3 in the Key - Toronto Raptors Game-Day Preview Against the Heat
Jose Calderon may not play in this Sunday's game against the Heat, and I couldn't be happier.
No, I didn't fall down the elevator shaft of my condo, nor have I suddenly turned into a Jose hater.
But in a game that most expect to be won, the Raptors may have lots of difficulty containing the speed of the Heat. Things have gotten awfully pessimistic as of late and will undoubtedly get uglier if we lose.
Heck, without Jose, I'd rather look at this as a perfect opportunity to give much needed experience to our backup point guards.
You almost have to be glad that we will not be seeing it on TSN2.
Without the limelight of Toronto focused on the team, it'd be a perfect opportunity to see what happens when you play Bargnani extended minutes, give Joey Graham a starting shot, and let both Will Solomon and Roko Ukic work through some of the kinks in their play. But let's be realistic about our expectations even if the above all does happen. Somewhere in pre-season, I came to the conclusion that the Raptors would be slow coming out of the gate, and the hope would be that the Raptors would develop an identity much like they did in 2006-2007. Remember way back when, to those early days in 2006 when the Raptors were so bad before they finally found themselves in January and figured out how to win when making shots, and how to at least give themselves a chance when they weren't? We've been searching for that magic since.
Come to think of it, we're still trying to replace the smarts of Jorge Garbajosa even after a season of moving on. But that's a story for a different time.
Anyways, it's important to remember that this is still only the first month of an 82 games schedule and there are going to be extremely rough patches. Those "rough patches" would be fine as long as the right players were being developed and chemistry was being established. It was also two years ago (with Andrea Bargnani) and many more before in the Butch Carter years (with T-mac) that we heard the mantra that either you're developing your rookies and players or you're losing twice over. Those messages in those development times still need to be applied now, especially with our less experienced players.
It's partially why I was so harsh on Sam Mitchell for Boston's game (a winnable situation) vs. the Philadelphia game (a situation where the Raptors were just having an off shooting night) as he has to be visionary that maximizes our opportunities for wins while balancing the long term picture and growth of the club. Instead we currently have a bunch of loses that have not displayed a direction for improvement. This staff just sometimes seem to be too concentrated on the here and now. As a result, players that need time are getting a quick hook and those that have already had plenty of chances still get more of their time in.
There's going to be a need for patience and learning if we hope that this Raptors group gels in the same way we saw a couple years ago. The Raptors management needs to get their eye on the future, and it's encouraging that some fans are taking a look at that aspect.
Anyways, on to the upcoming game.
Now, of course, one of the obvious points is to check Dwayne Wade for the game, but I'm not going to say it's a key. Every night, the Raptors are going to have to check the best player on the opposing team, and more often than not, it's going to be a shooting guard or small forward. Sure, the Raptors should force the ball out of the best scorer of the team that they're playing on any given night, but so far this season, Dwayne Wade seems to be back in his magical form.
So instead, let's focus on these three other things:
1) Attack The Interior Often -
Couldn't pick a better game to have Joey Graham play extended minutes. Without any real inside presence, the Heat are ripe for the picking by Bosh, O'Neal and Bargnani, but it's going to take a wing that wants to finish at the rim to truly take full advantage of the lack of an inside presence. Attack early, attack often and if you're not sure what to do, just keep attacking the middle.
On the other side of the ball, our own bigs have to stand tall against players like Dwayne Wade, Michael Beasley, and Shawn Marion. Making sure to protect our own paint, there should be plenty of opportunities for the Raptors to out-rebound and out-muscle the Heat if they even contemplate entering the paint. Special attention needs to be paid to Shawn Marion, who is becoming the only real rebounding force on the Heat.
2) Attack The Rook -
We all know Dwayne Wade will get his and then some, but limiting Michael Beasley and exposing his rookie jitters will be essential in making sure the Raptors come out with a win. Although he is a scoring force, the Raptors can force him into mistakes by aggressively attacking him, even sometimes showing him a double team.
The Raptors should also try to look to attack him, which makes having Joey Graham on the floor just that much more important. The Raptors should theoretically be able to put some fouls on the rookie if they remain aggressive on the attack and get to the paint. However, whoever is guarding Beasley must remember that he has shown a touch at the free throw line so far this season, and one must respect his jump shot.
3) Bargnani vs Marion -
With Udonis Haslem playin in the center, the man known as "The Matrix" has become the Heat's power forward and even though the Raptors will have a size advantage in the middle, the speed race will quickly go to Miami's favour. If Marion plays (reports say that he's feeling better), he's the type of player that the Raptors may have trouble stopping with their starting bigs. It's why I predict that we'll be seeing a lot of Andrea Bargnani for this game.
Bargnani has quickly established himself as an adequate defender most nights and has been able to prove troublesome for opposing big men thanks to his quickness and newly found strength. Bosh is much more used to player power players who can attack around the rim, and as a result, is not as able to guard a natural small forward like Shawn Marion. Bargnani, on the other hand, does have experience chasing down scoring threats on the perimeter and has shown the ability to contain his man by using his good footwork. We saw Bargnani contain Brand multiple times in the last game so that Brand just couldn't take a comfortable shot. Sure, it'll be a test for Bargs, but it's time to see just how far his defensive abilities reach. With Marion's sore groin, it'll be a nice little half-test for Bargnani.
Here's hoping we'll see the full gamut of Bargnani's skill set for a second night in a row.
Vicious D
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If anyone has a stream, hook a fellow rogers customer up:
tphillips@philson.ca
by Dikweed on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Olympiacos is playing Maccabi on Raps TV. It's a good chance to see our boy Printezis in action and a little bit of Childress. Great way to pass your Saturday!!!
by Assistant GM on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
I'm actually curious to see if Chalmers (who has some pretty bad stats) or Roko/Solomon performs worse tomorrow.
Now I just have to figure out which Bell Store to loiter in tomorrow afternoon so that I can watch the game.
Make sure to let Chris Hebb (chebb@mapleleafsports.com) know what you think about TSN2 carrying Raptor games.
Oh - and I'm so glad to see that TSN1 is showing WTP MASTERS TENNIS FROM SHANGHAI at 1pm tomorrow instead of the Raptors game!!! That's some A-1 quality Canadian content for you. What a frickin joke.
by BC on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Even though I love tennis, I'd rather watch the Raps live as the tennis is tape-delayed. TSN should show it live at 4am (I'll either get up or tape it myself) and repeat it on TSN2 later.
by tfan on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
I'm expecting a Raptors win tomorrow, Calderone or no Calderone. I just think we match up really well with Miami. They are a middle of the road 3pt shooting team (good shooting has killed us) and they are 24th in the league in rebounding. Raptor's have the obvious advantage inside, so the key will be to control the tempo into a grind-it-out half court game and keep D wade out of the lane.
Vicous D, are you seriously making the argument in your post that Bargnani is a better defender out on the wings than Bosh is? Don't get me wrong, I've been very impressed with the progression that Bargs has shown on the defensive end, especially his post D and uncanny ability to block shots by just playing big and having his hands up. But he's looked look a lamp post on a couple of occasions... Tayshawn prince dribbling circles around him comes to mind.
While Bosh known for his ability to agressively "show" on pick and rolls because of his mobility, harrassing ball handlers. He received much cudos for doing just that at the Olympics this summer.
by MAS on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
The Raptor is apparently day-to-day with an ankle sprain... SI actually interviewed the guy behind the costume to ask about injuries:
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/writers/ian_thomsen/11/13/weekly.countdown/index.html
by BC on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Howland and I are going to try and get to the sportsbook early tomorrow to make sure we get the Heat game. Sounds like Jose's not going to be playing so it should be very interesting. The Heat don't exactly have great point guard play either so it'll be on Bosh and O'Neal to try and compensate in his absence.
Mild strain for Jose so hopefully he'll be back for Orlando. And as D says, we'll really see how this team goes now without him.
by Franchise on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
MAS - I'm suggesting the matchup works better with Bargnani chasing him all over the place rather than Bosh. Yes, he didn't do so well on that sequence against Prince, but that didn't make his whole night. Yes, Bosh is a better defender, but do you want him crazy exhausted? I'm not sure you want him to chase him all around the floor for the entire game. He'll have to play Marion when O'Neal is on the floor anyways, we'll at least see how Bargs does when he and O'Neal are on the floor at the same time.
At the very least, it's another test to see just how improved Bargnani's defense really is.
by Vicious D on Nov 15, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Too bad we didn't trade Moon for Anthony Morrow yesterday.
by Branden on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
willing to give left nut for stream
tphillips@philson.ca
by Dikweed on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
hey guys, got a link
e mail me at tphillips@philson.ca if u want it.
by Dikweed on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
I think playin' bargs at the 3 is situational. he has been playing better defense, consistently even, and there are times when it could work having on the floor alongside bosh and o'neal.
detroit should not have been one of those times.
in any case, wonder if the scalpers are going to be raising the prices this afternoon knowing there's going to be a few extra fans looking to get in without the tv.
stupid rogers. stupid tsn. I really do want to ban both of them for eternity for this.
by papa on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
For the Rogers folks out there -- I found this link... don't know if it works, but it's worth a try:
http://www.myp2p.eu/broadcast.php?matchid=24291&part=sports
by BC on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Howland/Franchise -- please remove that last post if there's any chance it affects raptorshq... I'm off to a neighbour's to watch ExpressVu now (and cancelling Rogers when I get back)
by BC on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Will loose a lot of respect for Smitch this afternoon if Bargs does start at the three... Doug Smith sums it up best:
"I personally don’t think Bargnani is a small forward. Being defended by threes takes away most of the advantage he had going against fours, which is quickness and the ability to beat them off the dribble. Defending threes may lead him to the early foul trouble that takes him out of games. I’m not sure there’s enough space on the floor with Bosh and O’Neal to let Bargnani attack the basket, something he’s been doing more of this season. I think the kid was finally getting comfortable in a defined role and now it’s changed, at least for the start of the game."
In addition, the big man rotation of O'Niel, Bosh and Bargs was finally starting to take form and was one of the only good things going for Toronto recently.... Now in somewhat of a panic move, that's out the window. Also, do we really want to go down the road of jerkng Bargs position and rotation around again after what happened last year. They win this game today, but it won't be because of this move. In fact, this move hurts this team over the long run. Not a good look Smitch...
by MAS on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
here you go folks:
http://www.calcion.altervista.org/live1.htm
by Aaron on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
catching the game on a live online feed and I swear to david hasselhoff if I have to hear that stupid NBA commercial with the 'where amazing happens' I will hurt someone.
andrea, dare I say, has turned the corner.
by papa on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
HAHA.. MAS...you for sure shot urself in the foot.. andrea was great starting at the three... you are so great at understanding the game arent u.. hahaha
by Blanco on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Blanco,
Obviously you need to practise your reading comprehension. You missed the point of my post. My point was I don't think this move is good in the long run for the development of Bargs and the overall rotation of this team. Heck, I even predicted they would probably win this game... but it would be because they are a better team than Miami, and match up well against them.
By your post I can tell you aren't capable of entering a debate on the points I have raised and have to resort to great arguments like: "HAHA". Get back at me when you have something intelligent to say.
by MAS on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Ohhh Mas... poor old Mas... All the points stated were horrible... in ur quote from the article it has bargniani not being able to have enough room to drive (if u saw the game.. that was not the case)... bargniani cant defend three's? (did u see marions stats?)... and actually.. it will only work for a better development because he will need to challenge himself more inorder to be succesful at the three.. in turn, he will be a more diverse player.. and ultimatley better.... Bargniani is a much better starting three than jamario moon, and jamario moon is a great bench player to bring a different spark.. so overall.. ur wrong.. but i get what ur saying... And i still do think he is a true PF, but i just think he is a good fit at three instead of moon..however, i would prefer him a PF and have somebody like gerald wallace at three
by Blanco on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
OK Blanco much better, and good try little fella... But I’ve got a couple of issues with what you have said.
Yes, Bargs had room to move around and made some very good plays in the first quarter. However, Miami has one of the smallest frontcourts in the league. Haslem is their starting centre and is 6 foot 8. What will happen when they play teams with legitimate size and strength that will be able to clog up the lane?
Marion... So you are going to give Bargnani credit for shutting down Marion? Who has been ass all year anyways... Oh and Marion started at the PF spot. Nice try.
Hey I hear your argument about challenging Bargani to be more diversified, however he has a track record of not being able to adjust to changes very well. Did you watch any Raptors games last year? Bargs was in and out of the starting line-up, his role shifted around and he suffered for it. Anyways, he played well today and I hope he can keep it up...
by MAS on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
While the duel between MAS and Blanco is kinda amusing, I think it's fair to say that: i) Bargs starting at the 3 is risky for the reasons described in the Doug Smith quote, but ii) he did darn well today and definitely deserves another shot in the Orlando game.
Extra debate points to MAS for avoiding the use of the juvenile "u," "ur."
by Jdbar on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
In his first start I think Bargnani did excellent. Him and Bosh started strong providing an excellent 1-2 punch. His agressiveness is so encouraging. His defence continues to look better.
JO played the game we want from him. Third or fourth scoring option and a momster on the boards. Took a few too many shots but a lot were on rebounds.
Solomon played like a good backup, actually distributed the ball well. Ukic still looks green but check the boxscore, Raptors were a +10 when he was on the floor.
Humphries performance surprise no-one. Given the opportunity he performs.
Don't wanna gloat to much. Its a game we should of won, and I'll accept the closeness on the lack of Jose.
by Tinman on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
Wow, a nice win against a decent team with lots of positives to take home:
-Bargnani looking very good both on offense and defense, one of the best games I have seen him play in a Raps uniform.
-Both backup point guards doing a decent job, not getting too much in the way of the offense and even Solomon draining a couple important treys.
-Very solid 1-2 punch in the post from Bosh and JO, with Humphries also contributing there.
-Even Moon seemed to play a lot more intense and aggressive coming from the bench, just as Jack Armstrong noted.
By the way, thanks to the League Pass, this was the first time I could watch the live broadcast with Devlin and Armstrong and I loved it, lots of insightful commentary there. Can't compare it to the Chuck era because I never saw it, but I can better understand your praise now.
by Sergi P on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
MAS said: My point was I don't think this move is good in the long run for the development of Bargs and the overall rotation of this team.
- Which is where I disagree with you. This was the perfect opportunity for Bargs to be experimented with at the 3 spot in a starting lineup. He presents a terrific matchup problem for the Heat, and by rolling with a big lineup the Raps get to experiment in real time with all three on the floor at once.
Even if the Raps lose, there is no harm in giving Bargs a carrot for his strong defensive play of late and letting him start against weak opposition - and especially weak opposition that is undersized.
It need not be corrosive to team chemistry because the reasons for giving it a shot are obvious. If it were Tim Duncan and the Donuts? Bargs is still #1 off the bench. But Haslem and Co.? Why not let Bargs beat up on someone for a change?
by Bedhead on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
MAS - I hear you loud and clear, and would tend to agree with you. Looks like a desperation move from Smitch.
However, it worked tonight and it might be worth seeing if it continues to work. The glaring need at SF and the lack of tradable assets or cap space means that drastic measures might be required. If Bargs can hold down the fort, we can bring Hump in to back up the bigs. That means we are using our position of strength to hide a weakness. If nothing else, it might showcase Hump.
I still want to see more of Joey. I don't think Moon gives us anything that Joey can't do better.
I'm also surprised no one has commented on Soloman's game. Is it time for a little humble pie Vicious D?
by Robert Archibald on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions
RA - Nope. Still a shooting guard pretending to be a PG. And looking at Ukic, his defense is getting better.
Put it another way, assist numbers lie. I always argued against TJ's assist numbers last year for the same reason. Just because you can directly feed a guy doesn't mean that you control the offense correctly or properly. The speed of ball movement was completely different with Ukic on the floor and Solomon still was giving the ball to people out of position.
Watching the game tells everything.
by Vicious D on Nov 16, 2008 12:00 AM EST reply actions

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