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Carnival of Previews



Ryan McNeill (from hoopsaddict) and Franchise played email tag over the past few days discussing the prospects for this years Raps squad. Here's the outcome....

Ryan McNeill: After gutting the roster last summer Bryan Colangelo enjoyed a relatively quiet summer by making one trade and inking two players.

Shortly after the draft Colangelo added Carlos Delfino for two second round picks. Delfino loathed being stuck behind Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince and his trade to Toronto provides him with a chance to earn extended minutes this season. I feel that Delfino will be a great addition because the franchise only had to part with two second round picks and he has a cap friendly salary of $1.9 million. If Delfino can step in and play 25-30 minutes per game while averaging 10-12 points and 5-7 boards he will be considered the steal of the summer.

The other big move this summer was the addition of Jason Kapono on the first day of free agency. While many fans disliked this move I believe it was a masterstroke by Colangelo for what it will mean to the team’s spacing this season. Before you get all riled up over spending $24 million on a guy who will help with spacing hear me out. Last season teams were able to collapse on Chris Bosh because the team lacked a consistent outsider scorer. Now with Kapono in the mix that problem has been solved and the guards will have a proven perimeter scorer to kick the ball back out to when opposing defenses collapse on them. While Kapono may not look great in the boxscore each night his addition will prove to be invaluable this season.

The move that didn’t make a lot of noise was the addition of Maceo Baston. After playing in Italy for a couple of seasons Baston returned to the NBA last season with the Pacers and was a valuable role player for the team. Look for Baston to be another big for Sam Mitchell to turn to when he needs some help on the glass.

What are your thoughts on these moves Franchise?

Franchise: It’s funny because for a "quiet summer" the Raptors actually made a fair number of transactions. I love the Delfino move, this is one I was rooting for at the trade deadline last season. I’m starting to come around a bit on Kapono but I worry that his stats in Miami are slightly inflated due to all their injuries last year and that fans will miss Mo Pete’s D at that position. Other than that, I really like the Baston move and love a small transaction that no one’s really talking about - the signing of Jamario Moon. I think Moon might be able to come in and surprise some folks even in limited minutes.

Finally, the one move we haven’t discussed that was maybe the biggest move of all for the Raptors - the re-signing of coach of the year Sam Mitchell. Mitchell has polarized Raptors fans more than anyone since Damon Stoudamire but there’s no denying he’s improved each season as bench boss. I like the re-signing of Mitchell. I still think he’s got a ways to go in some facets but his rapport with the players is second to none, and something that’s extremely hard to come by in the league. Therefore besides Kapono, which is more "wait and see," I think the Raptors got top value for the dollars they spent.

What are the team’s biggest strengths?

Franchise: Without a doubt this team’s biggest strength is it’s depth. From players one through 15 you’ll be hard-pressed to find a deeper team in the league. As an example, it’s quite possible that layers like Jose Calderon and Juan Dixon will be the seventh and eighth guys off the bench for this team, and on certain other clubs (especially in the East) both would be staters.

That depth should give the Raps the upper hand on division rivals like Boston and New Jersey, who, on paper, have a better starting five.

Thoughts Ryan?

McNeill: I agree that the Raps biggest strength is their depth as Sam Mitchell will require players to battle for minutes on a daily basis and the player who don’t rise to this challenge will quickly find themselves picking splinters out of their butts. Besides Chris Bosh, TJ Ford and possibly Anthony Parker no player is guaranteed minutes and that will only help the team as the season progresses.

What Is The Team’s Biggest Weakness?

McNeill: I think the team’s biggest weakness is the lack of an established second option on offense. Ford, Parker and Bargnani all provide the team with solid options but none of those guys are the locked in as the second scorer for Sam Mitchell. On some nights that will be a blessing because opposing teams won’t be able to lock into one or two players but on other nights it will drive Mitchell and fans crazy because there isn’t an established second option to turn to when Bosh is struggling.

What’s your take Franchise?

Franchise: I worry about the team’s rebounding. Last year the Raptors were the worst offensive rebounding team in basketball and we saw players like Anderson Varejao and Mikki Moore feast on Toronto’s interior time and time again. This is the team’s biggest weakness in my opinion and one that I’m not sure was addressed this offseason. Toronto brought in Maceo Baston to help and Carlos Delfino is a good rebounder for his position, but I’m just not sure that’s going to be enough… especially given the size increases made by Toronto’s divisional competitors. Improvement in this area is going to have to come from within and Andrea Bargnani’s going to have to prove that he can do some damage on the inside of the paint as well as on the outside.

What are the goals for this team?

Franchise: The goals for this team are simple - build on last year’s hugely successful season. That means increasing the wins total, improving collectively at the defensive end of the court, obviously
getting back to the playoffs, and getting out of the first round. Ryan?

McNeill: They just need to stay healthy. That may sound jaded and pessamistic but the only thing that could unravel this season is the injury bug.I could ramble on here and be long winded but the only thing this team needs to do is stay healthy.

Predicted Record

McNeill: If I’m going to look through my rose coloured glasses I’m going to peg the Raptors in for 52 wins and status as alpha dog in the Titanic, um, I mean Atlantic Division. f the injury bug ravishes this squad - or even just Chris Bosh - then this team could be looking at another lottery pick and an abysmal record with less than 40 wins. Blech! I think I just threw up a little in my mouth.

All things considered, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the team match their output from last season of 47 wins. While Boston, New York and New Jersey all did a good job this summer of reloading the Raps lost more than a half dozen games by less than three points. Plus the team had an atrocious start last season which won’t happen this year because they have a year of playing together under their belts and BC didn’t gut the roster again this summer.

Throwing it back to you Franchise for the grand finale…

Franchise: Ok, Grand Finale time…

I agree that injuries could really put a hurt on the Raptors improving on last year’s success. However the team’s depth should help buoy the squad if players go down for short periods of time so long as several key players hold up. Otherwise you’re right, with the increases in talent in the East, Toronto could fall right back out of the picture if say Bosh were to miss an extended period of time.

For now though, I’m looking at 48 wins for the team. I think they make small improvements internally but I’m not looking for this team to take the next big step until the season after this.

That being said, I think after another full season of playing together, the Raptors will get out of the first round and continue to gain playoff experience.

One last question for you Ryan, who do you think will be the starting point guard by season’s end? I think despite all the controversy the local media likes to drum up, it will be an improved TJ Ford… however Calderon will still be a very important part of the team’s success.

McNeill: Could Jose start on other NBA teams? Absolutely.

Will he start on the Raptors ahead of TJ? No way.

I agree that both are talented point guards but I don’t think there’s anything Jose could do to pry the starting gig out of his grasp. Sam’s a huge fan of TJ’s and the way he plays is great for the starting unit. I love the way he plays with reckless abandon and I feel it gets the Raptors off to a great start. In regards to talent they are pretty comparable but TJ’s personality is perfect to start games while Jose is great in short bursts off the bench. Last season when TJ was out you could see the difference in Jose when he was with the starting unit and I wasn’t a huge fan of him in that role.

Check out all the previews at www.celticsblog.com

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Great blog guys, love your balance and insight. One thing I don't see is the idea that the biggest strength is depth and the goal is to stay healthy? Of course depth also means great subs but I think the raps depth means they can weather injuries as good as any team in the L.

I think the goal has to be to increase point differential. The raptors had a tendency to relax on defence when they were clicking offensively. Then if the offense stalled, they lost. They need to learn how to shut teams down even when they're winning, to not be satisfied by wins, but look to shut teams down with defense and really blow them out of the gym whenever possible.

I also think overconfidence is their weakness. They had a tendency to take bad teams lightly but it's always going to be a struggle for the raptors. Parker's comment from last year that they can beat any team, but also be beat any team I think is going to hold true.

I think the win total will be about the same, but even with that an increased differential would signal a huge improvement for me.

by axl on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Its easy to see why you have both earned your credentials - wil repeat a common - thank you for keeping our interest over the summer.
I think that because of our depth - injuries will affect our division rivals much more than us.
As a goal I think this team should aim for last season's total of 47 wins, but I really think we are in for a statement year declaring that we are ready to compete for a title, forget just the East. Key to that will be the improoved play by Barghani and TJ Ford being more comfortable with our offence. Anyone of our new additions are capable of having a big impact on our level of play as well. Who will step up? One guy, two(?) maybe all. Would that not be something!
While you didn't go into how you think the standings in the Atlantic will end up - I'll just say that I see no reason why the Raptor's should not be the favourite. Big three in Beantown(yawn) - they have yet to win a game and they are already being crowned the new kings of the East. With all the expectations they are being setup for a disappointing season. I think they will finish behind us and the Nets in the Atlantic - somehere around 5 or 6th in the conference.
As per our RAPS - second in the conference with 54 wins and another COY award for Sammy.

by Tinman on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Nice job boys, I already read it when Ryan posted it on HoopsAddict.com yesterday. Couple of issues:

1. Maceo, while perhaps fond in Raptor fans' hearts given his prior time on the team and his friendship with AP from their Maccabi days, was NOT a "valuable role player" for the Pacers. If he was, they would have matched the Raptors' offer. 3 points and 1.6 rebounds in 8 1/2 minutes is pretty weak. He'll only get minutes in garbage time or if Bosh and Garbo get hurt (knock on wood).

2. In today's mailbag (http://www.thestar.com/Sports/article/263980), Doug Smith calls Kapono "a good defender, not a great one", and Grange in his blog (http://www.theglobeandmail.com/blogs/wbbasketball) states: "Kapono is not merely a standstill shooter. His understanding of spacing and his overall floor game is pretty impressive. With him and Parker on the floor together, the ball just flies around." Considering those writers are having direct exposure to Kapono's skills, this is very promising. To be honest, I think some folks may have a bias against his defensive skills because of his race. There, I said it, flame away.

3. As for offensive options, there's no reason why TJ and Bargs can't become 2A and 2B. Think of how unstoppable the Spurs were with Duncan passing out and Parker driving-and-dishing to bombers like Ginobili, Finley, Barry and even Bowen. Defensively, on the other hand....

by jjdynomite on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I must also add my thanks to your must-read blog. Other than watching the actual games nothing else gets me more excited than waking up each morning to read your latest comments. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention the well written thoughts and comments of your readerships. I don’t know how you’ve been able to avoid the puerile trash that is so prevalent on other blogs but it’s much appreciated
Here’s a shout out to all of you. Much thanks to all your efforts and comments.

Now that I’ve gotten that out of the way please comment on the perception of many sports writers that Bargnani will be a starting center beginning of this season, especially since additional focus will be on rebounding and defense. From what I’ve sent Bargnani has shown to natural ability in these skills and should continue to develop them against second stringers. Early fouls is a concern remembering the last experiment at centre we all painfully witnessed. What’s the big rush?

by OldSchool on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I could learn a lesson from you all about well written comments in my above comment. Excuse me.

I must also add my thanks to your must-read blog. Other than watching the actual games nothing else gets me more excited than waking up each morning to read your latest comments. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention the well written thoughts and comments of your readerships. I don’t know how you’ve been able to avoid the puerile trash that is so prevalent on other blogs but it’s much appreciated
Here’s a shout out to all of you. Much thanks to all your efforts and comments.

Now that I’ve gotten that out of the way please comment on the perception of many sports writers that Bargnani will be a starting center beginning of this season, especially since additional focus will be on rebounding and defense. From what I’ve seen Bargnani has shown no natural ability in these skills and should continue to develop them against second stringers. Early fouls is a concern remembering the last experiment at centre we all painfully witnessed. What’s the big rush?

by OldSchool on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Oldschool - Mitchell basically said bargnani's play in the playoffs earned him the spot. Everyone else has gone from there. I think the match-ups will be an important factor for who plays, but now it's rasho who has to earn the spot back, and it sounds like he's in great shape this year so he just might if bargs struggles.

by axl on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Took the day off work today as my kids have a PA day - so I got a bit of time.
I think OldSchool hit it right on the nose - whats the rush with Barghani? - maybe by mid-year have him starting, but last thing I wanna see is him picking up two quick fouls against our opponents starting five. Actually think it beneficial to both him and the team with him being our sixth or seventh man. Especially if Kapono gets the starters job.

Swirsky has been getting hammered lately here, and I agree the Salami and Cheese has been done to death and his blog dies in the offseason, but he is a face of this franchise. I think Leo is the antagonist(?)when the both of them work together. Much rather lose Leo and let him concentrate on our National team. Chuck and Jack should work more games together but I think it all depends on what network game is on. Chuck eats and breathes the Raptors and seems to of developed a fondness for the Great White North(believe he is now a citizen- way to go Chuck)- and always remember, he's not an impartial observer, he is employed by the Raptors.

by Tinman on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I just realized the Raptors are the second incarnation of the Memphis Grizzlies from 2002-2005. Except not mostly crazy.

It's true.

by MazelTov on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

... hope not, Mazel, at least the Raps have won 2 playoff games in the BC/Smitch era. The Grizz haven't won a playoff game in *their entire franchise history*.

by jjdynomite on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Raps = Grizzlies - don't get it?

by Tinman on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Raps = Grizz

In 2002 Jerry West was the saviour of that franchise. He came in and with Pau as their marquee quietly built the deepest team in the NBA. They went from 28 wins to 50 wins by wearing teams down in regular season games. They played fast and shared the ball.

But without a secondary scoring option they were killed every year in the playoffs.

Sure the Raps won two games aginst the Nets, but there are in the East. Memphis did what they did in the West.

Honestly, I don't think that will happen with the Raps. But it is a warning that a deep team doesn't really make for a good playoff team, in fact almost the opposite.

by MazelTov on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Unfounded premise, Mazel, that "a deep team doesn't really make for a good playoff team." After Pau, who else did the Grizz have on offense that the opposing D had to respect in the playoffs? Mike Miller? Posey? White Chocolate? An ancient Mighty Mouse? Battier's D is the only advantage the Grizz had on the current Raptor squad.

As I mentioned earlier, TJ and Bargs are *already* better 2nd options than anyone on those Grizz teams (and there's no reason why both youngsters can't keep improving by leaps and bounds, Hollinger's lame predictions notwithstanding).

Depth + 2 Superstars win in the playoffs. See: Spurs, and even the '05 Heat. This is why the Nets will be hard pressed to win it, and the jury is out on this years' Celts and the Suns because of their weak supporting casts.

by jjdynomite on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Glad you added "Honestly, I don't think that will happen with the Raps". 'cause I don't really see the connction, whatsoever, at all, not a bit. This team does not lack scoring options, putting up points will not be a problem.
As per all these so called experts and their pre season rankings - their ignorance astounds me when it comes to the Raps.

by Tinman on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Hello from Madrid...landed here early this morning and tried to catch up on some sleep. I´m heading to Portugal early tomorrow morning for a few days, then back to Madrid for the Raptors´games. I´m also hoping to have enough internet access to finish off the Bryan Colangelo interviews and get that up. If not, Howland will be holding down the fort till I return.

Zona - Your comment from the last article made me laugh - Much better than the "No, I didn’t do anything to prepare for the season" answers we used to get from Carter.

That was one of the best things about the media day as I mentioned in the first part. Guys just looked hungry and in-shape ready to get camp going.

Tinman - Also from the last post. Something that should be really interesting this year is to see what kind of heat Sam gets from the media, especially if this team doesn´t seem to improve that much. I guarantee the "is Sam the guy to get this team to the next level" questions will be out in full force. The same goes for the TJ-Jose debate, this is something the media will be on for sure, especially if TJ struggles at all.

That´s it for now, but I´ll try to touch base as much as possible about any Raps news I hear from this side of the world.

by Franchise on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Sam will get no heat. None at all. This team will continue to get better, improoved competition and all.
I'm gonna remind you at end of season - (playoffs are a different story though, not ready to guestimate).

by Tinman on Oct 5, 2007 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

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