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Game-Day Preview - Raptors vs. Pistons



Last night after working OT, I went home and sunk down in front of the TV, in the mood for some comedic programming. No Simpsons, no Seinfeld, and I wasn’t about to indulge in Dancing with the Stars for some unintentional humour...however what I did stumble upon was even better than any of the above - the New York Knicks taking on the New Jersey Nets.

From the outset this was a laugher. Stephon Marbury greeted the MSG faithful with an address promising a better year next season and thanking the fans for sticking with the club. Midway through the first quarter you could already hear the boos.

Yes, Mardy Collins aside, the Knicks couldn’t compete with the Nets and even when cutting the lead to as few as three or four points, the Nets would then drill off eight or nine straight points to put the Knicks back in their place.

Vince Carter had a triple double in the win but aside from a few nice drives to the basket, most of his trifecta came from the porous Knicks defense allowing him to rebound the ball and find open cutters at will.

It got so bad that at one point, the Knicks announcers spent about 10 minutes discussing Beyonce, Kimora Lee Simmons, Tyra Banks and friends sitting courtside with Jay-Z! (At this point I began to wonder if they were ever going to return to actually showing the basketball game so my mind wandered as well and I started surfing the web. Who knew you could get crazy cufflinks like these!!)

Interestingly, watching the Knicks coverage made me think back to Chuck Swirsky’s discussions at the end of last season. Like the Knicks’ announcers last night, the Swirsk was trying to put the best spin on things, even though the logic at the time was laughable. However hearing the Knicks’ crew blame their season’s issues on injuries and saying that they expected a "Toronto Raptors-like turnaround" next season took the cake! Do they know something the average fan doesn’t? Are Isiah Thomas and Glen Grunwald suddenly going to make Jerome James contract disappear and replace him with some unknown Euro stud?

But the best part of the whole discussion for me was the Knicks’ trainer explaining why there were so many injuries this year. Among the reasons given? – the player’s workout habits and their size. THEIR SIZE??? What the hell does that mean?

In any event, the Knicks fell as expected to the Nets and New Jersey finds itself only half a game out of sixth spot. And from the talk around the league, it sounds like the "experts" are expecting a Nets upset of the Raptors should they meet in the first round.

This morning on ESPN.com, Jamal Mashburn was asked about the Nets playing the Bulls vs. the Raptors and his answer was:

"It's pretty simple. As a team, you want to go through the playoffs on the path of least resistance. The Nets play as a perimeter-oriented team, and the path of most resistance is Chicago and their defensive approach. The Nets don't have a big center who can draw the double teams. They want to run the court and shoot the three. That's tougher to do against Chicago..."

"...The Nets want the No. 6 seed for sure. Their style is better suited to playing a team like the Raptors, who use more finesse and less of the physical style."

And last night on NBA TV the analysts concurred saying that Vince Carter and the Nets would be juiced to play the Raptors and have the experience to come out on top.

I still don’t buy this. Yes, the mere fact that the two teams could be playing puts many of us (as one our readers so aptly put it ha ha) on suicide watch but I’ve seen the Nets play their past few games and I just don’t think this is a team that beat the Raptors in a seven game series.

Yes, Jason Kidd and Richard Jefferson have deep playoff experience but who else does on this club? Collins? Not sure that’s going to be the series’ tipping point. And Vince Carter’s playoff experience as well all know, amounts to some early exits and graduation ceremony attendance.

On top of this, Richard Jefferson just doesn’t look like his former All-Star self, Jason Kidd’s shooting has been horrific and he looks a step slow on defence, and besides Mikki Moore, the Nets have virtually no interior. Yes, I’m rooting for the Wizards to hold onto sixth, but for some to claim that the Nets are the best team in the East, I find that a slight stretch.

So will the Raptors go all out for a victory tonight and tomorrow in hopes that perhaps the Bulls and Cavs lose, allowing them to jump into second and face the Wizards that way? It certainly doesn’t look like Washington can hold that sixth spot right now so maybe it would be best for the Raps to go for gusto?

Sam Mitchell apparently doesn’t agree as neither Chris Bosh nor Anthony Parker will play tonight against Detroit. On top of this, Andrea Bargnani will be held out for one more game to get his conditioning up to speed for tomorrow night’s match against Philly. And as excited as I am about Mo Pete and Humpty Hump getting the starting nods as their replacements and perhaps minutes for the likes of Pape Sow, Uros Slokar and Luke Jackson, I’d like to see Toronto go out with a bang to try and get the best possible seeding for the playoffs. It’s unclear as to how much Detroit’s starters will play tonight but if they’re looking for some revenge for last Friday’s close loss, they may get it tonight.

Above everything though this evening, I’ll be looking to see how players who will be getting minutes come playoff time fare against Detroit’s defensive schemes. The Raps struggled against the zone the past few matches and I’m hoping to see wings like Joey Graham, Juan Dixon and Mo Pete aggressively attack the Pistons on offence to create shots for their team-mates.

Win number 48 would be sweet, but I can live with a close loss where the Raptors are out talented and not outworked.

FRANCHISE

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Raptors are locked into 3rd seed. Best they can do is tie Chicago and Bulls have tie-braker

by FloridaJoe on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

From Yahoo!

"The Raptors will be the No. 3 seed unless they win twice, the Bulls lose and the Cavaliers split (and all finish 49-33). In that case, the Raptors would be the No. 2 seed by winning a three-way tie based on the best head-to-head record against the Bulls and Cavaliers (5-3 to 4-4 to 3-5; the Raptors won three of four against the Cavaliers). The Bulls would be the No. 3 seed and the Cavaliers the No. 5."

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news;_ylt=AguHFDiNZ1awjtJ92sOXaCF40bYF?slug=ys-playoffscenarios&prov=yhoo&type=lgns

Looks like there's an outside chance at the Raps getting the #2 seed....very remote, though.

by Geert Hammink on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

only problem is that the Raptors were actually 1 and 3 against Cleveland this year

by sc on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

when they say sitting, do they mean dnp-cd or just not starting? I think we should play to win. we might get a chance at second seed, although the cavs will almost surely win both their games. If we do have a crack at second, it will be because nj has increased their chances of sixth by beating the bulls.

The nets are playing well and the wiz sucking, I think we should be doing everything we can to follow the path of least resistance. Although, that said the magic could still grab seventh.

by axl on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Mike Ulmer has a new retarded blog posting on Raptors.com (http://www.nba.com/raptors/news/ulmer.html) -- unsurprising since he was a Sun columnist. It appears he hasn't watched Raptors vs. Nets games this season.

Ulmer writes, if the Raps do meet the Nets, NOT to boo Wince because this would provide him with mental ammunition.

I can't imagine how 20,000 rabid fans cheering "Carter Sucks" would be a negative -- especially against THIS year's Raptor team.

Aren't the first signs of getting rattled means one misses one's FGs and FTs and makes mental miscues like accumulating TOs? In their two HOME meetings (both of which I attended): the first one, on December 15th, Wince was 4-17 from the field and 4-8 from the line with 3 TOs; the second one, on February 14th, Wince was 5-15 from the field and 4-7 from the line, with 4 TOs.

The Raps have 4 first round games with home court. I don't care if it goes a full 7 and they get crushed by a rested Cavs or Bulls team in Round #2; the pleasure of giving Wince verbal beat downs in up-to-4 home playoff games would be priceless. Let the Raps aim for the Eastern Conference finals in 2007-2008.

by jjdynomite on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

LETS GO NETS

I am a hard core Raps fan. But I hope they get the Nets and not the Wiz. I would prefer the Raps get a test in the first round than breeze thru and then have to face a hugely tougher test in the second round. In other words they need to work up to the second round (Cavs/Heat).

And in the unlikely scenario that they loose to the Nets, then the would have no place in the second round in the first place.

Finally, yes the Nets are on a roll. But against useless teams, like the Wiz, Knicks, Pacers, etc. The last game they played against anyone respectable (Cavs) they got BLOWN OUT.

Toronto will take NJ in 5.

by Sep on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

RE: Booing Vince

If we meet the Nets in the first round (or any round) I better be able to hear the booing here in Vancouver or I will be very dissapointed.

Fans booing players is not just part of the game, it's an integral part of the game.

"Betrayal, the one unforgivable sin" - Hagath

When Vince let his ego run amok (My mom doesn't like Charles Oakley, sniff), when he made the Vince face, put a hand to his back and failed to get off the bench for the 4th qtr of a close game, when he said 'I ain't gonna dunk no more', when Vince demanded a trade and ragged the team on his way out - well, he made his costume - and it says 'Villain'.

Am I worried that booing him will motivate him? Hardly. He seems to get motivated (and de-motivated) for no particular reason at all. I fully expect that if the Raptors can take an early lead in these games the Nets will fold like cheap road maps.

by Bedhead on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

MoPete with a start tonite is interviewing for a job with the Pistons next year as a FA ?? What do you think ?? Expect a big game ??

by Johnn19 on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Just to clarify, as Florida Jo and sc pointed out, the Raps are locked into 3rd. Axl and Geert Hammink, you can’t believe everything you read, especially on yahoo. The Raps can not reach 2nd as the best they can do is tie Chicago who owns the tie breaker. If there is a three way tie with Cleveland, Than Cleveland will win the tie breaker, not the Raps. In fact, this is the only way Cleveland ends up in 2nd with the same record as Chicago as Chicago owns that tie breaker as well.

Washington is the only team that Raptor fans should be hoping for. Forget the personal stuff, this isn’t about showing Vince, that’s giving him too much respect. I couldn’t care less about Vince. What’s most important is giving us the best chance to succeed, and that’s the Bullets, I mean the Wizards. I’m not worried about the Nets and I’m sure we can beat them in about 5, but Washington will be easier and allow us to get our rotation back in order with Bargnani back. A closer matchup will make it more difficult to integrate the pieces back into place.

Washing, not NJ is in the driver seat as they control their own destiny. Win both games and they are 6th. Win one of two and NJ gets blown out by Chicago, they still own 6th. I think this is the likely scenario. I’m not holding out hope for a Washington win tonight against Orlando, but the game against Indian is promising. The Pacers have no interest in basketball anymore, have been playing terribly and rumour is O’Neal is done for the year. This is a winnable game for them. NJ hasn’t won any quality games since the dinosaurs roamed the earth (pun intended) and the game against Chicago will be determined tonight in Milwaukee. Should Cleveland beat the Bucks tonight, they keep the pressure on Chicago to win or risk finishing in 5th. If Cleveland losses tonight, Chicago’s season is over and I expect their starts to sit in NJ which will open the door for a Nets win. To summarize, if Cleveland wins tonight, we face the Wizards, if the Bucks pull it out, bring on the Nets.

by Erezona on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Well said, Erezona, you've summed up the possibilities very well.

To further clarify, NBA playoff brackets are fixed - i.e. as the #3 team, if the Raptors get past the first round they meet the 2/7 winner. Neither 2 nor 7 is set, but we wouldn't meet the #4 Heat in the second round regardless.

I'll echo what some others have said - yes it would be sweet to knock Vince out, but in the gruelling playoff schedule less resistance is better. So I'm still hoping to see the Wizards hang on, but not going to get too worked up about it.

by MattK on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

thanks, erezona. I didn't think to check if we had truly won the cleveland series or not, but I see we lost 3 0f 4. I wish some reputable site would do a write-up like yahoo did, it's fun to speculate. Now I'd just like to see chicago and washington win their games.

by axl on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Slight clarification. Replace the Milwaukee Bucks in my post with the Philadelphia 76ers. Cleveland plays in Phi tonight and against Mil tomorrow.

by Erezona on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Zona - Great info, thanks for posting that. I totally agree too...I think we could take the Nets as I discussed this morning, but I'd rather the team gets its legs and some experience in beating up on Washington. Unfortunately after seeing the Wizards play this past weekend I'm not convinced they could beat the Fort Worth Flyers right now (who incidentally open up the NBDL playoffs tonight against the Sioux Falls Skyforce.)

In any event I'll be watching the Raps/Pistons game before heading to see Nas in concert but will be very curious to see the scoreboards when I come home. Philly could give the Cavs a surprising test and as for Mo Pete's audition, I still think he could be a big part of this team's playoff run. However, he needs to worry less about hitting 3's and more about making those little "Mo Pete" plays of last year...

by Franchise on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I can't believe that no one has mentioned this yet.

That MoPete's miracle 3 at the end of regulation against the Wiz probably cost them an easy 1st round match-up.

Just sayin'............

by MazelTov on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Good post Erezona. I also think that the Wiz has a fighting chance against the Pacers. Funny thing is, as much as the Raps long for a match-up with the Wiz, the WIZ WOULD LUV PLAYING THE RAPS. Its all over their msg boards, they think they have a better shot for the 2nd round only if they play Toronto. I think you will see maximum effort on their part to hold off NJ.

And I am loving Toronto being cast as the under-dog in any matchup.

by Rubik Kube on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I know this is all moot, but I don't think you would use a three-way tie breaker in this situation. You would first determine who won the division between the Bulls and Cavs and then the winner would have a tie breaker with the Raptors. Otherwise, you could, say, have the Bulls winning the division but having a lower seed than the Cavs based on a three way tie-breaker. That doesn't make any sense!

Anyway, fun to speculate...

by Mike on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

you're going to go see mr. street dreams??? nice. enjoy that concert.

and like I've said before, bring on the nets and let's put this vince thing to rest with a nice whoopin' in the first round. it's time to put that era to bed, and I think that would do the trick nicely.

by papa on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Interesting point, Mazel Tov, re: the Wiz/Mo Pete miracle shot. But who could've predicted the Raps would win 7 of their next 8 and the Heat would stumble against Boston and Charlotte (twice!)

Fact is, the Raps facing the Nets with homecourt is far better than the Bulls or the LeBrons on the road, if the Raps fell to 4th place.

by jjdynomite on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Mike,

Detroit has locked up the central division so Chicago and Cleveland are in the Unfortunate position of being in by far the toughest division in the East. And thanks to the the Denver rule implemented this year, Wins and Loses trump division titles in the top 3 spots.

In regards to the potential matchup, Bring on NJ or Wash. Can anyone confirm the NBA playoff format for home and away games...I get confused every year. 2-3-2?? This year I'm going to write it down for future reference.

by scrubzero on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

scrubzero, I was curious too and looked it up. It appears the first three rounds are 2-2-1-1-1 and only the finals are 2-3-2 (http://www.betinf.com/nba_playoffs.htm).

Another reason why homecourt is so huge because Games 1-2, 5 (if necessary) and 7 (if necessary) will be at the ACC, Games 5 and 7 are usually the most critical in a playoff.

by jjdynomite on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Mike, NBA.com outlines the tie breaking procedures (http://www.nba.com/statistics/playoff_picture.html)

"b. More Than Two Teams Tied
(1) Better winning percentage in all games among the tied teams.)

by Erezona on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Just to give this dead horse one more hit, the espn site words things differently and seems to say different:

Three-Team Tiebreaker
1. Best head-to-head winning percentage among all teams tied
2. Highest winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
3. Highest winning percentage in conference games
4. Highest winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
5. Highest point differential between points scored and points allowed

by axl on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Axl, I believe that your number 1 and my number 1 say the same thing. The best winning percentage in the 8 games each of the three teams played against each other.

Toronto is 3-5 (CHI 2-2 & CLE 1-3)
CHI is 4-4 (TOR 2-2 & CLE 2-2)
CLE is 5-3 (CHI 2-2 & TOR 3-1)

Cleveland wins.

by Erezona on Apr 17, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

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