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Don’t Believe the Hype

Bosh may be one of the NBA's brightest young stars, but does this mean he's naturally leaving the Raptors?

Bosh may be one of the NBA's brightest young stars, but does this mean he's naturally leaving the Raptors?

Well, I don’t think anyone saw THAT coming.

Yesterday’s blockbuster deal between Denver and Detroit showed that Pistons’ GM Joe Dumars was not simply talking out of his hat when he stated that "there are no sacred cows" on his roster. These words were of course uttered last spring when again the Pistons failed to advance to the NBA Finals, this time, losing to the Boston Celtics. However the whole trade is not exactly what many had anticipated when the rumour mill started to churn after the Pistons’ early playoff exit.

No, many assumed that Rasheed Wallace would be the first to go, and that Detroit would look to help shore up their athleticism by seeking out a swing-man to put alongside veterans Chauncey Billups, RIP Hamilton and co.

In fact the Pistons did make overtures towards Hawks restricted free-agent Josh Smith during the summer but were reneged when he re-signed with Atlanta. After only a handful of small changes (signing Kwame Brown, Will Bynum etc) it was generally assumed that Detroit would then lay-low until the following off-season.

But evidently Dumars had other ideas.

From a Nuggets fan’s perspective, you have to like this trade. The AI-Melo experiment just wasn’t working, the team desperately lacked a true play-maker at the 1 to bring out the best in Melo and others, and the team was stuck in salary cap hell. Now on paper there’s no reason this club shouldn’t be right back in the Western Conference playoff mix, regardless of what Antonio McDyess decides to do.

However from Detroit’s angle, I have to admit the trade puzzled me at first. As one of our readers put it in the comments section, why would you pair a player who needs the ball in his hands to be successful with four guys who need someone to facilitate their offensive execution? (And for me personally I had to ask, how does this trade affect Iverson’s fantasy numbers?)

The answer came later yesterday in an article by True Hoop’s Henry Abbott.

After the trade, Abbott blogged about the salary implications of the deal and how after Iverson comes off the books next summer, Detroit suddenly would have a lot of money to play with for both the summer of 2009, and the biggie in 2010, a point I never really considered initially. This means that even if Iverson doesn’t mesh well with Detroit this year, the team suddenly would have another $20 Million or so to play with for the banner class of free-agents in 2009 and perhaps even more change, depending on re-signings, for 2010.

And unfortunately this relates directly to Raptors’ fans as one of the biggest names on the list, is none other than Chris Bosh, the NBA’s Eastern Conference Player of the Week for week one of the 2008-09 season.

From Henry’s post:

The two (free-agents) that jump out to me are, of course, Chris Bosh and LeBron James. They played together nicely on Team USA, and now Dumars can at least entertain the notion of signing not one of those two, but both.

Great.

More kindling to throw on Raptors’ fans "we can’t keep our top free agents" fire.

As if Raptors' fans weren't paranoid enough as is!

Michigan Live writer Pardeep Toor touched on this subject a few weeks ago and actually discussed a "Bosh to Detroit" possibility. And that was weeks before this Iverson trade went down!

Now Toor’s musings that perhaps Curry was hired to court Bosh in 2010 sound much less like the paranoid utterances of us Raptors’ fans and perhaps have some basis in reality. After all, Bosh has stated that Curry was his mentor as a rookie.

So let’s get something out of the way nice and early, three games into the 2008-09 season in fact; as Raptors’ fans, we’re going to have to deal with this "will Bosh leave" issue for the next too years and it will increase in frequency as we near the summer of 2010.

Take my word for it, it’s going to be more annoying than seeing Carter rediscover his career with the Nets, or T-Mac becoming the one of the league’s top stars after signing with the Magic.

No, it’s probably going to be more in the mould of "my ex-girlfriend dumped me a week ago and is now dating Chace Craword. And she just won Lotto 649."

However I decided last night that I’m not going to worry about it.

I’m not going to fret about CB4 looking to expand his regime ala Lebron, or jump to greener pastures like Vince Carter and there’s one reason why.

The Legomaster.

There isn’t another GM in the league that I’d rather have behind negotiations to keep Bosh as a) he’s already done it once and b) he’s structured the team around having a big amount of cap space as well for 2010. So who’s to say he doesn’t try and recruit a Wade or a Lebron himself?

The bottom line here is that if the Raptors can put together two big seasons before Bosh hits free-agency, and Colangelo continues to look to help his franchise player get the assistance he needs, well there’s not much else the Raptors’ organization can do, and therefore no sense in worrying. Bosh has the final say and if he really wants to head somewhere else, so be it. I trust that BC will recognize that fact early on and look to make moves to keep this franchise on the right course.

Besides, the teams that are worrying about getting a Lebron or Bosh in 2010 are also some of the league’s worst franchises. Memphis, New Jersey, New York, these three are all racing to get cap space for 2010 with some others like Atlanta and Minnesota hoping to tag along.

Does anyone think Bosh will take less money, leave a successful situation here in Toronto, one that keeps improving I might add, and head to these NBA nether-regions? Maybe New York is an option but at this stage of CB4’s career, I think he wants to win, not be stuck in mediocrity, no matter how big the market is.

Realistically I think teams like Miami, LA, and Dallas, aka the usual suspects, are the real threats in terms of their "player-allure" however few will be able to afford Bosh. And as for Detroit, I’m not an NBA player but I’ve spent time both there and obviously here in Toronto. It’s not a tough choice as to which one is more accommodating for an NBA player’s lifestyle.

Like the great Chuck D once said, "Don’t Believe the Hype."

So as Raptors’ fans, let’s try and put a latch on Pandora’s box right now. While I’m sure there will be lots of stories and rumours about Bosh’s impending exodus over the next 20 months, right now we’ve got a 3-0 start to focus on, and a game Wednesday night against this new look Pistons squad representing Toronto’s best test yet.

And besides, things could be a lot worse.

You could be a Cavs’ fan.

FRANCHISE

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I agree wholeheartedly, but one other thing. If Bosh gives any kind of indication that he will leave, Colangelo's track record is that he'd much rather send him on his merry way and get something in return than just sit a pray like previous GMs have done so before. Oh yeah, I believe Bosh's girlfriend is a Toronto native too.

I just don't think anyone has a clue what they're talking about when it comes to things like this and it's like watching everyone trying to fill out their fantasy leagues.

by Vicious D on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Grange, like all media types likes to cause discussion, with mindless speculation. He pointedly does not mention that BC will have $50/60 million (subject to the lux tax in '10) to spend on free agents (Bosh included) if Bosh uses his ETO and opts out after next year, '09/10 season, based on current commitments.

by Johnn19 on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I think if Mitchell and BC are here in 2 years, things will be stable. Bosh will not leave. No point of worrying till at least next year, it's rare for a superstar to leave a playoff team. He gets more money, he's stable, and it's HIS team. All those things can go out the window if you leave. The last superstar I remember leaving in the prime of his career was shaq.

Anybody else I'm not thinking about? That left during free agency?

by Sho on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

No fire. Have not heard anything from Bosh remotely suggesting that he would leave. Have actually heard him in the past saying he wants to help this team become a champion, the victory being all the sweeter.
Bottom line is the Raptors have to remain competitive. If this franchise goes into a funk for the next two years who would blame him. My faith is in BC(and Smitch) to keep this team competitive.

Lets not discuss this subject for a while.

As per the AI trade - question is does this turn the Pistons from a 50+ win team into a 60+ win team or vice versa. Makes Wednesday matchup all the more interesting.

by Tinman on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I foresee CB4 having the same type of career as KG. I see him resigning with the Raptors in hops that he can win a championship with them. If this fails, then he will ask to be traded. But, the point is he will first resign with the Raptors. I think he cares about happiness more than a few extra million. I also believe that he is loyal to the Raptors

by BargsBench on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I can't be the only one who notices Bosh's ear to ear grin every time he talks to JO in timeouts. The guy is loving life and winning games and has an organization that is facilitating both. Let's not forget that Toronto has the same population as Miami and Boston, bigger if you count the golden horseshoe. So it's fair to say there's a market here to keep superstars and likely gain some as well.

by Andre on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Totally agree Andre. I think not only is Bosh now starting to get addicted to that "winning feeling" thanks to his new team-mate, but as long as he, Jose and JO stay healthy he's not going to entertain ideas of going elsewhere.

Bosh is not Lebron either. Lebron has stated, in Men's Health of all places, that he wants to be the first Billionaire athlete and wants to change the game from a business perspective much like Jordan did before him.

Pretty hard to do that in Cleveland so it's Bron Bron, not Bosh that I think will jump ship.

by Franchise on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

And on that note...a great Yahoo piece on the whole "Pistons making a run at James via this trade" thing.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news?slug=aw-dumarslebron110308&prov=yhoo&type=lgns

Dumars looks like a genius and it's scary how powerful World Wide Wes is...

by Franchise on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Thanks for your thoughts Franchise. Another example of the sensible intelligent perspective one can expect on this site. It makes utterly no sense at all to get exercised over what may happen in 2 years with Bosh. It is 2 years away folks and it will only distract from enjoying what is happening in the here and now. What we have is a much respected GM who will do whatever it takes to create a winning environment. Sadly however, given past fan/media hysteria, I probably should prepare myself for the panic driven onslaught.

by OldSchool on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Let me preface this by saying this is two years away and I truly believe that if this team is competative and has direction Bosh will resign. However...

The following is an excerpt from Grange’s Blog post today:

"The Raptors better hope that Bargnani's game can grow to the point that Bosh can look at Calderon and the big Italian and figure ‘two more guys and I'll take my five against your five any day’. That's a big if, but it's absolutely vital in my eyes."

When I read this my heart stopped beating and my blood ran cold… To think that keeping Bosh, who right now looks as though he is fully capable of being and MVP in this league, rests on the play and development of Bargnani scares the crap out of me. The argument being made here is that the Raps have the inside track, they can offer more money and more years contract wise when Bosh opts out of his current deal. However, what it may come down to is winning, and by extraction, the make-up of the team and the proposed teammates.

If Bargnani fails and Bosh leaves, I will never forgive Colangelo. Ever. I don’t even care about being rational when it comes to this topic. If Bargs doesn’t pan out and that is one of the factors in us loosing Bosh, I’ll be devastated. The reason being is that the one major disappointment of the Colangelo regime (the Bargnani selection), which still hasn’t been satisfactorily explained to this day, was COMPLETELY avoidable. There were other players ( Roy, Aldridge even Rudy Gay) that were all ranked ahead of Bargnani, pretty much unanimously by everyone, scouts, pundits, writers, NBA insiders, bloggers, posters/commenters on blogs, George that works at my local deli and my Labrador retriever…

by MAS on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

MAS
"There were other players ( Roy, Aldridge even Rudy Gay) that were all ranked ahead of Bargnani, pretty much unanimously by everyone, scouts, pundits, writers, NBA insiders, bloggers, posters/commenters on blogs, George that works at my local deli and my Labrador retriever"

Thats not the way I remember it..........…

by Tinman on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Great post Franchise.
As for the rest of you, please don't do this to yourselves. Enjoy the basketball, and let the chips fall where they may. It's waaaaay to early to start worrying about whether Bosh will stay or not. It's like getting engaged to the girl of your dreams and the very next day starting to worry about when she's going to dump your sorry ass. There's no point in getting your panties in a knot!

by OneandDone on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

MAS,
It’s possible that Bosh could leave, and Bargnani could fail. And it’s possible that CB4 could be an MVP, but I highly doubt the latter will happen. He’s a great player, but not a LeBron.

Worse case scenario – as others have stated – is we do lose Bosh. And if that was to unfold, we’d have plenty of bucks to chase other free agents (in 2010).

Of course the upside is, Bargs continues with tangible progress, Bosh stays, because he prefers to MAKE a winner (as opposed to dropping in on a potential), Calderon gets even better, Ukic turns into a solid backup at the point, and BC takes the extra funds he has available, and goes after a quality SG and PF, plus some decent backups.

You can shed tears all you want, about how we should have chosen Aldridge, Roy, or whoever, but from my perspective, Bargs has a potential that we’re only beginning to see. And at a price that allows us to complete the puzzle, and make a run at the Championship.

But for now, I’m enjoying the zip and passion we're showing. 2 years is a long way off.

by RapthoseLeafs on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

I like to think that bosh is all about winning and if toronto continues this path it started on in 06/07, he'll stay and maybe even convince one of his elite buddies to come play with him - I'm thinking d-wade. Lebron is more about the money and to have multiple superstars would require them all to take less $...

There has to be some appeal to becoming a National hero in Canada, getting his number retired, that sort of thing.

by axl on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

now while i don't believe the hype i think if anyone is feeling worried the best thing they can do is go out a buy a pair of Chris' hyperdunks and a hoodie. that's the smartest strategy to avoid him leaving. support Chris more in various ways he enables us to do so (web, merchandise, going to games and being loud etc.)

by dileroscoe on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

<>

Or a Knicks fan ; )

by bukkaboom on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

RapthoseLeafs, "BC takes the extra funds he has available, and goes after a quality SG and PF, plus some decent backups."? Two years from now, the two main concerns will probably be Parker & O'Neal's age ... unless BC does something in the meantime ...

by Boko on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Come on Raps fans, why worry about Bosh leaving which will never happen, but if it did, hey we lost VC and look at us now. This is a business AND players come I am sure there will be another Bosh or VC or AI outthere, no need to panic. Plus Bosh would never say he would leave...I have news for Lebron the first billionaire athelete will be Tiger hands down...if he is not there yet. Big game tomorrow, hope we catch AI learning the Pistons system and just lay it on Detroit....Raps$Life

by raps4Life on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Great post Franchise.

I like the Colangelo angle. it really does settle things down for me knowing he's in charge around here.

but of course, as doug smith said this morning, the best thing the raps can do to keep bosh around is to win.

and what's to say the raps don't go gangbusters this year, make some noise in the playoffs, lego master splashes some money down in the summer, the raps come back next year and do ever better, and still have a bunch of money to spend on the big summer of class '04?

besides, if bosh has a big year and the raps do well, he's going to get all sorts of exposure down south. which is THE big reason the pundits down south think bosh might be motivated to make a move out of here.

hmmmmmm, a lot riding on this year for the raps. just sort of hit me how big (important) it could potentially be for everyone involved.

by papa on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Great comments all round.

I think the best thing the Raptors can do is build a winning tradition.

A string of consecutive playoff appearances helps.

The stories by pundits in the national media (like bill simmons) about our rabid fanbase(and blogbase) helps too.

I have a hard time believing that players don't read the own press. Everybody's watching Sportscentre, and I'm thinking a significant amount follow sites such as hoopshype. A rep that Torontonians could care less about basketball is a fate far worse then being where its "cold", and its something we're all working hard to dispel.

I'd like to paraphrase a quote from the esteemed Sharone Wright, who way back when was acquired from Philly to be a poor man's Al Jefferson.

"In Philly, they love you when you're good. In Toronto, they love you cause you're theirs"

It's not lost on me that at that time the team and fans were still in the midst of post-expansion bliss.

However, its this kind of sentiment that would help make sure we're not the ones with cash and no taker when summer 2010 ends.

by yardly on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

US exposure is an important thing to consider. I've been out of the country for a few years and while discussing ball with other NBA fans it's evident that not many (excluding Canadians) know much about Bosh. And those real fans who know their ball feel he's wasting away in T.O.

I for one, am not worried about this. I don't think Bosh feels a need to perform on the big stage. I actually feel he prefers to play out of the limelight and go under the radar. I remember when Bosh was drafted and their was much debate about whether the Raps should trade the 4th pick. Grundwald stuck to he guns and went for Bosh and he the whole season all I remember hearing was about this mild mannered kid with good character and bright future.

Well, we're seeing Bosh's great character develop before our eyes. He is one of those rare pro athletes that is a true leader with all the ability in the world without the ego and greed. He's even a bit of a geek. (I use that as endearingly, as it's one of the things I love most about CB4). He's got is youtube clips and Leno appearances to show who he is. I think, for Bosh, playing in T.O. always keeps him the underdog. And I'm sure that's just how he likes it.

Bosh truly is just a 'regular guy' and just wants to be happy. If the Raps continue to show they are committed to winning (and Colangelo surely will) then Bosh will be a Raptor for a long time to come.

P.S. Anyone have a list of the 09' free agent crop. I wanna see what else Detroit may be up to.

by Zucchini on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

yardly - "The stories by pundits in the national media (like bill simmons) about our rabid fanbase(and blogbase) helps too."

I think that's a huge point here.

The NBA is slowly realizing the power of the online audience and NBA players are as well. And there's not a more rabid online fanbase in sport than us Raptor nuts.

PS - Love the Sharone Wright quote.

And as for Grange, as much as I preach from his pulpit, I can't agree with him this time. There were four equal frontrunners in that draft - Andrea, Ty Thomas, Aldridge and Morrison, believe it or not. After that it was Gay, who fell because of issues about his lack of passion for the game.

Finally it was Roy and Foye, both of whom projected to be the most "NBA ready," but lacked the "upside" of the other options before them.

As for the top 4, it really depended on what you were looking for, and which sports reporter you talked to. All had their own preferences so saying that Bargs was behind everyone else on people's lists simply isn't the case.

by Franchise on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

And Zuchini - here's a comprehensive list from ESPN about the free agents in 2009 and 2010.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?page=FreeAgents-09-10

by Franchise on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

You guys gotta change the sliding standings on the main page.

by Cam on Nov 4, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Great point about BC. There is a valid arguement that the overall talent on our team might have been better with Bcock having another tank season, and stock piling draft picks.

However, the main problem with him, which is evidenced with the carter and alston situations, is that he was unable to MANAGE SITUATIONS.

I really don't think his plan for the team was bad. However, he isn't the kind of person that inspires confidence in their ability to pursue and protect thier interests.

I have alot more confidence in BC to control and influence and account for certain intangible aspects of the situation.

Lol, i'm not sure if that makes sense! I would re-read, but i gotta do SOME work...

by TJ Caino on Nov 5, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

Did I miss something? What did Grange say that was so bad?

by TJ Caino on Nov 5, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

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