Game Five Preview – Raptors vs. Nets
May 1st, 2007
Let me first say that I don’t want this to be the last game-day preview of the year.
And I truly don’t think it has to be.
The Raps’ backs are indeed so far against the wall tonight that they’re probably sinking into the concrete based on their last two performances and one has to wonder just what team will show up tonight.
Will it be the team that almost ground out wins in both games one and two?
Or will it be the squad that looked like a Varsity or YMCA club in games three and four?
As one of our associates pointed out to here at the HQ, the Raps have really been outplayed in 15 of the 16 quarters so far this series with the exception being the fourth quarter of game two.
The team has battled back from adversity all season though and tonight it needs to do it once more.
The thing is, I still don’t think this Nets team is unbeatable for the Raps. Yes, they’ve been superior in almost every fashion to date (and as one of our readers pointed out, have had the advantage at every spot on the floor this series) but the Raptors have been helping New Jersey along with sloppy play, lack of execution, and now lack of confidence. Toronto has played the role of a virgin with "performance issues" who now faces the daunting task of going back into the bedroom with Adriana Lima, Giselle, Karolina Kurkova, and a bevy of other Victoria Secret Models laying in wait.
No pressure...even if it is the Raps own bedroom...
So how can the Dynos pull out a win tonight?
Well for starters, time to shake things up.
Sam Mitchell hinted to reporters yesterday that he was going to make some changes however would not reveal what exactly those changes would be. The popular guess is that he once again will send out a new version of the starting lineup and I think that would be a good place to start. In fact tonight I’m hoping to see Jose Calderon, Anthony Parker, Morris Peterson, Chris Bosh and Andrea Bargnani on the court when this evening’s match tips-off.
TJ Ford has been battling the flu and has been ineffective this series. His shooting struggles have allowed Jason Kidd to sag off of him and double Bosh in the post and perhaps if Calderon can knock down some shots early, for once Sam Mitchell can perhaps force Lawrence Frank’s hand and make the Nets adjust.
It may also open things up for the rest of the team.
If Calderon can force Kidd to come off Bosh, this would leave CB4 with more room to operate one on one, something he’s been unable to do most of the series. Andrea Bargnani started to heat up towards the end of the last game and his shooting could pull the Nets bigs further out of the paint perhaps giving Bosh more space. Running some post moves for him might not be a bad idea either to force a double team on someone other than Bosh. Il Mago is a great passer and maybe getting some easy looks for CB4 and co. for dunks out of double-teams on Bargs would get Toronto’s confidence and intensity back.
And with Parker and Peterson the Raps send out their two best three-point wing threats to flank the others. Both were much too timid the past two games but tonight I expect to see them looking for their shot both from the corners off of ball rotation, and also by pump faking and heading to the rim.
I also prefer these two to Joey Graham or Juan Dixon in terms of matching up with Carter and Jefferson defensively.
The other thing I’m going to be looking at tonight is offensive execution. All the line-up changes in the world aren’t going to matter if Toronto still holds the ball too long and settles for outside jump-shots. In particular, freeing up Chris Bosh, the Raptors’ best offensive threat, would give Toronto a huge boost. Watching the Cavs/Wizards game last night, I saw a way to do that.
Zydrunas Ilgauskas absolutely terrorized Washington with 20 points and 19 rebounds, mostly off of a nifty double screen play that Cleveland ran time and time again. Big Z would set a screen for the point guard at the top of the key and when the Wizard defenders hedged to double the ball handler, Z would get the ball back again and quickly swing it to his wing man (Lebron James in this case.) He’d then go set a screen for Lebron and roll off, eventually ending up on the far left of the court about 14 feet from the basket and wide open to receive the pass for the shot. Ilgauskas’ defender would still be scrambling to get over after hedging on two players and as a solid mid-range shooter, Big Z was knocking the open shots down.
It got me thinking that Chris Bosh could be used in a similar fashion with the added edge that he could even take the ball to the rim instead of settling for the jumper. CB4 could set a screen on Jason Kidd for Calderon and when Mikki Moore hedged out Bosh would then swing the ball to Anthony Parker, set the screen on Parker’s defender (probably VC) and roll off again to receive the pass as Mikki Moore scrambles to get back to Bosh. With Moore in motion Chris could also put the ball on the deck and drive past him in order to draw the foul.
Commentator Bill Raferty even went so far as saying that this was indeed a play other teams could steal and considering the troubles Toronto has had getting their franchise player open, I’m hoping Sam Mitchell has a similar trick up his sleeve for this evening.
Because this could be the last evening for a while in which he’s got a chance to try some different things out and with another raucous home crowd behind Toronto, Mitchell and co. need to capitalize and get back to playing the type of ball that made their season such a surprising success.
I'll be there tonight in standing room only booing Vince and yelling my lungs out and I don't intend for this to be the last time I do this this season...
Let's go Raptors!
FRANCHISE
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I love that double screen idea. Watching other teams, it just seems more and more inexplicable the way the raps have been frustrated. Tonight I think will really show whether it's the nets excellence or the raps badness behind the bad losses in jersy. If they've really got raps figured out, they should have no trouble putting them away tonight. It sure seems to me like they do and with their motor running like it is, watch out lebron and co. Nets going to the finals would actually make me feel better about our series at this point, but I still think we can win tonight. Just give a fight, guys come on!!!!
by axl on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
man, these HQ game day previews are like turning points in the day for me - there's no turning back! I refuse to believe it's going to be the last one.
the perfect wave...we're all waiting for it.
by papa on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Well what do you do? Do something, anything. What I mean by that is, throw caution to the wind and go down fighting.
1) Take away the Kidd Post move. Put Parker on him and have TJ guard Vince. TJ is going to need a double team anyways, so why not eliminate Kidd as an inside scoring threat and let VC play with the ball. Bring in weak side help and every chance you get, foul him hard inside -- I mean, deny.
2) TRAP! Trap, trap trap on some made buckets. Full court, half court. Alter their rythm. Make them use up the clock. Be aggressive and cause turnovers.
3)Since day one, I said box+1. Make everyone else an outside shooter. Works in hockey PK, why not?
4)Try some small ball. TJ, Calerdon, Parker, Bargs, Bosh. And run run run! Every NJ missed shot should be a push up the floor.
5)Attack Vince early. Not known as a great defender, and hopefully he gets in foul trouble. Mo/Parker should attack at him, with ISOs!
by ustation on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
I like your potential starting lineup. I think Mitchell's tried to balance out the depth between the bench and the starters, so we can have an advantage against the Nets subs. But it really hasn't worked out: neither lineup has been particularly effective and most of our players look out of sync. I say you might as well stick your best offensive players on the floor for the majority of the game and ride it out. We have no other alternatives at this point.
by pVr on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
This might be the last one of the season so if your going to the game tonight wear 'Red' at make this the loudest Raptors game in the history of the franchise.
The Raps backs are to the wall and the only one backing them up is us!
Go Raps.
by Bruce K on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
I think this has the makings of the greatest playoff comeback in the Raptors franchise history. We have an overconfident overachieving overaged team thinking they are going for the kill tonight. I think the Raps will surprise them. So much so that the confidence game will shift. It will now be the Raps riding high on adrenalin and the Nets wondering what went wrong. This will be enough to push it back to TO for game 7 live on US networks as all other games would have ended by then.
Or not.
by Erezona on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
There's certainly the potential for a comeback of epic proportions in this series, but it all starts with the players. They can't come out looking defeated and overmatched from the opening tip like in game 3 and especially game 4.
I'll be there in section 310 wearing a red T and cheering loud as always, but the guys night to come out with some FIGHT!
by MattK on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
The more I think about it, the more I'd like to see us go at the nets bigs. Why attack jefferson and carter at all, they're shutting us down, they're great perimeter defenders with major hops, lets go at the other two guys with post ups from joey, bargs, rasho and bosh will be the decoy rather than add another perimeter guy(mo) who's just going to get shut down. I wish this game would just start!
by axl on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Did anyone listen to the Fan last night when Zach Cooper had Sherman Hamilton on? What a waste of time it was. Hamilton was sitting on the fence on everything, and offered no real insight. I gues he was afraid of losing his gig on RaptorTV.
by tfan on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Tfan, how many times have you heard Leo say "that was a tough foul" instead of calling it what it was, a horrible call? It’s a different style, but I don’t see the need for it. Call it like it is. If it was a bad call, say so. Don’t beat around the bush.
But Leo is generally pretty good. On the bad end of things, there is only one man standing tall, Bill Walton. No one can beat him. He rarely watches the games he covers, frequently talks about something stupid completely irrelevant to the game and is clearly more into hype than substance. He really doesn’t understand the teams he covers and doesn’t seem to know much about their rotations or personal. Sometimes he slips back into his LSD induced state that make me wish for Rod Black’s ice dancing competition coverage.
On the other extreme is Doug Collins. Never heard a better colour man in the business. He always adds insight, brings a different prospective, makes me see the game differently and I actually learn something when I hear him. He actually seems to have watched the teams he’s covering play before and genuinely seems to know their personal.
So where do the Raptors analysts rate? Well, if Doug is a 10 and Bill is a 0, then:
Leo 7 - generally good insights, but could be a little better at calling it like it is and stop being afraid to rustle fathers
Chuck 2 – doesn’t really add much. I mean he’s a great cheerleader, but after he speaks (which is a lot), what did he really say? He’s all about hype and not much substance.
Armstrong 8 – great analysis and pretty good discussion of actual issues. Shame we don’t get more of him in the playoffs.
Hamilton INC – don’t really know as us non Raptor TV fans don’t get much of a chance to see him
Rod Black 3 – He tries hard, but is miscast
Brian Heeney 5 – pretty insightful, just stuck at the wrong network. It’s like watching Peter Mansbridge on Treehouse.
Did I miss anyone?
by Erezona on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
PJ - 0
Norma - 1.5
Virk - 6
Other white guy with the sports guy voice - 7
Agree on jack, but I find leo annoying when he goes on and on about salami and cheese.
Marv Albert 10 - best play by play ever
I love collins and kerr the best for analysis. I'm ok with walton even though he exagerates to the point of being 50% wrong 50% of the time.
by axl on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
As if the Raptors needed any extra motivation for tonight, here's some blackboard fodder: the Nets' website has a link for purchasing round 2 tickets. (To be fair, I have no idea how long that link has been up, it could have been there since game 1.)
by MattK on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Good point Axl, forgot about that other white guy. One more, Cabbie 9.5 Great humour factor (especially the bits with Bryant.
by Erezona on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
oh, can't believe I forgot cabbie - definitely 9.5
I've always thought they should stick him in there between jack/leo and chuck
by axl on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
How does this double screen work when the defense refuses to hedge off on to the ball handler? The problem is NJ has been sagging off our PG's the entire series and making TJ and Jose be the ones to beat them.
I think Chris has to be more decisive when he gets the ball and the passes have to be fast and crisp (not just from Bosh but from everyone) just like they were in the regular season. Most importantly, the Raps need to BELIEVE. The body language in that last game was embarassing.
As for broadcasters, Norma is so captain obvious its painful. Has she ever ever ever said anything insightful?
by DownWith Vince on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
If this is the last game of the year, then I want to say 'Thanks' for the year we just had, and to the HQ guys for being my daily read about all things Raptor.
Go Raptors!
by Bedhead on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
The idea of setting some good screens to free up Bosh sounds like a helluva idea. The isolation play is pretty predictable and, with the Nets being permitted to put in a lot of contact, is really just setting Bosh up for a pounding. However, I'm not sure that the screens will really make much of a difference against Jersey's zone defence. Can't be worse and may give some other options early. Against the Cavs, defending Lebron is the main idea - not Z. Bosh won't be given the same freedom that Z gets.
by EaseMyPain on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
where the hell is the Score HDé Its says 507, but it goes 506 and 508 on rogers digital cable, no 507 :(.
by Dikweed on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
*phew* - I have never been so drained watching a television.
by ustation on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
As hard as they tried, the refs just could not give this game to the nets. You'll get 'em next time delaney!!
by axl on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Worst reffing ever.
If the officiating was even average the Raps would have won by 10
by hughes on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
The bias on foul calling is offensive. How does David Stern let this go? On the play when JC got injured, he got hand checked by Kidd 3 times. If Kidd didn't hand check him, JC would have blown by him. Instead, he gets injured and instead of shooting free throws, the Nets get a 3 pointer to pull to within one. Don't even talk about the bogus calls on Bosh! Pisses me off to watch.
Why is Bosh not taking it to the hole?
by EaseMyPain on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Big game coming up in Jersey. Wish we could fill up all those empty seats with Raptor fans.
Solid contributins from Graham and Peterson. Ap was AP. Gotta get Barghani more touches for game 6.
by Tinman on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Damn that ended up much closer than what I wanted! Oh well, a win is a win, now we have to go in to New Jersey and win a road game. Who cares what this win looked like, it was a win.
by Robert Archibald on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
From section 307 ... If Joey would board like that every night he would be a very rich man.
Has anyone scouted the D-league in case Jose and T.J. cannot play in game 6?
Considering Bosh and Ford played 25 and 7 minutes, it is a quite remarkable we won tonight.
by raptorville on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Dikweed, it should be channel 507, I was watching the game on it. I would contact Rogers if I were you.
Great game, and I am not the least bit concerned that NJ came back. The refs played a HUGE factor in the Nets comeback. Mo Pete, CB4 and Joey were forced to play less aggressive because they were in foul trouble. The foul calls were atrocious and obviously deliberate. Maybe the NBA is not ready for a Canadian team to contend for a championship. I guess they feel it will affect their ratings. The fix is in. The officials have been favouring the Nets the entire series. Tonight just took the cake. I loved this starting lineup by the way. I loved Mo's energy and I believe he is going to be the X factor for both games 6 and 7.
by Assistant GM on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
...and remember, our best player played only half the game. That alone speaks volumes.
by Assistant GM on May 1, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Raptors will not even compete without our point guards lets hope they will have enough time off to heal and be effective.
Enjoyed the game drank my brews and had finger nails for snacks lol. (Looks like a great coaching move playing AB 40 min in last game in NJ then start Him in TO) U know who that was for .
by Davl on May 2, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
I think the most important factor in successful Raptor play is combinations of players on the floor.There have been two platoons in effect. The bench platoon has given fits to opponents this year. The first 4 playoff games went against this patterning and allowed Franks to focus on Bosh (who needs to reinvigorate his ability to dish-off when double-teamed).
by Larry Van Pelt on May 2, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
hey i am a big fan of adriana lima i just want to be like her. =]
by julia on Jul 16, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions

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