Game-Day Preview - Raptors vs. 76ers
Philly has made like Shaun and risen from the dead and in spite of trading the face of their franchise earlier this season, is unbelievably only three and a half games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference!
And thanks to last night’s win over the Cavs by Miami, all of a sudden, the Eastern Conference playoff picture is pretty muddled...and in my opinion, it’s the Raptors that are the biggest benefactors.
Currently of course, Toronto sits in third place, just a game ahead of Miami. Because of the Cavs loss, the Bulls now sit in second place with the Cleveland falling to fifth. It’s going to be nearly impossible for New Jersey to catch Toronto so at worst, it looks like Toronto is going to hold the fourth spot provided they can’t keep the third.
?We’ve been discussing on the site the best case scenarios for the Raptors in terms of first round opponents and now without Caron Butler AND Gilbert Arenas, it’s obvious that the Wizards are the most attractive first-round prospect. That means Toronto must hold the third spot to ensure a date with Washington.
However based on the standings as of this morning, even if Toronto falls to fourth, they would no longer have to play Chicago and would take on a Cleveland team that seems a less daunting foe than the Bulls. Yes Lebron James can take over a game, but if you saw last night’s Heat/Cavs match on The Score, you saw how Miami turned the Cavs into a jump shooting club, negating Lebron’s passing ability and forcing Cleveland’s other players to beat them. The Raptors have the ability to do the same thing and watching Cleveland’s offensive woes last night made me realize that this is a club that I’d rather the Raptors face than Chicago or a healthy Miami.
But I digress as it’s obviously the third spot Toronto needs to hold onto and to do that they need a win this evening in Philly.
The 76ers don’t offer the depth that the Raptors do or have the overall talent level, but they’ve been playing solid basketball as of late, led by their highlight reel wing-man, Andre Iguodala.
The task of stopping AI II will probably fall on Anthony Parker and if Toronto can keep Iguodala from getting to the rim and getting his other team-mates involved, the Raptors should grab their 43rd win of the season. Iguodala’s only scored 25 points in these teams first two meetings this season so Toronto has already shown that they have the ability to keep him in check.
Toronto of course will have to do a much better job on the glass this evening, especially with rebounding machine Samuel Dalembert in the paint for Philly. The 76ers badly out-rebounded the Raptors the first time these teams met and controlling the glass will be key in terms of limiting Philadelphia’s transition baskets.
The final thing I’m going to be looking at tonight is leadership. We’ve talked a great deal about Sam Mitchell the past few days on the site and I’ll be the first to admit that I'm making myself dizzy in terms of being for/against the job he’s doing as this team’s coach. As I’ve always said, there are some areas of the game i think he does a superb job in managing but others, not so much.
Tonight’s game is easily a winnable affair and I’ll be looking to see Toronto come out focussed from the tip-off (which as one of our readers noted, we never seem to win!) If the Raps get down early and aren’t making adjustments, it could be a long night for the team and this is where the leadership factor has to come in, be it from Mitchell, or even from Chris Bosh.
A very interesting comment was posted yesterday by one of our readers watching the US feed of the Orlando game in which he reported Bosh having a stern chat with Ford about his decision-making. Seems like he wasn’t the only one who took notice as today’s Toronto Star expands on the incident. It’s great to see Bosh play this "father figure" role and it has to make you wonder if both CB4 and Sam Mitchell were really happy with Ford’s shot selection at the end of Tuesday night’s loss to Miami, but simply were being professional and supportive of a team-mate, a laudable stance.
But as another of our readers pointed out, Ford is one of "a bunch of kids with room to grow," and the team’s quick success has simply raised expectations and therefore brought on new critiques. He’s also correct in saying that if Ford had made the shots than maybe everyone wouldn’t have made such a big deal aout it and we’d be praising Sam’s decision to re-insert his starting point guard rather than bemoaning a close loss.
However for this HQ reporter, every time Mo jacks up a contested three, Bosh settles for a jump shot on a mismatch, and yes Ford takes a fall-away jumper from the top of the circle, whether the shots fall or not, I cringe and openly yell at the TV. I want to see this team continue to improve and I’m not prepared to simply say "yeah, it was a bad shot, but he made it so who cares." I believe that apathy is the worst fan quality possible.
And I’m sure Sam Mitchell would agree.
That’s why I’m looking forward to a dominant performance tonight by the Raptors, something they’re more than capable of doing but if things don’t go as planned even in a Raptors’ win, you can be certain I’ll be discussing it to the fullest here tomorrow.
FRANCHISE
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I know exactly what you mean by cringing when they take those weak jumpers. I do the same thing, and I can't take when people in the room say, "Oh well, he made the shot". It doesn't matter, its really a lucky hit, and not a high percentage shot. Bosh can hit the outside jumper, but he needs to take it to the hole as much as possible. TJ needs to look for the open shooter rather than falling away over a usually taller opponent. However, the Raptors are playing great basketball, they just need to close out games and keep their leads, they seem to let games be closer than they should be.
by Mike on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Andre Iguodala. It makes me sick to see highlights of him, knowing that he should be a Raptor. He's exactly what the Raptors need too - an athletic wingman who can guard people on the perimeter. What was Babcock thinking? I guess I can always dream about Corey Brewer slipping into the second round (fat chance - he may go as high as third overall).
Well, best not to rehash that old argument. The Raps are going to have to be careful tonight because Philly has come together since the Iverson deal. Andre Miller's actually a much better fit as a true point guard. Still, they're far from being a great team and it's a game the Raps should take.
You wonder if Philly is shooting themselves in the foot with this late resurgence, given that this is a stud draft. I guess they figure that if you're getting a top ten pick this year, you're getting a potential star, even if it's not Oden or Durant.
by Skywalker on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
I hate how people talk about those final two shots in miami as if the defense wasn't there. Watch it again, look at who's on who, think about who the worst defender on miami - and remember the heat won a championship with a defense that forces other teams into low percentage shots (or the cavs/miami game last night -exact same strategy they used on us, except it was lebron james who was the goat). With that coverage, anybody else's shot would have been just as "forced".
I cringe and yell too when they're impatient and take bad shots during the game, but only if there's TIME to do something else. If a game comes down to the wire and the defense is there, someone's got to gamble on a tough shot and who does it depends on the matchups. TJ made his move, miami didn't help, nobody else was open, what else can he do?
by axl on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
any stats on what the Raps record is when Bosh gets to the line 10 or more times?
by cory t on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Everybody better obsessed with the 3rd seed in the East better watch themselves. It is very conceivable that Washington drops to 7th. Their next 2 games are against New Jersey and it is entirely possible they drop both of them along with the 5 games they have after them.
by Blaxx on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
it sucks that the one team the raptors could assuredly beat healthy is the one that implodes with injuries.
this team succeeds because of bosh. toronto can't beat detroit because rasheed wallace can contain bosh better than anyone in the league. he is the hardened convict and bosh is the fish.
no one on washington is able to do what sheed does to bosh. my question: is there a particular player on cleveland or chicago who can negate bosh? or more generally, which team plays bosh better? the answer to this is the team that the raptors should want to play.
by dkmo on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
i think deng is the bosh-killer on chicago.
maybe varejo on cavs just because he's so good at blocking out and rebounding
by axl on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Blaxx I hear ya... but I wonder are we a team who wants an easier first round match v Washington just to say we made the second round, or think about great, and I mean GREAT it would be to knock Wince out of the playoffs! let alone the excitment that match up would bring to this city.
by mcFly on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
axl, i couldn't agree more. TJ took those shots because that's what the defense gave them. The problem is that the raps didn't have a strong enough strategy to break Miami out of their defensive sets when it mattered. Miami was organized, cautious, and wholly cognizant of the fact that the worst thing they could do was allow TJ to drive and kick.
by raptorman on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
absolutely raptorman, not many teams do have a strategy (or a gifted player) that can overcome that situation, and there are few that have defenders that match up that well against so many different teams. detroit, chicago, spurs come to mind.
I think tj is one of those players, but he still only can be expected to shoot 50% like everybody else and he had a good shot.
http://thestar.blogs.com/starsportsblog/
check out the photo with the blog (at the link above) about tj and tell me he didn't get a really good look. j-will's the weak link on miami's d so go at him I say
by axl on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Axl, I’m not upset about the shooter, just about Mitchell bringing him in cold with 26 seconds left and calling a play for him. Also, he only took the clock down 6 seconds which didn’t allow him to try to break down the defence and even if he scored, Miami would have had plenty of time to win this thing. He should have at least waited till there were 5 seconds left on the clock. But I don’t think this was Ford’s doing, I think Mitchell called the play and told him to drive to the bucket immediately.
Blaxx, would you rather us finish 4th and start the playoffs on the road in Chi/Cle? I’d take 3rd any day. If it’s NJ, so be it, I’m not worried.
by Erezona on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
erezona - hard to argue with any of that, it's more a matter of opinion. maybe a more complicated set play would have accomplished more and opened someone else up. To me the simple play is better (more margin for error to at least get a shot off) and I trust tj to break down j-will 9 times out of 10.
whether or not to try to go two for one with 26 seconds left has got to be a tough call, but that what nba coaches usually do.
by axl on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Axl, that's the funny thing. There were 26 seconds left on the clock when Miami scored and Toronto called the timeout. You can't get a two for one unless you score with only one second coming off the clock and even then you get only 1 seconds. This wasn't a 2 for 1 type play which is why I was really frustrated to see them take a shot with 20 ticks left.
Anyway, we will sleep in the bed we make. We have to win this season out if we want 3rd seed.
by Erezona on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
good points erezona. I'm pretty realistic with my expectations which have been absolutley blown away. And I like mitchell's system, where, on one hand, they can play slow and just work their sets until they get what they want, then on the other hand they can run and play fast. Plus the defence is getting better (I like to think we could've downed miami and orlando much easier if garbo would've have been there). Anyways, what am I doing, gotta pause the game on the pvr.
GO RAPS!!!!
by axl on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Coach Jack made a great point - Humphries and Graham have really stepped up as of late.
by Tinman on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
I wouldn't mind finishing 4th because the Raptors match up better against Chicago and Cleveland than most people realize just because their records are better than ours. Chicago is just a bunch of jump shooters, streaky jump shooters at that. If you manage to contain Lebron and force his teammates to beat you, more often than not, they won't. Over a 7 game series, I wouldn't bank on Larry Hughes really steppin up
by Blaxx on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Wekk the Raps won the division, they beat the 76ers and so far the bulls are wipping the nets...Celebration!!!
by Marcia on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Blaxx, better than they match up against WAS? I don't know if I agree with that. Plus, we are 16-23 on the road where we will be in that matchup. Home court is huge in the playoffs and that's why it's key for us to stay in 3rd. In addition, if we stay in 3rd, we avoid a possible meeting with Detroit till the 3rd round.
I'd love nothing better than to beat Chicago, we have not matched up well against them. They have outside shoters which we play poor defence against. They also have some big man that cause us trouble. Cleveland is a different story. I think we match up better against them, but again, not till the 2nd round. I like our chances on the road in a 7 game series a lot better than in a 5 game series.
Close call for MIA tonight in BOS. They almost slipped! We need them to lose one of these games down the stretch which will give us a one game breather.
by Erezona on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
By the way, why is everyone cheering for Chicago tonight (including Eric Smith)? Does everyone think that NJ will go 7-0 and the Raps will go 0-6 down the stretch? The division is a given, far more important for Chicago to be losing games at this point.
Not that it's relevant, CHI won big.
by Erezona on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
I think our road record is given more attention than it should get. If you throw out the awful 5 game west coast road trip in November when the Raps were still trying that "100 shots per game" philosophy, we're almost .500 on the road. We'll be just find against anyone we face in the first round that doesn't play in Detroit or Miami
by Blaxx on Apr 6, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Division Champs baby! 3rd seed and counting...
Toronto needs to finish strong to hold on to the 3rd seeding. That said, we are not a bad road team in 2007. Road record since January 1st is 9W-6L. That's not elite, but it's pretty good.
I feel pretty confident with this team playing any of their most likely opponents.
by 3inakey on Apr 7, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions
Franchise - great insight into the TJ Ford situation...
i'm so happy the playoffs are just around the corner and i'd take any matchup, but i'll really be pumped if we draw New Jersey. How insane would the ACC be?
Go Raps! Can't wait for Andrea to come back.
by ossington on Apr 7, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions

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