean, what was with some of the Will Solomonesque whirling shots????

Thing that impressed me the most tonight? - Raptors sticking with the Triano system and forcing New Jersey to beat them from the perimeter. They still need to do a lot of work on the boards but making Simmons the primary offensive weapon from the perimeter was exactly what I envisioned. I love Triano's "pack it in" approach and hopefully it brings another W on Sunday.

by Franchise on Dec 12, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Interview on Bargnani (in Italian) after the NJ Game:

Q: How did the game change with JT?
"He wants to play a more up tempo kind of game"

Q: How does the game change for you? You used to be on the bench, then a starter, at the three, now on the bench again.

"Well, I was playing the 3 just for the first 5 minutes then I was going to play either 4 or 5. Now it is the opposite, I play either 4 or 5 and I get moved to the 3 just sometimes, according to the mismatch. I am coming off a bad week offensively, now let's see how it proceeds"

Q:How was your relationship with Mitchell?

"Up and down, some times were better than others, but irrespectively I am sorry he was fired as after three years, you develop a personal relationship with people and I would like to separate the person from the coach"

Q:Some say having Mitchell as a coach has slowed down your growth as a NBA Basketball player, do you believe in that?

"The fact he was not the most technical coach (MY comment, he said it as an euphemism) I definitely believe it, in relation to your question I am not sure what to say, actually I do not feel like saying anything about that."

Q: How is it like being back on the bench?

"Our game style has changed, now let's see how it develops. At the end, you know, I am not a 3, I weight as much as O'Neil so, you do the math. Sometimes I can play it but it depends on who my opponent is."

Q: What about the rumor about Messina being the Next Raptors coach? and btw, do your team mates even know who Messina is?

"No, I have not heard anything about that rumor and my team mates have no clue who Messina is.

My take: classy on Mitchell, blunt as usual when he gets a chance to speak a language he commands better than English.
On the game: Possibly best defender, on a bad patch offensively, still no play specifically designed to take advantage of what he can do, which is not a surprise given they had just two training sessions with JT

by renato on Dec 13, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Been away on business the past few days, but boy are things looking good!

Renato, excellent find! Totally agree that going forward, Bargs is a big not a wing. Now that he is back to a well defined role that suits him, he should grow into it. Even though he shot terribly last night, 7Rebs and 4 blocks is still solid for your back up.

I love that we are talking about Triano's schemes. We already know what the schemes are! He has schemes! What were Sam's schemes? We are so much better of now than we were under Smitch, the proof is in the pudding.

If we end up having Roko, Parker, Joey and Bargs coming off the bench, does it mean our bench is still crap? Suddenly it might even be a position of strength!

Things are looking sunny in Raptorland.

by Robert Archibald on Dec 13, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

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