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The Ben Wallace Conundrum

When looking at the Raptors, everyone sees the same basic issues that need to be addressed this off-season. Picking players to fill them however is another story as everyone seems to take a different "kick at the can."

As mentioned, we entered this "playing GM competition," seeing major holes at point guard and center, a lack of defense and toughness, and some depth issues. To address them we made the following hypothetical moves:

We were prepared to deal the top pick to the New Orleans Hornets for the 12th and 15th picks. (We counted on the Hornets taking LaMarcus Aldridge or local sensation Tyrus Thomas with the top pick, pairing one of them with Chris Paul to build a solid, young foundation.) We would then have used the 12th pick on a big such as Patrick O'Bryant, Shelden Williams or even Cedric Simmons.

Following this move, we were prepared to deal the 15th pick and Eric Williams to Seattle for Earl Watson. It works cap wise, gives Seattle another pick to continue their youth movement and more cap flexibility when Rashard Lewis opts out. Watson would be a nice fit for our squad giving us a serious defensive upgrade at the 1 not to mention a pass-first experienced leader who would also be a nice contrast to backup Jose Calderon.

In the second round of the draft we were looking at players like Bobby Jones, Daniel Gibson, James White, Denham Brown, Leon Powe and Solomon Jones.

However the free agency part of the contest is where things got interesting.

Draft day trades addressed our point guard and centre needs to a certain extent however we still wanted some veteran help to lend experience and aid in our young core’s development. Bosh's extension wouldn't kick in until the following season and therefore we figured we were playing with approximately $16M for free-agency. So who should we target?

It should be noted that at the time, the Detroit Pistons were a game 6 loss away to the Miami Heat from having their entire roster minus Tayshaun Prince questioned and at the center of these questions, litteraly, was Ben Wallace.

Wallace really is the identity of the Pistons, an overachieving player due to his work ethic and determination, who seemed only weeks before, to be a lock to finish his career with Detroit. However with the impending early exodus of the Pistons from the NBA playoffs and the usually super-human Wallace looking quite "peasant-like," during these same playoffs, it no longer seemed a foregone conclusion.

Could it be that the Pistons would allow Wallace to walk this summer? They are seemingly caught between a rock and a hard place as Wallace (with new uber-agent Arn Tellem in tow) will probably be requesting a max offer in the $50-$60 million range over at least five years and while the Pistons can afford that, it's a steep price to pay for a 32 year-old undersized center with no offensive skills. No, Detroit will probably be looking to offer something in the $25 to $30 million range over three years but with teams like the Bulls, Hawks, Bobcats and yes, the Raptors (sounds weird doesn't it?) having enough cap space to make larger offers, will Wallace bolt?

We thought he might and therefore made him our top option in free-agency in our fantasy GM proposal. His signing would eat up most of Toronto's cap space but would address needs in terms of toughness, experience and leadership not to mention giving the Raptors the interior presence this franchise has never had.

His signing and the other moves we detailed would give us a roster looking somewhat like following assuming that we bring Uros Slokar over, do not re-sign Loren Woods or Andre Barrett, Alvin Williams still can not play and we bring Darrick Martin back in a similar role as last season:

Starters:
PG: Earl Watson
SG: Morris Peterson
SF: Charlie Villanueva
PF: Chris Bosh
C: Ben Wallace

Bench:
PG: Jose Calderon/Darrick Martin
SG: Bobby Jones(D)
SF: Joey Graham/ Matt Bonner
PF: Pape Sow/Uros Slokar(D)
C : Patrick O’Bryant, Rafael Araujo

D = Possible D League players

(Also, it sounds like Roko may want to come and join the party.)

Obviously with this line-up we will have improved Toronto's defence, interior presence, toughness and athleticism. We will have shored up the point guard and center spots without breaking the bank and would have created a team that could play in both half and full-court settings.

But would the Wallace signing be sacrificing the team's long-term plan for a quick short-term solution? As long as we could draft a big with upside like Patrick O'Bryant to grow under Wallace, we didn't feel this would be the case. Wallace would be a perfect role model for such a player and hopefully by the time O'Bryant was ready for the spotlight on his own, Wallace's contract would almost be up or at least be more tradeable.

Of course by now though readers are probably shouting "hold on, really the bottom line here is would Ben Wallace even want to play in Toronto?" Good question.

As mentioned the only other teams with the cap room to acquire Wallace are Chicago, Atlanta and Charlotte. Of the three, Wallace would probably want to play in Chicago more than the others based on their record and upside. But the Bulls have Tyson Chandler already, a younger taller version of Ben. In addition, they soon will have to re-up on several of the contracts of their young prospects, something they'll need significant cap space to do. Taking on Wallace at $50 or $60 million effectively kills that.

Atlanta desperately needs a center and some toughness and rebounding but would Wallace even consider playing for the Hawks? Sure money talks but we all know how difficult it's been for the Hawks to lure even mid-level free-agents to Atlanta...so why would Wallace at 32 decide he's had enough of playoff basketball?

The same is true for Charlotte who is probably still a few years away from being a good basketball club and with Emeka Okafor, a great defensive player in his own right and much better and younger offensive threat, it's doubtful that Charlotte would even consider making a run at Wallace.

So the Raps suddenly don't seem to be such a bad option. Teamed with Bosh, Peterson, Villanueva and some other young talent from this year's draft, Wallace would be back in the playoffs and would seemingly be a great fit with Sam Mitchell. The ball then really is in Detroit GM Joe Dumars' court to see what he decides to do. Rumours of sign-and-trades for Charlie Villanueva have been bandied about but it's highly unlikely Toronto would do this and unless Dumars plans on blowing up the Pistons, I'm not sure how CV Smooth fits on a team that already has Rasheed Wallace and Antonio McDyess.

Now here's our question to you. Would you make a play for Ben Wallace this offseason considering his reliance on athletic ability at 32? And if so, what sort of money would you throw his way?

Here at the HQ we'd definitely consider Big Ben...but in all likelyhood it'll be Big Ben that has the final say in whether he'd even consider Toronto.

FRANCHISE

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Hmmm... interesting… but I gotta say, the whole ben wallace thing scares me. Making a run into the playoffs for two years sounds like fun, but at what long term expense. Don't forget we're going to have CV3's contract to deal with in a couple of years, and I'd rather have him then Wallace at that stage of his career. Besides i doubt that lineup could win a championship, and with all your cap flexibility gone, you're going to be stuck.

I say stay the course, draft the best player (Thomas? Aldridge? Bragnani?). Bring over Ukic, keep stock piling youth and next year with the great free agency pool and a solid draft make your BIG splash.

Afteral we've waited this long, let's see it through and be around competing for countless years.

by jas on Jun 8, 2006 11:58 AM EDT reply actions  

The draft day deal is interesting but I don't think it returns enough. Make it:

1st, 56th & Eric Williams
for
12th, 15 & 42

and I might consider it. We dump some salary and upgrade the 2nd rounder while we are at it. As for Wallace... nah. He has a couple of superior years left and then a fast decline imo - this means that his value to the Raps is held in these three possible, and perhaps concurrent, outcomes:

- a play-off spot and/or
- a couple years of good mentoring for Bosh et al and/or
- good trade return if traded to a contender a few years from now

That isn't near enough for me. We also truncate a decent rebuild situation that just invested heavily in draft picks (per the proposed trade). Just not worth it imo.

by YKOil on Jun 8, 2006 12:02 PM EDT reply actions  

I don't believe Ben Wallace is a good fit, for a number of reasons. Before I address why he doesn't fit, I'd first like to say taht I find it incredulous that people even talk about trading Charlie V. He's young, talented, with exceptional upside in the 20-10/night range for many, many years to come. He's also one of the best bargains in the league, and any doubts of his ability to play with Bosh have been put to rest. He is a constant mismatch, and Colangelo is not going to be trading him anywhere. As for Wallace, he is a bad contract waiting to happen. Too many years, too much money, too much potential for drastic decline in abilities. We should be patient and understand that the time to bring on a veterean like him is 1-2 years away.

by Rory Beck on Jun 8, 2006 12:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Wow, that is something that I had never considered. Big Ben and all of his flair in a raptors uniform. First of all, I do not think that Wallace would consider playing for the raptors. Pretty much for the same reasons as he would not consider playing for Atlanta. How many high profile players have wanted to play for the raptors? Hakeem because he was a bust and got 2x the money from the raptors that he could get from anyone else?

Ultimatly I do not think that the raptors should try for ben wallace. He is a great player, and will continue to perform at a high level for 2 more years, but I dont like his attitude very much. He is a very cocky player, and that fits perfectly with the pistons, as they are a very cocky team (not so much as individuals except the wallaces but rather as a team on the whole). With the raptors having so many young players I would not want to have the sure attitude of a ben wallace tainting the great team chemistry that the raptors had last year.

I dont want CV Smooth getting complacent because he thinks he is better than the next person, or can score at will.

ALso I am not sure that Wallace would fit in the team. Assuming that Mike James leaves, we will be looking for more scoring. I am expecting CV Smooth to pick up the scoring, but I would not expect mo pete to do any more than he did this year. Mo P will keep averaging his 15 or so points that he has every year. In this case I think we need someone who can score more than 2 points.

That being said, I still like your draft strategy. We would get a big body to help interior (hey, I can live with Pape, Arajou, and Bonner manning the center for 10 min each a game), and perhaps be a big time player in a few years. ANd we would get a PG with leadership and a vetran who has been aroud for a while.

That being said, I still would not mind keeping the 1st pick and going with Bargani, or Gay, or Morrison. Draft express seemed pretty high on Morrison with his workout, and has proven that he can play. He can also shoot great. Gay is the athletic player that can shoot, and I can see him playing SF and some SG. Bargaini, I dont konw where he would fit in, but the talent is there (so people are saying)

I am not sold on Aldridge. He is too much of a Chris Bosh player. Skinny and tall. More of a shooter, and less of a post player. I dont think that Bsh and Aldridge would fit in very well. And I am sure that BOsh is stronger than Aldridge is right now, so if they were playing together, I would think that Bosh would be playing center....which he would most likely be doing with aldridge as well.

PS I heard from somewhere that Spliiter has dropped his name out of the draft...is this true??

Keep up the great articles...you guys are my raptors fix every day ;) (do you know of any other good websites?)

by scott on Jun 8, 2006 12:50 PM EDT reply actions  

My first question is why would you trade the first pick for 2 mid range picks? the raps have been selecting mid range for too long...is it for the money?

I see the Ben Wallace proposal similar to what the Heat offered Shaq...I would say yes in a heartbeat IF wallace was the leader and team player that shaq is , but he's not! Therefore I would not offer him something long term that can endanger the raps chances.

I think we need depth and earl watson is not gonna take this team to the next level people!

by gabriel on Jun 8, 2006 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Funny thing about perceptions. Above, Scott wants to stay away from Wallace because of his attitude...if anything, that is why I would go after him (not saying I'm sold on the idea, but if so...).

What is one person's cockiness is another's swagger...something the Raps could certainly use. The kind of attitude he would bring to the team, especially on defense, is exactly what this club needs. Until the outburst in the playoffs, he's generally been seen as a great teammate and exactly the kind of guy you want as the heart of your team (or at least my perception is such). Just imagine how much freedom he would create for Bosh and CV on the court.

The idea of a S&T for Charlie is, however, ridiculous in my opinion...if we want Ben then just sign him. He is not restricted, we are not over the cap...we do not need to give up anything for him (except lots and lots of money and cap flexibility).

Admitting the above, however, doesn't mean I think Charlie is untouchable. I do think he has big potential and I've liked him since the pick was made. But he also has pretty high trade value right now and for all that he's shown, I'm not convinced that "any doubts of his ability to play with Bosh have been put to rest". Yes, they click well together on offense...but with those two in your line-up, you are going to be a soft, weak-defensive team. If I could get high value for Charlie and open space for a more natural 3, I would consider it. But I could also be happy watching CV and Bosh grow together for the next 10 years.

To the original question that was posted in the article, how much would I shell out for Ben...maybe 4 years, $46 million (10,11,12,13). By the end, he is certainly not going to be worth it....but it will take at least that (and likely more) to sign him. And with the lower first year salary, there is enough room to still sign a PG: Claxton, Mo Pete, CV, Bosh, Big Ben is suddenly not a bad defensive team...add in a pretty solid bench and that is a team that will challenge for home-court in the playoffs. And that doesn't even take account of the first pick.

That we are even talking about this possiblity, no matter how far-fetched or unlikely, is a sign of how exciting things are in Raptor-land these days...good times.

by spanky on Jun 8, 2006 5:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Hoffa's been traded to the Jazz for Kris Humphries and Robert Whaley!!!

by !~LIL Scrappy~! on Jun 8, 2006 5:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Giving up #1 overall and getting #'s 12 and 15 in return is not enough. Back to the drawing board, guys.

by lion on Jun 8, 2006 5:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Guys, I'm not sure I'd want Wallace. But to say that he has two, maybe three good years left is, i predict, a massive underestimation of this guy. Remember Rodman was a rebounding idiot well into his late thirties and he did it with pure heart. Big Ben has that same spirit and I wouldn't be surprised at all to see him contributing in big ways for 5-6 more years. But if he goes anywhere, which I doubt, he'd be wise to pick Chi-town so Chandler, who is a younger version of a bag of hammers when he's at the 5, can move to PF where he belongs and the Bulls could make some deep runs for a couple of years.

The Wallace the Pistons need to lose is Sheed.

by Josh on Jun 9, 2006 2:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Let me get this straight - you're going to trade the #1 pick for two picks in the teens? That's the worst value in the world! The likelihood of either of those picks turning into anything more than bench players is pretty damn low. This draft only has two players who are guaranteed to be stars - Aldridge and Thomas (and no, Adam Morrison or Bargnani do not make that list - too many question marks). To trade that far back you'd better be getting amazing value in return. Think about this - in the past twenty years only four #1 overall picks (Olowakandi, Kwame, Joe Smith and Pervis Ellison) have not played in at least one all-star game. How many #12 picks have been in an all-star game in the same time - one (Vladimir Radmanovic).

by Scott C on Jun 10, 2006 1:46 PM EDT reply actions  

how about this: 1st pick and charliev for jermaine o'neal and #17

by smar on Jun 14, 2006 7:24 PM EDT reply actions  

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