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Around SBN: Two Minutes Of Thunder Basketball Wins The Game

The Forecast...Part II

8. Fred Jones: Arguably the best signing of the off-season for this club. Watching highlights of this guy on RaptorsTV right now light up my eyes. In fact, I would argue that Joey G has a challenger for the title of “Most Athletic.” Obviously the award for “Freakishly Strong” still goes to Graham. What will be very interesting to see is what role Mitchell and Colengelo envision Jones playing. I feel that Jones simply needs to make the second unit a strong one. Sure it's fun to picture him winning the sixth man award or something along those lines but it is unlikely. What would make this an extremely successful season for Jones is if he can not only be the sparkplug off the bench, but really helps the team defensively. Sure he is below average in stature but his long wingspan and athleticism should make up for that. At the end of the day I have no doubt Jones will have a successful season considering the up-tempo offence the Raps seem to be prepared to run. Let's just say that if you are not excited about Fred Jones wearing a Raps uniform, you damn well will be soon enough.

9. Darrick Martin: This is tough...is he successful if he (a) claps loud enough to distract the other teams three point shooters?;
(b) manages to pull some random great games out of his...ya know; or (c) brings leadership and comradery to the team?

I would say all three although I find (a) the most entertaining. What is interesting about Martin being re-signed is that Colangelo was for it and obviously felt he brought something to the team. Even in our grades last season we had a hard time evaluating this guy's play, but obviously there is a whole lot more to Martin then what he brings to the hardwood.

I guess if Martin continues to provide the team with what he did last season, it will be successful. Not being in the locker-room however, it does make it tough to discern exactly what that is.

10. Rasho Nesterovic: The expectations should be high for Rasho, although not necessarily on the stat sheet. Nesterovic was primarily brought in to provide CB4 with some REAL help in the paint, both on the glass and defensively. If Rasho can bear some of the weight when it comes to guarding the other teams' big men, then he is doing his job. Add in rebounds and some blocks and for me that adds up to a successful season.

My gut tells me Rasho could have a big impact on the team, but one that you will have to be careful to watch for. The fact that he is coming to camp in shape is a HUGE plus for this team and he may play more minutes than people expect as a result. The main concern? How he does in a run-and-gun style. Is up-tempo really going to allow Rasho to help this team as much as he could? Even if he is in shape, TJ Ford will likely be down and back before Rasho even turns to make the outlet pass.

11. Anthony Parker: Parker, based on watching his games in the Euroleague has all the tools to be a contributor. There are of course the questions concerning how his MVP performances abroad will equate in the NBA. For me I am not setting the bar that high when it comes to a successful season. If he was worth the money, great. By setting the bar fairly low here, I really think I could be pleasantly surprised.
Of course like almost all the other 2/3s on this year's squad, it is all dependent on PT. Some think Parker is going to be an opening day starter, others (like this author) think he could be a great bench player. Undoubtedly this is yet to be decided and that is what will make the pre-season games fun to watch.

I expect Parker to do a little bit of everything and be the team’s jack of all trades. Parker will do a bunch of things well, but nothing great. If this turns out to be the case, I still think it will be a good season for him.

12. Morris Peterson: Mo Pete. Can you ask for more than what he brought to the table last year? Mo is becoming Mr. Raptor. Of course Mr. Raptor is in his contract year, so although as a fan you want to set the bar high for Mo, if he continues to get better you have to know that the last contract offer of 3 yrs and $15M, just won’t cut it this time around.

Mo has become a leader of this team and has seen all the highs and the lows. Hopefully he can continue to change his game. Even thinking about the role he played in K.O.’s system a few years back makes me mad. Thinking of the more immediate past, was there a guy who had more of an impact on the Raps success last season than Mo? The nights he really brought it the Raps either won, or were very competitive. The nights he disappeared? Almost a guaranteed L.

So success? More “Girls Gone Wild Shots,” even more consistency, and at the end of the season have played so well that Colangelo has no choice but to re-sign him.

13. Uros Slokar: For Uros this season will be an experience for him. Like Bargs he is making the transition to the NBA, yet he finds himself in a very familiar position being behind Bargnani on the depth chart.

I for one think Uros is the perfect candidate for the D-League. If he ends up in the “minors” and plays well then you would have to view his first season as a success.

14. Pape Sow: Sounds like Pape is healing faster than expected, and if you have been a reader for a while you know we love Spider-man Sow here at the HQ. The timing of Pape’s injury could not have been worse as this season really was going to be a "make or break" one in terms of making it in the NBA. The injury is a setback, so keeping that in mind if he manages to get back on the floor this season and show some glimpses then he would have to feel good considering the situation. Pape is still raw, but the difference between being raw and not developing is a fine one. Pape has to be sure that when given opportunities that he makes sure he does not fall into the latter category.

15. P.J. Tucker: There is never that much pressure (other than from the player himself) on a second round pick and Tucker is no different. Similar to Graham last season Tucker will need time to adjust to playing more on the wing then he did in college. Will that transition occur in the NBA or the D-League? With little PT available at the 2/3 you would have to think the latter. If he does earn some PT in the new uni’s, the more power to him and considering the high level of competition that would be a major plus for this team. Success for Tucker this season will basically rest on whether he can grow his game and continue to hold an NBA roster spot.

Oh and just for kicks....

16. Sam Mitchell:Well not getting fired before Christmas, or by season’s end would be a huge start. No more time for excuses. Mitchell needs to show that he has developed as a coach, uses the right players in the right situations and ensures that this team is better defensively. As much as it is on the players to make the plays, it is on the coach to help them understand what plays need to be made. I am a big Mitchell supporter and think he could one day be a very good head coach. Making it through this season would be a strong indication that he is about to make the leap.

There is also a substantial amount of pressure on Mitchell to get these guys to gel early and not fall too far back in the first 20 games or so of the season. Success for Mitchell will be measured by just that. Luckily he now has some players to prevent that from happening...and ones I might add that want to make Toronto a winning franchise at that.

HOWLAND

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"The main concern? How he (Rasho) does in a run-and-gun style. Is up-tempo really going to allow Rasho to help this team as much as he could? Even if he is in shape, TJ Ford will likely be down and back before Rasho even turns to make the outlet pass."

Run n Gun doesn't mean EVERY player has to sprint to the opposing basket, it just means that the player with the ball has the green light to go for a shot with the defense not being set, maybe early in the clock, even though the chance of a rebound is less. Every team has fast breaks, Phoenix did not have a monopoly in that area. Rasho has to 'gun" the outlet pass a la Oakley (hopefully with better accuracy) and I dont think he changes things at all in an uptempo team.

by Rubik Kube on Oct 4, 2006 1:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Have you seen this, best media day coverage I've read so far

http://slamonline.com/online/2006/10/raptors-media-day-report/

by Chris on Oct 4, 2006 2:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Is it just me, or does anyone else notice similarities between Jones and Carter. No, not in the attitude department, but in the athleticism.

When we got Carter, no one really knew what we were getting because his skills were hidden well by a Carolina program that emphasized the team over the individual. I see Jones in a very similar light. His true skills were never on display in the Pacers half court offense. In the rare occurrences that he did get to run, he looked great. His leaping abilities are unseen in these parts since Vince decided to stop dunking.

I expect big things from him.

by Erezona on Oct 4, 2006 7:10 PM EDT reply actions  

I didn't know that the League has decided to change the ball. Anyone have any info? It's no longer the leather ball and now is synthetic. Seems everyone's complaining about it because its too sticky.

by Ustation on Oct 5, 2006 9:45 AM EDT reply actions  

The new ball looks a lot like the soccer ball used in the world cup this year - only 2 panels (vs. 8 on the old leather one).

I've read about 50 articles where players comment on this, and only 1 (Jarrett Jack I think) said that he liked it. Apparently every other league has switched to the composite ball -- NCAA, High School, etc... but it still seems like a gimmic from Spalding to bump sales.

Funniest comments I saw on the new ball were:
Shaq (after airballing a hook shot in practice) -- "it's like a toys r us ball"... isn't every ball like a toys r us ball to Shaq???

and

Steve Nash -- he won't need to lick his hands anymore to keep a good grip... no mullet and no palm licking!!! Nash's game will definitely drop off this year - all of his secret powers are gone.

by BC on Oct 5, 2006 11:32 AM EDT reply actions  

New Ball sucks.

My Dwyane Wayne "Prefect World" Chrystal Ball outlook for the season would be this if:
a) The regulars stay off the IR
b) The Raps learn to win on the road
c) Bosh makes - as "The Sports Guy" says - The Leap.
d) The Euro-Trip is successful (Remember that BC took the Phx Suns from in 29-53 '03-04 to 62-20 in '04-'05 - a 33 game improvement)

Reminder: Raps were 27-55 in '05-'06

Nov. Record: 9-6 (Out of a total of 15)
Key: Being able to feast on Sacto & GS on that brutal 5 game road swing.
Must Win: Nov. 28th in NO
Biggest Stretch: Winning Nov. 18th in Denver

Dec. Record: 10-6 (out of a total of 16)
Key: Being able to survive the East Coast road swing.
Must Win: Dec. 13th in Orlando
Biggest Stretch: Winning Dec. 13th in Orlando

Jan. Record: 11-4 (out of a total of 15)
Key: Being able to dominate at Home (10 Games at ACC in Jan).
Must Win: Jan. 3th @ home v. Phx - sets the tone for the month

Feb. Record: 4-8 (out of a total of 12)
Key: Being able to hold composure after losing 7 straight - starting with Orlando on the 7th, ending with Indiana on the 23rd.
Must Win: Feb. 4th @ home v. Clippers

Mar. Record: 7-7 (out of a total of 14)
Key: Very doable 5 Game win streat - starting @ home v. NY on the 14th, ending @ home v. Denver on the 23rd.
Must Win: Mar. 18th in NY

Apr. Record: 5-5 (out of a total of 10)
Key: Holding off NJ for the Central Crown.
Must Win: Apr. 6th in Philly

I know.....I have too much time at work on a Friday...and that I'm smoking the stickiest of the ickies - but I don't think that a 46-36 record is that outlandish if you take a look at who they're playing and how they stack up.

A lot of balls will have to go their way - the biggest key will be to play solid AND win at home in January

by Kokstar on Oct 6, 2006 1:12 PM EDT reply actions  

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